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Tag Archives: quantitative easing
Uncertain Future for Monetary Policy as POTUS Publicly Calls for Rate Cut While Fed Holds Steady
Photo by The White House Uncertain Future for Monetary Policy as POTUS Publicly Calls for Rate Cut While Fed Holds Steady On Tuesday, POTUS took to Twitter and called for the Fed to cut rates by 1%, pointing to 3.2% GDP growth and “wonderfully low inflation.” ✔ China is adding great stimulus to its economy while […]
The Great Unknown
The Great Unknown QUESTION: Martin, if Europe and Japan have destroyed their bond markets, would it be a good idea for them to get the government out of the bond market and have short term rates be floating in the free market? The free market would probably help since they don’t know how to move rates […]
Third and Final Leg of Stock Market Crash in October or Sooner
Third and Final Leg of Stock Market Crash in October or Sooner I shared the first part of this series of articles last week, explaining why I expect the third and final leg of the crash that began in October 2018 to occur in October 2019, or sooner, and see the S&P 500 fall ~30% […]
Bank of Japan & the Bond Crisis
Bank of Japan & the Bond Crisis BoJ Statement 4-24-2019 The Great Financial Unknown is now upon us. After 10 years of Quantitative Easing, the European Central Bank (ECB) in Europe owns 40% of the national debts in the EU and it can neither sell them nor stop buying without creating a Panic in Interest […]
The Federal Reserve’s Controlled Demolition Of The Economy Is Almost Complete The Federal Reserve is an often misunderstood entity, not only in the mainstream, but also in alternative economic circles. There is this ever pervasive fantasy on both sides of the divide that the central bank actually “cares” about forever protecting the US economy, or […]
Over $10 Trillion In Debt Now Has A Negative Yield
Over $10 Trillion In Debt Now Has A Negative Yield NIRP is back. On Friday, when Germany reported disastrous mfg and service PMI prints, the 10Y German Bund finally threw in the towel, with the yield sliding back under zero for the first time in three years. When that happened, and when the 3M-10Y yield […]
Changes in Government Deposits and Money Supply
CHANGES IN GOVERNMENT DEPOSITS AND MONEY SUPPLY The US debt ceiling suspension, signed in February 2018, expires at the beginning of March this year. Some commentators are of the view that the US Treasury must carry out special measures if it expects a delay in raising the debt ceiling in March. The Treasury would have […]
Don’t Be So Negative
DON’T BE SO NEGATIVE “FED’S WILLIAMS SAYS IN A DOWNTURN WE COULD CONSIDER QUANTITATIVE EASING, NEGATIVE RATES.” Tweet by Reuters’ Jennifer Ablan, reporting on a speech by John Williams of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York at the Economic Club of New York, 6 March 2019. “Because NIRP worked so well in Europe and […]
A Week in the Life of a Topsy-Turvy Wildly Whirling World
A Week in the Life of a Topsy-Turvy Wildly Whirling World Let’s review this past devilishly whacky week to see if we can divine the way the world is turning and why the markets are churning. It was 2019’s worst week in stocks and, well, just about everything economic all across this crazily spinning planet. […]
Economic Doom Loop Well Underway
Economic Doom Loop Well Underway From 2007 through 2018, births in the US have declined by 470 thousand on an annual basis, or an 11% decline. The US fertility rate has likewise cracked lower, from 2.12 births to 1.72, an 18% decline (2.1 births over a females childbearing years is considered zero growth). This has resulted in 4.5 million fewer net births in the […]
Central Bank Balance Sheet Reductions–Will Anyone Follow the Fed?
CENTRAL BANK BALANCE SHEET REDUCTIONS – WILL ANYONE FOLLOW THE FED? The next wave of QE will be different, credit spreads will be controlled The Federal Reserve may continue to tighten but few other CB’s can follow ECB balance sheet reduction might occur if a crisis does not arrive first Interest rates are likely to […]
For the First Time Since 2007, Central Banks Are Net DRAINING Liquidity
For the First Time Since 2007, Central Banks Are Net DRAINING Liquidity Yesterday was a wake up call for the bulls. Unfortunately it’s only going to get worse. The fact is that no matter what verbal interventions Central Banks or the political elite issue, liquidity is now rapidly leaving the financial system. The Fed continues […]
Why Monetary Easing Will Fail
WHY MONETARY EASING WILL FAIL The major economies have slowed suddenly in the last two or three months, prompting a change of tack in the monetary policies of central banks. The same old tired, failing inflationist responses are being lined up, despite the evidence that monetary easing has never stopped a credit crisis developing. This […]
An Obituary: Fred Credibility
An Obituary: Fred Credibility As with many terminal patients the initial hope is that aggressive treatment would work and cure the patient. But when the one time emergency round of drugs didn’t cure the patient additional drugs were needed and turned the patient into a hopeless junkie. After multiple injections a sense of dread was […]
