(CNN)The Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT), the organization that operates much of the Lone Star State’s electric grid, asked residents for a second day in a row Tuesday to conserve as much energy as possible until Friday.
Home » Posts tagged 'ercot'
Tag Archives: ercot
Will The Texas Power Grid Survive Next Week’s Polar Vortex?
Will The Texas Power Grid Survive Next Week’s Polar Vortex?
The National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center forecasts extreme cold weather “across the heart of the country this weekend and is expected to continue into next week.” We previewed this cold blast in a note titled “Gobsmackingly Bananas”: Weather Models Predict Polar Vortex Invasion Into US.
Whenever cold air spills south from Canada into the Heartland, attention usually shifts to Texas.
Next, power demand forecasts from the Electric Reliability Council of Texas, the power grid operator for Texas, are analyzed to see if demand forecasts exceed supply. Current forecasts show ERCOT faces the first major test of grid stability for the new year.
And this:
ERCOT has warned its 26 million Texas customers about the upcoming cold blast this weekend into next week. The grid operator assures customers, “Grid conditions are expected to be normal, and ERCOT expects to have sufficient supply to meet demand.”
Energy-focused research firm Criterion Research told clients in a note Wednesday that ERCOT will likely survive the big cold shot:
ERCOT has issued an Operating Condition Notice (OCN) for the upcoming cold weather event forecast from January 15-17, 2024. The OCN is the first of four levels of communication provided by the agency ahead of a possible Emergency Condition – the following three levels would be Energy Emergency Levels 1 through 3.
ERCOT’s current forecast run shows extreme demand conditions starting on Tuesday, January 16, 2024. That includes a projected peak load of 85,587 MW at 7 AM that morning. However, renewable generation from wind and solar are expected to help out as demand pushes to a seasonal record, with early morning wind + solar contribution 14,137 MW.
…click on the above link to read the rest…
Deja Vu? Texas NatGas Output Plunges Amid Cold Snap
Deja Vu? Texas NatGas Output Plunges Amid Cold Snap
U.S. natural gas futures rose late in the session on new data that showed a plunge in pipeline gas flows in Texas, which indicates the state’s power grid could be susceptible to failures amid a cold snap.
Front-month gas futures are up more than 3% to $3.84 around 1445 ET as commodity traders assess the situation in Texas.
“Production of the heating and power generation fuel in Texas fell on Sunday to the lowest since February’s freeze — when millions were sent into the dark for days — after temperatures plunged,” BloombergNEF pipeline data showed. Flows are expected to rebound when temperatures rebound.
Temperatures in The Lone Star State are expected to rebound in the coming days.
However, warmer weather might not return to much of the U.S. until next Tuesday. Mean temperatures will oscillate around a 30-year average for the next eight days, occasionally dipping to below-average levels. The coldest point is between Jan. 8-11.
Heating degree days for the U.S. show cold weather will increase the demand for energy to heat building structures.
A plunge in gas supplies comes right after the Electric Reliability Council (ERCOT) of Texas said the power grid is “winterized and ready to provide power.”
Last February, a cold snap froze wellhead across the state that parazyled gas flows. Power plants couldn’t get enough fuel to spin turbines, and combine that with extraordinarily high power demand from customers to stay warm, the grid was minutes from collapse — forcing ERCOT, the grid operator — to implement rolling blackouts.
Despite ERCOT’s confidence that grid stability can be achieved this winter, keep an eye on Texas and pray for warmer weather; if not, another energy crisis could be nearing.
Electric grid operator asks Texans to stop blasting AC as unplanned outages and heat collide
Electric grid operator asks Texans to stop blasting AC as unplanned outages and heat collide
Texas Faces New Power Crisis: Prices Soar 10,000% As ERCOT Urges Power Conservation Amid Grid ‘Emergency’
Texas Faces New Power Crisis: Prices Soar 10,000% As ERCOT Urges Power Conservation Amid Grid ‘Emergency’
Texas’ power grid operator, Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT), which came under immense pressure months ago for mishandling the historic winter storm in mid-February, urged customers Tuesday afternoon to “reduce their electricity use” as a cold front swept through, causing power demand to spike.
ERCOT told customers to please “conserve energy at this time. Consumers and businesses are urged to reduce their electricity use this afternoon and into the evening.”
Texas’ power grid operator also said:
“Due to a combination of high gen outages typical in April & higher-than-forecasted demand caused by a stalled cold front over TX, ERCOT may enter emergency conditions.
With a cold front moving through the Lone Star state some generation units were already down for repair work. Bloomberg reports one spot price for Texas power jumped as much as 10,000% on Tuesday.
In particular, the average spot on-peak electricity at Ercot’s North Hub jumped more than 10,000% to $1,975.96 a megawatt-hour as of 4 p.m, according to grid data compiled by Genscape. Prices are capped at $2,000 a megawatt hour, after regulators suspended the previous $9,000 cap following the energy crisis.
The grid has seen tight supply conditions as below-average temperatures pour into the state this week.
So far, “We do not expect customer outages. Declaring an emergency would allow us to access additional resources,” ERCOT said, although it requested energy conservation.
ERCOT is requesting energy conservation at this time. Consumers and businesses are urged to reduce their electricity use this afternoon and into the evening.
— ERCOT (@ERCOT_ISO) April 13, 2021
The internet was not enthused by ERCOT’s grid warning today:
…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…
Power Grid Chaos Jolts Texas On Friday, Energy Costs Triple Amid Heat Wave
Power Grid Chaos Jolts Texas On Friday, Energy Costs Triple Amid Heat Wave
The Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) has been asking customers to conserve energy this week as spot power prices in Texas triple to a record on Friday.
The state’s power grid operator that serves most of Texas declared an energy conservation emergency for the second time this week, the first on Tuesday when temperatures exceeded 100 degrees, and customers cranked up their air conditioners to escape the heat.
ERCOT asked customers this week to reduce energy use between 3 and 7 p.m. Here is what they asked Texans to do:
- Increase thermostats 2 to 3 degrees
- Program thermostats at a higher temp when not at home
- Use a fan, it can lower temperatures by 4 to 6 degrees
- Use appliances less (dishwashers, washers, and dryers) or only in the morning hours.
- Run pool pumps in the early morning or overnight hours and shut them off between 4 to 6 p.m.
- Keep blinds and drapes closed during the hottest part of the day.
ERCOT reported no rotating power outages.
“High temperatures have resulted in record electricity demand over the last few days and may result in a new record today,” said ERCOT President and CEO Bill Magness. “Consumers can help lower energy consumption by taking some simple actions between the hours of 3 and 7 p.m.”
…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…