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The Risk of a Correction in the Equity Bull Market

January 25, 2018

THE RISK OF A CORRECTION IN THE EQUITY BULL MARKET Rising commodity prices, including oil, are feeding through to PPI Unemployment data suggests wages may begin to rise faster Federal Reserve tightening will continue, other Central Banks may follow The bull market will be nine years old in March, the second longest in history Since […]

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Markets Are Correcting Hard

January 8, 2016

Markets Are Correcting Hard An assessment of the risks of things getting worse from here The long-awaited global financial market correction has arrived. We are seeing collapses in all major markets and across all major categories. As usual, the pain has started at the edges, in the weaker elements (emerging markets, junk bonds, weak companies, etc.) […]

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Has The Market Trend Shifted From Bull To Bear?

October 23, 2015

Has The Market Trend Shifted From Bull To Bear? Why the recent volatility may mark a secular shift Emotions are running high for the investment community in the wake of recent market volatility. Up until August, we had been in the third longest period in market history without a 10% correction. Since then, stock indices […]

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Weekend Reading: Just A Correction, Or Something Else

August 28, 2015

Weekend Reading: Just A Correction, Or Something Else Earlier this week I posted two pieces of analysis with respect to the recent dive in the markets. The first discussed the possibility that this is just a correction within an ongoing bull market. The second delved into the possibility that a new cyclical bear market has begun. Only […]

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First the Miners, now the Banks, then Property? Going to be a Hard Landing for… Australia

August 26, 2015

First the Miners, now the Banks, then Property? Going to be a Hard Landing for… Australia A housing market set for the mother of all corrections. “I think it’s important that people don’t hyperventilate about these type of things.” With these words, Australian Prime Minister Tony Abbott tried to soothe the world’s rattled nerves today about the ongoing […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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