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IMF Warns That We Have a New Crisis Coming

IMF Warns That We Have a New Crisis Coming QUESTION: Marty; You mentioned that you met with a board member of the IMF. It certainly seems you are having a much larger impact than you may realize. The IMF is now warning of a crash. Do you think you can help reverse the trend if given […]

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Macroeconomic Instability For Emerging Markets Thanks To Commodity Bust

Macroeconomic Instability For Emerging Markets Thanks To Commodity Bust The bust in commodity prices is sending ripples through the world of emerging markets. Countries depending on resource extraction and exports of commodities have run into a brick wall this year the prices collapsed for all sorts of materials – oil, gas, coal, gold, copper, and […]

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The world economic order is collapsing and this time there seems no way out

The world economic order is collapsing and this time there seems no way out Europe has seen nothing like this for 70 years – the visible expression of a world where order is collapsing. The millions of refugees fleeing from ceaseless Middle Eastern war and barbarism are voting with their feet, despairing of their futures. The catalyst […]

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The Hidden Debt Burden of Emerging Markets

The Hidden Debt Burden of Emerging Markets As central bankers and finance ministers from around the globe gather for the International Monetary Fund’s annual meetings here in Peru, the emerging world is rife with symptoms of increasing economic vulnerability. Gone are the days when IMF meetings were monopolized by the problems of the advanced economies […]

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High Priests of Global Finance Stoke Emerging Market Fears

High Priests of Global Finance Stoke Emerging Market Fears Two of the most important guardians of global finance, the IMF (International Monetary Fund) and the IIF (Institute of International Finance), gave their verdict on the current state of the global economy this week. And their message could not be clearer: beware the dreaded fate of […]

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How Bad Can This Get, And How Fast?

How Bad Can This Get, And How Fast? There’s so much negative real bad economic and financial news out there that it’s hard to choose a ‘favorite’, but I guess I’m going to have to go with what underlies and ‘structures’ it all, the IIF stating that for the first time since 1988 and the […]

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In Latest Sign Of EM Chaos, Turkey’s FX Reserves Fall Below Key Threshold Ahead Of Pivotal Elections

In Latest Sign Of EM Chaos, Turkey’s FX Reserves Fall Below Key Threshold Ahead Of Pivotal Elections One of the key things to understand about the veritable meltdown that’s unfolded across emerging markets is that there’s more to the story than the headline risk factors. That is, while the list of proximate causes that includes […]

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Look Out Below: Corporate Debt In Emerging Markets Has QUADRUPLED Since 2004

Look Out Below: Corporate Debt In Emerging Markets Has QUADRUPLED Since 2004 Debt has skyrocketed globally. And see this. Governments have – of course – dramatically increased their debt since 2008 to fund questionable actions. But 141 years of history shows that excessive private debt in and of itself can cause depressions. American corporations are piling on record amounts of debt. And see this. Private debt […]

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Dying Petrodollar Ripples Through Markets As Asset Managers Bemoan Loss Of Saudi Bid

Dying Petrodollar Ripples Through Markets As Asset Managers Bemoan Loss Of Saudi Bid One of the key things to understand about China’s liquidation of hundreds of billions in US paper is that far from being a country-specific phenomenon, it actually marks the continuation of something that’s been taking place in other emerging markets for some […]

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From ZIRP to NIRP

From ZIRP to NIRP The sudden end of the Fed’s ambition to raise interest rates above the zero bound, coupled with the FOMC’s minutes, which expressed concerns about emerging market economies, has got financial scribblers writing about negative interest rate policies (NIRP). Coincidentally, Andrew Haldane, the chief economist at the Bank of England, published a […]

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Fed’s “Doom Loop” Locks Us On Course for Another Crisis

Fed’s “Doom Loop” Locks Us On Course for Another Crisis Too Much of a Good Thing PARIS – We’ve seen at least three articles explaining why the Fed failed to increase interest rates last Thursday. One says Goldman Sachs is calling the shots now. Another says China has the Fed under its thumb. Still another […]

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“Emerging Markets Are On The Verge Of Liquidation” Top Performing Hedge Fund Manager Warns; “QE4 Is Coming”

“Emerging Markets Are On The Verge Of Liquidation” Top Performing Hedge Fund Manager Warns; “QE4 Is Coming” Until recently, John Burbank’s Passport Capital was one of the top 15 performing hedge funds in 2015. Recent events have only led to an even higher YTD P&L making Burbank one of the top performing managers of 2015: […]

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Rousseff Coup Could Sink Brazil, Emerging Markets

Rousseff Coup Could Sink Brazil, Emerging Markets Dolls in likeness of Lula da Silva, Rouseff. Source: The Guardian Brazil’s President Dilma Rousseff’s approval rating has plummeted to 8% amid the country’s worst recession in two decades. Her job is at risk too. Earlier this week opponents filed a petition to impeach Rousseff due to allegations of corruption […]

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Riding ZIRP Into The Doom Loop—–Monetary Central Planning’s Dead End

Riding ZIRP Into The Doom Loop—–Monetary Central Planning’s Dead End What the Fed really decided Thursday was to ride the zero-bound right smack into the next recession. When that calamity happens not too many months from now, the 28-year experiment in monetary central planning inaugurated by a desperate Alan Greenspan after Black Monday in October 1987 will come to […]

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World Is Now “More Exposed than Ever” to Explosive Dollar

World Is Now “More Exposed than Ever” to Explosive Dollar One of the craziest financial creations on earth, available only near the peak of enormous credit bubbles when nothing can ever go wrong, became available this spring: 100-year bonds issued by governments or companies in emerging countries, in currencies they don’t control. Yield hungry investors […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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