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US Debt: Bomb or Overblown?
US Debt: Bomb or Overblown? SUMMARY The latest report from the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) is enough to curdle the blood of any fiscal conservative. According to the report, US federal debt held by the public relative to GDP currently stands at 78 percent (debt issued in Treasury securities). If current trends hold, that number […]
Russia-Ukraine Row: NATO’s Eastward Trajectory Is the Real Problem
Russia-Ukraine Row: NATO’s Eastward Trajectory Is the Real Problem On November 25, two small Ukrainian artillery ships and a tugboat were prevented by Russian vessels from crossing the narrow Kerch Strait and reaching the Ukrainian port of Mariupol on the Sea of Azov, which both countries share. Ukraine accuses Russia of open aggression and released what it calls intercepted […]
How the ‘Clash of Civilizations’ Explains Turkey-US Relations
How the ‘Clash of Civilizations’ Explains Turkey-US Relations Turkey’s geopolitics is increasingly at the center of attention after the failed coup of July 2016. The era of Kamalism, with the army as “guardian of secularism” has ended. The AKP and its revered chief Erdogan are free as never before to go ahead in their ideological project of […]
Japan Stands Firm on Senkaku Islands in East China Sea
Japan Stands Firm on Senkaku Islands in East China Sea In recent years, relations between China and Japan have come under increasing strain amidst the escalation of a decades-old territorial dispute over eight uninhabited islands in the East China Sea. The islands of this contentious archipelago are known as the Senkaku Islands in Japan, and the […]
The Future of Geopolitics and Energy Markets
The Future of Geopolitics and Energy Markets Energy prices and geopolitics have been interconnected since the beginning of the twentieth century, but expanded globalization, increased industrialization, and booming fossil fuel supplies have made this relationship increasingly brittle. The political actions of energy-producing states such as Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iran, and the United States impact energy prices. Conversely, […]
The Reality of Fighting Nuclear Terror
The Reality of Fighting Nuclear Terror In the two-day summit in Washington (March 31 – April 1), representatives of 49 countries interacted on the danger of terrorists acquiring nuclear weapons as “the most immediate and extreme threat to global security.” Have the four meetings of NSS since 2009 achieved the objective? It is a […]
George Soros Targeting Putin through the Panama Papers?
George Soros Targeting Putin through the Panama Papers? The Panama Papers represent the biggest document leak of the modern era, and George Soros apparently has a role. The scandal that has erupted after the publication of the Mossack Fonseca law firm’s so-called “Panama Papers” was organized by the US Centers for investigations on corruption and […]
Echoes of British Colonial India in Plans to Partition Syria
Echoes of British Colonial India in Plans to Partition Syria Russia’s decision to greatly reduce its military presence in Syria, coming as it did with little warning, has left the world struggling for explanations. Russia is to maintain a military presence at its naval base in Tartus and at the Khmeymim airbase. In fact […]
Geopolitics, the State, and Cybersecurity in a Globalized World
Geopolitics, the State, and Cybersecurity in a Globalized World On February 9th of this year, the Obama administration announced that after a seven year observation of the cybersecurity environment, it was going to establish the Cybersecurity National Action Plan (CNAP). The new cybersecurity plan was formulated to counter the ever-morphing threats and hackings […]
Missiles Just the Latest Chapter in the South China Sea Saga
Missiles Just the Latest Chapter in the South China Sea Saga With the recent placement of surface-to-air missiles (SAMs) on Woody Island, a subset of the Paracel Islands, China has taken a major step toward militarization of the South China Sea. The action was taken during the recent US-ASEAN “Sunnylands” Summit, where economics, […]
For US and Russia, All Roads Lead to China
For US and Russia, All Roads Lead to China Recently I attended an event where the speaker referred to the interplay between economics and security in Asia as being that of Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde. Dr. Jekyll represents the positive economic growth and interaction within the region, while Mr. Hyde represents the increasing security […]
GPM Global Forecast (01-18-16)
GPM Global Forecast (01-18-16) Iran Enters a New Era as Nuclear Sanctions are Lifted Background The United States and EU have lifted economic sanctions on Iran following confirmation from the United Nations that the country is following through on its obligations set out in last year’s nuclear accord. Outlook Implementation Day arrived earlier than many […]
Dictators, Democracy, and Almighty Oil in the MENA Region
Dictators, Democracy, and Almighty Oil in the MENA Region 95% of transport fuels in the world are derived from oil. This makes it hard to argue that renewable or other non-petroleum sources of fuel could cut into oil’s market share, at least in the near term. Transportation, and thus petroleum, is essential to growing […]
NATO Expansion: Lessons Not Learned
NATO Expansion: Lessons Not Learned Failure to Communicate Recently, NATO extended an offer of membership to Montenegro. The announcement was couched in the usual tagline of offering “assurance” to Western Balkan states concerned with possible security issues (Russian assertiveness) and “reassurance” to current NATO members in the neighborhood. With the utmost respect to Montenegrins […]
COP 21: There Is a Way to Beat Climate Change
COP 21: There Is a Way to Beat Climate Change The Paris Climate Change Conference might be the turning point in addressing climate change at the international level. The 21st Conference of Parties (COP21) is the annual meeting of the 195 nations that make up the United Nations Framework on Climate Change. The […]
