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The Year of the Plague in Charts: Weirdest Economy Ever

January 30, 2021

The Year of the Plague in Charts: Weirdest Economy Ever GDP fell by 3.5% in the year 2020, the worst annual decline since 1946. Trade deficit in Q4 hit new all-time worst. The size of the US economy, as measured by GDP in “current dollars” (not adjusted for inflation), fell to $20.9 trillion in the […]

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The Real Economic Numbers: 21.5 Percent Unemployment, 10 Percent Inflation And Negative Economic Growth

June 14, 2018

The Real Economic Numbers: 21.5 Percent Unemployment, 10 Percent Inflation And Negative Economic Growth Every time the mainstream media touts some “wonderful new economic numbers” I just want to cringe.  Yes, it is true that the economic numbers have gotten slightly better since Donald Trump entered the White House, but the rosy economic picture that […]

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“GDP Growth Driving Rates Higher!” – Is That True?

February 24, 2018

“GDP Growth Driving Rates Higher!” – Is That True? “Peter Cook is the author of the‘Is That True?’ series of articles, which help explain the many statements and theories circulating in the mainstream financial media often presented as “truths.” The motives and psychology of market participants, which drives the difference between truth and partial-truth, are […]

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Who Is It That Wants to Buy Trillions of US Treasury’s???

February 21, 2018

Who Is It That Wants to Buy Trillions of US Treasury’s??? As of the latest Treasury update showing federal debt as of Wednesday, February 15…federal debt (red line below) jumped by an additional $50 billion from the previous day to $20.76 trillion.  This is an increase of $266 billion essentially since the most recent debt ceiling passage.  Of course, […]

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What has gone wrong with oil prices, debt, and GDP growth?

December 7, 2016

What has gone wrong with oil prices, debt, and GDP growth? Our economy is a mystery to almost everyone, including economists. Let me explain the way I see the situation: (1) The big thing that pulls the economy forward is the time-shifting nature of debt and debt-like instruments. If we want any kind of specialization, we […]

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Energy round-up: tectonic shifts

June 13, 2015

Energy round-up: tectonic shifts Photo credit:   gnuckx Three things you shouldn’t miss this week Chart: Is the global economy becoming less energy intensive? Source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2015 Article: Fossil fuel divestment is rational, says former Shell chairman – Mark Moody-Stuart is also worried about the lack of industry progress in addressing climate change. Article: BP sees ‘tectonic […]

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Australian housing near world’s most expensive but forecast to rise further

January 15, 2015

Australian housing near world’s most expensive but forecast to rise further A major ratings agency forecasts Australian home price growth to slow, as the nation approaches an “affordability ceiling”. Fitch Ratings is forecasting 4 per cent growth in Australian residential property prices this year, down from around 7 per cent in 2014. In its 2015 […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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