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Mark Jeftovic: The Fed is Afraid… of Something
Mark Jeftovic: The Fed is Afraid… of Something In the last issue we covered how Ecoinmetrics posited that the Bitcoin rally wasn’t being confirmed on-chain and that there was a chance of a 10% pullback in the month following his analysis, which was published November 22. We did get a pullback, from $44K, which touched bottom around […]
Another Nail In The Coffin Of Big Cities
Another Nail In The Coffin Of Big Cities The riots, political turmoil, and other banana republic embarrassments seem to be ending – for now. So let’s get back to examining the real problems of this hyper-leveraged, dangerously-complex world. Like how big cities might soon be obsolete: Pretend it’s 2019 and you’re living in a major […]
The $USD is Warning Us That Something Big is Coming
The $USD is Warning Us That Something Big is Coming Things are beginning to get out of control in currency land. The $USD is collapsing. Astute chart readers will note that the $USD has already experienced two sharp drops in the last few months (blue rectangles in the chart below). They occurred in late February […]
Why A Flu Outbreak In China Can Spook Global Markets
Why A Flu Outbreak In China Can Spook Global Markets When people talk about empires of the past, they generally mean Rome and Britain. But the biggest and in some ways most interesting empire was built and run by the Mongols in the 13th and 14th centuries. At it’s peak it stretched from China to […]
Negative Interest Rates Spread To Mortgage Bonds
Negative Interest Rates Spread To Mortgage Bonds There are trillions of dollars of bonds in the world with negative yields – a fact with which future historians will find baffling. Until now those negative yields have been limited to the safest types of bonds issued by governments and major corporations. But this week a new […]
The Terrifying Truth About Negative Interest Rates
The Terrifying Truth About Negative Interest Rates Pushing interest rates below zero is both an act of desperation and something that in theory should have a huge, immediate impact of the behavior of borrowers and savers. The fact that negative rates have become the new normal in big parts of the world but haven’t caused […]
The Lesson Of Argentina: You Can’t Stabilize A Bankrupt Economy
The Lesson Of Argentina: You Can’t Stabilize A Bankrupt Economy So the U.S. puts Republicans (the party of small government) in charge, and gets… trillion dollar deficits as far as the eye can see AND a revival of socialism among Democrats. Scary as this may seem, the real (and even scarier) lesson is that it’s […]
What Went Wrong With Pensions — And Why The Whole World Should Be Worried
What Went Wrong With Pensions — And Why The Whole World Should Be Worried The past decade was a uniquely smooth stretch of financial highway. Pretty much every major asset class – stocks, bonds, real estate, fine art, you name it – did well, making it hard for conventional investors to lose money and easy […]
The Coming Wave Of High-Tech Authoritarianism
The Coming Wave Of High-Tech Authoritarianism One of history’s hard lessons is that collapsing financial systems beget authoritarian politics. Today’s world, alas, is following this script, as rising debts lead to wrenching political changes in nearly every country that holds free elections, while fascism and socialism are once again being taken seriously by people who […]
Central Banks Cave, Usher In The Crack-Up Boom
Central Banks Cave, Usher In The Crack-Up Boom This was going to be the year when the other big central banks joined the Fed in “normalizing” interest rates and reversing the past decade’s QE experiment. Instead, the other central banks blinked and went back to aggressive ease, and the Fed is following them. This is a […]
Remember, The Fed Hasn’t Actually Done Anything Yet
Remember, The Fed Hasn’t Actually Done Anything Yet When the financial markets got, um, choppy towards the end of 2018, the Fed caved almost instantly. But only rhetorically. Fed chair Powell promised to stop raising interest rates and shrinking the money supply, and the financial markets, trained to salivate at the sound of Fed happy […]
If You Could Design A Perfect World For Gold…
If You Could Design A Perfect World For Gold… Are you sick of your gold just sitting there when it was supposed to have long since made you rich? Have you been fantasizing about a world in which your gold really does make you rich? If so you’re in good – or at least numerous – company. […]
Jay Taylor: Gold Is The Go-To Safe Haven Of 2019
Jay Taylor: Gold Is The Go-To Safe Haven Of 2019 2019 is looking like one of those either/or years, where growing financial instability leads to either a 2008-style financial crash or another round of asset inflation. In Jay Taylor’s latest newsletter, he concludes that both scenarios are good for gold: Which Safe Haven Markets Will […]
Three Things That Will Definitely Happen In 2019
Three Things That Will Definitely Happen In 2019 Much about 2019 is uncertain. But a few things are pretty much guaranteed, including the following: Government debt will rise at an accelerating rate Like a life-long dieter who finally gives up and decides to eat himself to death, the US is now committed to trillion-dollar deficits […]
Yet Another Trillion-Dollar Unfunded Liability: WHY California Is Burning
Yet Another Trillion-Dollar Unfunded Liability: WHY California Is Burning The apocalyptic fires that hit California last month have left observers scratching their heads and wondering how destruction on that scale could be possible – and how much it will cost in the future if the causes aren’t addressed immediately. This morning’s Wall Street Journal concludes […]
