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A Contagious Crisis Of Confidence In Corporate Credit

A Contagious Crisis Of Confidence In Corporate Credit Credit is not innately good or bad. Simplistically, productive Credit is constructive, while non-productive Credit is inevitably problematic. This crucial distinction tends to be masked throughout the boom period. Worse yet, a prolonged boom in “productive” Credit – surely fueled by some type of underlying monetary disorder – can […]

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Citi: “There Was Something About The Entire Recovery Narrative That Is Downright Wrong”

Citi: “There Was Something About The Entire Recovery Narrative That Is Downright Wrong” Yesterday, we laid out what according to Citi’s Matt King, one of the most insightful and respected credit analysts in the world, is most surprising about the ongoing market selloff: the odd interplay between some asset classes which are declining in an orderly, almost […]

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637 Rate Cuts And $12.3 Trillion In Global QE Later, World Shocked To Find “Quantitative Failure”

637 Rate Cuts And $12.3 Trillion In Global QE Later, World Shocked To Find “Quantitative Failure” 2016 is shaping up to be the year that everyone finally comes to terms with the fact that the monetary emperors truly have no clothes. To be sure, it’s been a long time coming. For nearly 8 years, market […]

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This Is The NIRP “Doom Loop” That Threatens To Wipeout Banks And The Global Economy

This Is The NIRP “Doom Loop” That Threatens To Wipeout Banks And The Global Economy Remember the vicious cycle that threatened the entire European banking sector in 2012? It went something like this: over indebted sovereigns depended on domestic banks to buy their debt, but when yields on that debt spiked, the banks took a […]

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Oil Glut Compounded By Cracks In Global Economy

Oil Glut Compounded By Cracks In Global Economy Will oil go below $20? Jeffrey Currie, the head of commodities research at Goldman Sachs, said on Bloomberg TV on Tuesday that he wouldn’t be surprised if oil dipped “into the teens.” That would upend the financial prospects for a lot of oil and gas companies. In January, Moody’s […]

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Why Markets Are Crashing: “Faith In Central Banks Fails”

Why Markets Are Crashing: “Faith In Central Banks Fails” While Citigroup’s Eric Lee thinks its “ridiculous” to talk fo a US recession, it appears the macro data and markets would strongly disagree: as Bloomberg reports: Signals by central banks from Europe to Japan that additional stimulus is at the ready are failing to ease investor […]

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“It’s Worse Than 2008”: CEO Of World’s Largest Shipping Company Delivers Dire Assessment Of Global Economy

“It’s Worse Than 2008”: CEO Of World’s Largest Shipping Company Delivers Dire Assessment Of Global Economy Earlier today, we highlighted the rather abysmal results reported by Maersk, the world’s largest shipping company. To the extent the conglomerate is a bellwether for global growth and trade, things are looking pretty grim. Maersk Line – the company’s […]

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Notes from the Locked Ward

Notes from the Locked Ward The remaining Americans sound-of-mind must view the primary election spectacle with mounting sensations of wonder, nausea, and panic. It’s one thing for the financial system to crack up, and another thing for social norms to disintegrate, and still another for the political system to become a locked ward of obvious […]

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Why the Wild Descent of Oil Is Cause for Concern

Why the Wild Descent of Oil Is Cause for Concern Low prices once signalled good news for the global economy. Not this time. Global markets now behave like digital roller-coasters from China to Europe. Oil photo via Shutterstock. The signs of oil’s madcap price collapse are everywhere. Global markets now behave like digital roller-coasters from China to […]

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The Chart of Doom: When Private Credit Stops Expanding…

The Chart of Doom: When Private Credit Stops Expanding…  Once private credit rolls over in China and the U.S., the global recession will start its rapid slide down the Seneca Cliff. Few question the importance of private credit in the global economy. When households and businesses are borrowing to expand production and buy homes, vehicles, etc., […]

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Seen So Far In 2016 Is Just The Beginning

22 Signs That The Global Economic Turmoil We Have Seen So Far In 2016 Is Just The Beginning As bad as the month of January was for the global economy, the truth is that the rest of 2016 promises to be much worse.  Layoffs are increasing at a pace that we haven’t seen since the […]

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World’s Biggest Containership “Hard Aground” As Baltic Dry Crashes Below 300 For First Time Ever

World’s Biggest Containership “Hard Aground” As Baltic Dry Crashes Below 300 For First Time Ever Before this year the lowest level The Baltic Dry Index had reached was 556 in August of 1986 and the highest was in June 2008 at a stunning 11,612. Today saw the freight index hit a new milestone however, crashing […]

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The Global Economy’s New Abnormal

The Global Economy’s New Abnormal NEW YORK – Since the beginning of the year, the world economy has faced a new bout of severe financial market volatility, marked by sharply falling prices for equities and other risky assets. A variety of factors are at work: concerns about a hard landing for the Chinese economy; worries that growth […]

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The Global Economy Could Fall Farther and Faster Than Pundits Expect

The Global Economy Could Fall Farther and Faster Than Pundits Expect Systemic fragility doesn’t respond to central bank jawboning or Keynesian claptrap; unlike those “policy tools,” fragility is real. The core narrative of central bank/cartel capitalism is centralized agencies have the power to limit downturns and extend credit-based “good times” almost indefinitely. The centralized power bag […]

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“The Fed Suspended The Laws Of The Market In Order To Save It” – What Happens Next

“The Fed Suspended The Laws Of The Market In Order To Save It” – What Happens Next That the Fed has been boxed in by unleashing destructive monetary policies to “fix” decades of prior policy mistakes, is something we have been warning about since our first day. And, with every passing day that the Fed […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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