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“This Is A Perfect Storm” – EU Leader Warns Of “Black Swans” Everywhere, Says ‘Propaganda Is Our Battlefield’
“This Is A Perfect Storm” – EU Leader Warns Of “Black Swans” Everywhere, Says ‘Propaganda Is Our Battlefield’ “This is a perfect storm,” exclaims European Commission Vice President Josep Borrell in his opening speech to EU Ambassadors this week. Having noted previously his warnings to The Fed that it is “bringing us to a world recession,” Borrell went considerably […]
The White Swans of 2020
The White Swans of 2020 Financial markets remain blissfully in denial of the many predictable global crises that could come to a head this year, particularly in the months before the US presidential election. In addition to the increasingly obvious risks associated with climate change, at least four countries want to destabilize the US from […]
Blain’s Morning Porridge – 17 Feb 2020: Virus pain and Softbank
Blain’s Morning Porridge – 17 Feb 2020: Virus pain and Softbank “Lord, give me strength to deal with London cyclists…” A quiet day’s play in prospect with a US holiday, and its UK mid-term holiday all week. The Covid19 Coronavirus is likely to remain the dominant issue to worry the markets. Infections continue to […]
Will Coronavirus Be the Black Swan that Pops the Bubble of Everything in 2020?
Will Coronavirus Be the Black Swan that Pops the Bubble of Everything in 2020? Will coronavirus be the Black Swan that brings down the global economy in 2020? In my article, “The Things We Believe That are Untrue”, I discussed how governments worldwide have been hiding recessionary numbers from global citizens since 2008. Consequently, with the world […]
Truth is the Ultimate Black Swan
Truth is the Ultimate Black Swan Truth is the ultimate black swan. All other black swans are a myth. Financial websites are littered with articles written by people trying to predict the next black swan event that will usher in the implosion of the global Bubble of Everything, even though, by definition, a black swan […]
Waiting For The Black Swan
Waiting For The Black Swan War with Iran would be the beginning of the end Two more tankers were attacked near the Strait of Hormuz on Thursday morning (6/13/19) in the Gulf of Oman, and if hostilities advance we could be facing a ‘black swan’ event. One that changes everything, and divides the world into […]
All That’s Missing Is a Black Swan
All That’s Missing Is a Black Swan “There is no means of avoiding the final collapse of a boom brought about by credit expansion. The alternative is only whether the crisis should come sooner as the result of a voluntary abandonment of further credit expansion, or later as a final and total catastrophe of the […]
Black Swan Watch: China Has Added Over $50 TRILLION in Financial Assets Since 2014
Black Swan Watch: China Has Added Over $50 TRILLION in Financial Assets Since 2014 The biggest black swan facing the financial system is China. China has been the primary driver of growth for the global economy since the 2008 Crisis. Despite only accounting for 15% of global GDP, China accounts for 25%-30% of GDP growth. […]
Nassim Taleb Explains How The Global Economy Is More Fragile Today Than In 2007
Nassim Taleb Explains How The Global Economy Is More Fragile Today Than In 2007 In what was incredibly appropriate timing given the ‘shocktober’ market blowup, Bloomberg News invited “Black Swan” author Nassim Taleb to its set on Halloween for a discussion about the increasingly fragile market ecosystem in which we all reside, and the mounting […]
Forget About Catalonia And Brexit, The Next European Black Swan Could Be Transylvania
Forget About Catalonia And Brexit, The Next European Black Swan Could Be Transylvania Over the past 100 years, the borders in Central and Eastern Europe have been redrawn time and time again, often leaving groups of people separated from their home country by new borders. Although land often changed hands relatively peacefully, suddenly finding one-selves […]
Consumption Exhaustion
Consumption Exhaustion When people use the word catalyst to describe an event that may prick the stock market bubble, they usually discuss something singular, unexpected and potentially shocking. The term “black swan” is frequently invoked to describe such an event. In reality, while such an incident may turn the market around and be the “catalyst” […]
When A “Black Swan” Will No Longer Do: China Warns Beware The “Gray Rhino”
When A “Black Swan” Will No Longer Do: China Warns Beware The “Gray Rhino” Early this morning, we discussed the unexpected tumble in the Chinese small-cap stock index, the ChiNext, will plunged by over 5%… … as a result of growing concerns that a new round of deleveraging is about to be imposed by Beijing […]
America, the Waning Days
America, the Waning Days Frederick Carl Frieseke Girl In Blue Arranging Flowers 1915Potential earthquakes and black swans are right ahead of us. What else is new? On April 16, Turkey has a referendum to decide whether Erdogan will become de facto supreme ruler. What happens if he loses the referendum is completely unclear, undiscussed even, […]
The Real Dangers Behind The Syrian Crisis Are Economic
The Real Dangers Behind The Syrian Crisis Are Economic Back in 2010/2011 when I was still writing under the pen-name Giordano Bruno, I warned extensively about the dangers of any destabilization in the nation of Syria, long before the real troubles began. In an article titled Migration Of The Black Swans, I pointed out that […]
