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Inflation is Causing Tectonic Shifts
Inflation is Causing Tectonic Shifts Even if stock investors are acting as if nothing happened along the road they are walking, they will soon wish they had not missed the obvious. Photo by Roberta Piana on Unsplash Yesterday when stocks crashed hard, I wrote the following caveat to their epitaph: Whoa! Delusions broken. At least, for today, but give investors […]
A historic global bond-market crash threatens liquidation of the world’s most crowded trades, says BofA
A historic global bond-market crash threatens liquidation of the world’s most crowded trades, says BofA ‘If the bond market does not function, then no other market functions, really,’ say Ben Emons of Medley Global Advisors A newspaper headline is shown after the Treaty of Versailles was signed in 1919. Global bonds are in one of […]
The Taper Next Door: Bank of Canada Cuts Bond Purchases by 25%. Total Assets Drop by 13%. Rate Hikes Moved Forward, Possibly July 2022
The Taper Next Door: Bank of Canada Cuts Bond Purchases by 25%. Total Assets Drop by 13%. Rate Hikes Moved Forward, Possibly July 2022 Housing craziness is front and center. The Bank of Canada, which already holds over 40% of all outstanding Government of Canada (GoC) bonds – compared to the Fed, which holds less than 18% […]
For Stocks & Bonds, Upside Surprise of Inflation and Interest Rates “Could Prove Nasty”: Dudley
For Stocks & Bonds, Upside Surprise of Inflation and Interest Rates “Could Prove Nasty”: Dudley Five reasons to “worry about faster inflation.” It’s “a greater danger precisely because it’s no longer perceived as such.” “Given how completely financial markets have come to expect low inflation and interest rates, and how much support those expectations are […]
The Zombie Companies Are Coming
The Zombie Companies Are Coming Easy money is a curse for capitalism. Through the first half of August – which is normally a quiet period for the bond market in the US – a total of $56 billion in junk bonds and leveraged loans were issued by junk-rated companies, according to S&P Global. That was […]
Are Bonds and Gold Telling Us Inflation Is Coming?
Are Bonds and Gold Telling Us Inflation Is Coming? Stocks continue to ignore 40 million unemployed, an economic depression, and societal collapse/ riots. The S&P 500 rallied yesterday to test major resistance at 3,100. The market is nearing the point of its rising wedge. A big move is coming. The VIX is also warning us […]
Blain’s Morning Porridge – May 11th 2020 – Bond Triggers Tumble
Blain’s Morning Porridge – May 11th 2020 – Bond Triggers Tumble “When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you’re going to see some serious…. “ After last night’s Boris announcement on not reopening the economy, it clearly doesn’t need any further explanation.. (US Readers – complex sarcasm alert.) Over the course of the lockdown, I’ve been […]
Weaponizing the Dollar
Weaponizing the Dollar Don’t worry, we’re still talking virus, just from a slightly different angle. I was going to do something completely different, but then I saw an article at the South China Morning Post (SCMP) today that made me think “I don’t think that’s true”, realizing that at the same time many people would […]
The World Has Gone Mad and the System Is Broken
The World Has Gone Mad and the System Is Broken I say these things because: Money is free for those who are creditworthy because the investors who are giving it to them are willing to get back less than they give. More specifically investors lending to those who are creditworthy will accept very low or negative […]
Weekly Commentary: $150 Billion Global Corporate Bond Binge
Weekly Commentary: $150 Billion Global Corporate Bond Binge After an extraordinary August, markets are showing no inclination for stability to begin September. Jumping 1.3% Thursday on news of an October restart of trade talks, the S&P500 gained 1.8% for the week. The S&P500 ended the week less than 2% from all-time highs. The Semiconductors surged […]
There Has Been Just One Buyer Of Stocks Since The Financial Crisis
There Has Been Just One Buyer Of Stocks Since The Financial Crisis Over the weekend we showed a chart which demonstrated that the bulk of the 21st century has been characterized by equity retail fund outflows offset by a tsunami of bond inflows, i.e. a reverse “great rotation.” The chart also illustrated that periods of “big bond inflows often […]
History Being Made: Negative Rates, Fake Markets, & The Imminent “Daily Liquidity” Crisis
History Being Made: Negative Rates, Fake Markets, & The Imminent “Daily Liquidity” Crisis Transformational Markets: History Being Made No-Bond World And The Risk Of A Daily Liquidity Crisis Rates hit new lows this month. Symbolically, the 50-year swap rate in Europe dived into negative territory. Bonds as an asset class are in extinction, a major […]
The Ice Age Arrives: Average Sovereign Yield Outside The US Turns Negative For The First Time Ever
The Ice Age Arrives: Average Sovereign Yield Outside The US Turns Negative For The First Time Ever Last Friday afternoon, when what few traders were not on vacation were planning the venue of their evening alcohol consumption, we showed a remarkable analysis by Bank of America, which found that yields on the $27.8 trillion non-USD global investment grade bond […]
“We’re Never Going To Go Away From Zero:” Presenting Kyle Bass’ Latest Trade
“We’re Never Going To Go Away From Zero:” Presenting Kyle Bass’ Latest Trade Here at Zero Hedge, we’ve dedicated plenty of attention to signs of “Japanification” in European bond markets… … with the issue taking on even more urgency now that we have influential bond strategists earnestly advocating the purchase of equities by the ECB, and the […]
French Bond Yields Slide Below Zero, Hit All Time Record Lows
French Bond Yields Slide Below Zero, Hit All Time Record Lows Ten days ago when global bond yields tumbled amid renewed fears that the global economy was headed for a recession, we reported that a record $13 trillion in global sovereign debt was trading with a negative yield. And while we don’t have the latest numbers from […]
