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Tag Archives: volatility
Futures Soar On Hope Central Planners Are Back In Control, China Rollercoaster Ends In The Red
Futures Soar On Hope Central Planners Are Back In Control, China Rollercoaster Ends In The Red For the first half an hour after China opened, things looked bleak: after opening down 5%, the Shanghai Composite staged a quick relief rally, then tumbled again. And then, just around 10pm Eastern, we saw acoordinated central bank intervention stepping […]
Losing Control
Losing Control Markets are beginning to signal that policy makers are losing control. Many second-order-effects of the unprecedented and experimental global actions taken since the 2008 crisis are beginning to manifest. There are always causes and effects that develop; but they do so at different speeds. Many actions in recent years have prioritized ‘benefits today’ […]
China Soars Most Since 2009 After Government Threatens Short Sellers With Arrest, Global Stocks Surge
China Soars Most Since 2009 After Government Threatens Short Sellers With Arrest, Global Stocks Surge Here is a brief sample of some of the measures the Chinese government and the PBOC have unleashed in just the past ten days to prop up the crashing market include: a ban on major shareholders, corporate executives, directors from […]
Volatility and Sleep-Walking Markets
Volatility and Sleep-Walking Markets A recent Business Insider chart of the day feature was particularly interesting. Called The stock market is asleep, it observed that the US market has been in a period of very low volatility: Market technician Ryan Detrick noted that it’s been 8 weeks since we’ve seen a weekly move of at least […]
Bond Markets Herald an End to Cheap Government Debt
Bond Markets Herald an End to Cheap Government Debt Bond markets got choppy at the end of April, when institutional investors began lining up to bet against the market. Since then the situation has gotten worse for bond holders, as spiking yields in Germany, and even US Treasuries, have created a rush for the exit […]
QE Breeds Instability
QE Breeds Instability Central bankers have promised ad nauseum to keep rates low for long periods of time. And they have delivered. Their claim is that this helps the economy recover, but that is just a silly idea. What it does do is help create the illusion of a recovering economy. But that is mostly […]
Bond Crash Continues – Aussie & Japan Yields Burst Higher
Bond Crash Continues – Aussie & Japan Yields Burst Higher The carnage in Europe and US bonds is echoing on around the world as Aussie 10Y yields jump 15bps at the open (to 3.04% – the highest in 6 months) and the biggest 2-day spike in 2 years. JGBs are also jumping, breaking to new 6-month […]
4 Factors Signaling Volatility Will Return With A Vengeance
4 Factors Signaling Volatility Will Return With A Vengeance Buckle up. It’s going to get bumpy. No one could have predicted the sheer scope of global monetary policy bolstering the private banking and trading system. Yet, here we were – ensconced in the seventh year of capital markets being buoyed by coordinated government and central […]
Wedges and Triangles: Big Move Ahead?
Wedges and Triangles: Big Move Ahead? The central bank high is euphoric, the crash and burn equally epic. Just out of curiosity, I called up a few charts of key markets: stocks (the S&P 500), volatility (VIX), gold and the U.S. dollar (UUP, an exchange-traded fund for the dollar). Interestingly, all of these charts displayed some […]
Oil Prices Most Volatile Since 2009
Oil Prices Most Volatile Since 2009 The nearly 20 percent rally in oil prices over the past week raised hopes in the oil industry that the financial bloodshed might be over. But hopes were quickly dashed on February 4 when prices erased much of their gains – March deliveries of WTI dropped by a whopping 8 percent in a […]
Whiplash!
Whiplash! Over the course of 2014 the prices the world pays for crude oil have tumbled from over $125 per barrel to around $45 per barrel now, and could easily drop further before heading much higher before collapsing again before spiking again. You get the idea. In the end, the wild whipsawing of the oil […]
