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Fracking in the UK

Fracking in the UK

Burning fossil fuels is a major cause of greenhouse gas emissions (GGE), and, greenhouse gas emissions (water vapor (H2O), carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), nitrous oxide (N2O)) are the principle cause of man-made climate change. Given this fact, governments throughout the world should be moving away from fossil fuels and investing in, and designing policies that encourage development of, renewable sources of energy. But the British Conservative government, despite public opinion to the contrary, has all but banned the construction of onshore wind turbines and is encouraging fracking in England. The Tories are the only UK political party to offer support for this regressive form of energy production, Labour, the Liberal Democrats and the Greens having all promised fracking bans should they gain political office at the next general election.

Hydraulic fracking is the process of releasing gas and oil from shale rock: huge quantities of water, proppant (usually sand) and chemicals are injected at high-pressure into hydrocarbon-bearing rocks, rocks that can be up to a mile down and were once thought to be impermeable. This process of fracturing (or cracking) forces the rocks to crack open, and gas held inside is released and allowed to flow to the surface.

Shale gas is a fossil fuel, and when combusted produces GGE, albeit at around 50% less than coal or oil, but GGE nevertheless. The leading fracking company in Britain is the energy firm Cuadrilla. An organization that according to its website, aims “to be a model company for exploring and developing shale gas in the UK,” they state that they are “acutely aware of the responsibilities this brings, particularly with regard to safety, environmental protection and working with local communities.” Really?

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The record of recent Man-made CO2 emissions: 1965 -2014

The record of recent Man-made CO2 emissions: 1965 -2014

This post, using BP statistical review (2015) data, presents CO2 trends on an absolute and per capita basis for the main global economies.  They add in the effect of recent Chinese under-reporting of CO2 emissions.  They compare CO2 emissions / head as a representation of the level of development of national groups.  In particular China overtook the EU (28) in 2012 and France has the lowest CO2 emissions / head of the developed world.  It is even less that the whole worldwide average.

If Greens wants to save the world from CO2 emissions this data wholly vindicates the use of Nuclear power for electricity generation.  Their preference for Renewable Energy, with the closure of fossil fuel generation, may destroy the progress and benefits of western civilization.

Introduction

The following calculations and graphics are based on information on national CO2 emission levels worldwide published by BP in June 2015 for the period from 1965 up until the end of 2014.

http://www.bp.com/en/global/corporate/about-bp/energy-economics/statistical-review-of-world-energy/statistical-review-downloads.html

These data and graphics have been updated in the light of the recent announcement that China has been significantly under reporting its actual CO2 emissions.

The assumption made for the additional CO2 emissions from China is calculated by assuming the emissions previously reported  by BP had increased by 17% in 2014.  Prior to that emissions are increased by 1% every year from 1998 onwards.  This may be an underestimate.

http://www.cnbc.com/2015/11/03/china-burns-much-more-coal-than-reported-complicating-climate-talks.html

These notes and figures provide a short commentary on that CO2 emissions history.

Some highlights arising from the BP data and the revisions arising from the recent announcement of under-reporting of CO2 emissions by China:

  • by 2014 CO2 emissions for the developing world were ~60% higher than those from the developed world.
  • China’s CO2 emissions / head for its population of some 1.4 billion have exceeded the average emissions/head in Europe, and China’s CO2 emissions / head was higher than most of the EU Nations except for Germany.

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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