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Tag Archives: volatility
2016, The Year Of The Red Monkey: Expect Wild, Unending Volatility
2016, The Year Of The Red Monkey: Expect Wild, Unending Volatility The past 25 years of “growth” and brief recessions may not be a good guide to the next few years. In the lunar calendar that started February 8, this is the Year of the Red Monkey. I found this description of the Red Monkey […]
2008 Revisited?
2008 Revisited? NEW YORK – The question I am asked most often nowadays is this: Are we back to 2008 and another global financial crisis and recession? My answer is a straightforward no, but that the recent episode of global financial market turmoil is likely to be more serious than any period of volatility and […]
“There’s A Feeling Of Bits Of Ice Cracking All At Once” – This Is The ‘Big New Threat’ To Oil Prices
“There’s A Feeling Of Bits Of Ice Cracking All At Once” – This Is The ‘Big New Threat’ To Oil Prices One week ago, we reported that even as traders were focusing on the daily headline barrage out of OPEC members discussing whether or not they would cut production (they won’t) or merely freeze it (at fresh […]
Here Comes The Red Swan And Other Reasons To Be Very Afraid
Here Comes The Red Swan And Other Reasons To Be Very Afraid The Red Chip casino took another one of its patented 6.5% belly flops last night. In fact, more than 1,300 stocks in Shanghai and Shenzhen fell by 10%—the maximum drop permitted by regulators in one day—–implying that the real decline was far deeper. This renewed carnage was the […]
G-20 Needs To “Man Up” Or Risk Sparking Market Chaos, Citi Warns
G-20 Needs To “Man Up” Or Risk Sparking Market Chaos, Citi Warns Two days ago, the man who now signs your Federal Reserve notes threw cold water on hopes for a so-called “Shanghai Accord.” Over the past month or so, anticipation has built among market participants for some manner of coordinated policy response at this weekend’s G20 summit […]
Satyajit Das: This Is Why You Can Expect Another Global Stock Market Meltdown
Satyajit Das: This Is Why You Can Expect Another Global Stock Market Meltdown Authored by Satyajit Das’, author of the new book “The Age Of Stagnation” (via MarketWatch), The mispricing of assets across world markets has reached epidemic proportions. Stock prices have made strong advances over the past several years, yet market analysts see further gains, arguing that […]
According To Morgan Stanley This Is The Biggest Threat To Deutsche Bank’s Survival
According To Morgan Stanley This Is The Biggest Threat To Deutsche Bank’s Survival Two weeks ago, on one of the slides in a Morgan Stanley presentation, we found something which we thought was quite disturbing. According to the bank’s head of EMEA research Huw van Steenis, while in Davos, he sat “next to someone in policy […]
Even The Average Joe Gets It: “They’re Winding Us All Up For A Minsky Moment”
Even The Average Joe Gets It: “They’re Winding Us All Up For A Minsky Moment” With global central bank policy in disarray following the Fed’s now admitted “policy error” of tightening just as the US and global economy are heading for recession, while the rest of the world desperate to cut to ever more negative […]
The World Is Hoarding Gold: “This Was Just A Taste Of What’s To Come”
The World Is Hoarding Gold: “This Was Just A Taste Of What’s To Come” Earlier this month, as retail investors lost confidence in the global economy and broader stock markets, an air of panic began to set in. Reports indicate the lines were literally forming around the block at gold stores throughout London and elsewhere. It was, by […]
Panic Below The Surface: “Banks Are Selling Energy Loans At Cents On The Dollar To Ensure Their Own Survival”
Panic Below The Surface: “Banks Are Selling Energy Loans At Cents On The Dollar To Ensure Their Own Survival” One week ago, when we commented on the latest weekly update from Credit Suisse’s very well hooked-in energy analyst James Wicklund, one particular phrase stuck out when looking at the upcoming contraction of Oil and Gas liquidity: “while […]
What’s Holding Back the World Economy?
What’s Holding Back the World Economy? NEW YORK – Seven years after the global financial crisis erupted in 2008, the world economy continued to stumble in 2015. According to the United Nations’ report World Economic Situation and Prospects 2016, the average growth rate in developed economies has declined by more than 54% since the crisis. An […]
Negative Interest Rates Already In Fed’s Official Scenario
Negative Interest Rates Already In Fed’s Official Scenario Over the past year, and certainly in the aftermath of the BOJ’s both perplexing and stunning announcement (as it revealed the central banks’ level of sheer desperation), we have warned (most recently “Negative Rates In The U.S. Are Next: Here’s Why In One Chart”) that next in […]
