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Not Winning: Collapse in Global Trade Escalates, Imports -2.7%, Exports -4.0%
Not Winning: Collapse in Global Trade Escalates, Imports -2.7%, Exports -4.0% Those who claim that Trump has already won or is sure to win the trade war need to ponder actual trade results. Exports rose 1.0% in March with imports up a reported 0.9%. That progress was taken away and then some in April. The Census […]
Beijing “Seriously Considering” Rare-Earth Export Ban
Beijing “Seriously Considering” Rare-Earth Export Ban Following what was a mostly quiet holiday weekend for trade-war-related rhetoric (other than a dollop of trade-deal optimism offer by President Trump, little was said by either side), Beijing has started the holiday-shortened week by reiterating threats to embrace what we have described as a ‘nuclear’ option: restricting exports of rare earth […]
China Enraged After US Sails Two Destroyers Through Taiwan Strait
China Enraged After US Sails Two Destroyers Through Taiwan Strait Just in case the “world tech and trade war I” was not enough to send US-China relations back decades, on Wednesday the US military sent two Navy destroyers through the Taiwan Strait in its latest transit through the sensitive waterway, “angering China” at a time […]
99 Lead Balloons… Are About To Come Crashing Down
99 Lead Balloons… Are About To Come Crashing Down ‘Lead balloon.’ That graphic description of public failure apparently dates from the US in 1924, and ironically was itself such a poorly-received idiom that it didn’t appear in the American press again until 1947. A few decades later, and the phrase was so well known that a […]
China’s Nuclear Option to Sell US Treasurys, Report 19 May
China’s Nuclear Option to Sell US Treasurys, Report 19 May There is a drumbeat pounding on a monetary issue, which is now rising into a crescendo. The issue is: China might sell its holdings of Treasury bonds—well over $1 trillion—and crash the Treasury bond market. Since the interest rate is inverse to the bond price, […]
On Hostile Coexistence with China
On Hostile Coexistence with China President Trump’s trade war with China has quickly metastasized into every other domain of Sino-American relations. Washington is now trying to dismantle China’s interdependence with the American economy, curb its role in global governance, counter its foreign investments, cripple its companies, block its technological advance, punish its many deviations from […]
Post-tariff considerations
Post-tariff considerations President Trump has declared he will extend tariffs of 25% on all America’s imports of Chinese goods. China is responding with tariff increases of its own. The consequences of this action and reaction will be to kick-start higher monetary inflation in America and an economic slump. This article explains how an overdue credit […]
“Significant Slowdown” Spooks Maersk At Mediterranean’s Third Largest Port
“Significant Slowdown” Spooks Maersk At Mediterranean’s Third Largest Port Malta Freeport, the third largest transshipment port in the Mediterranean region and located on the island of Malta, has seen a “significant slowdown in business activity” since 2H18. One of its major clients, Maersk, the largest container ship and supply vessel operator in the world, has […]
Stocks Crater – 3.5 Trillion Dollars In Global Market Cap Wiped Out – China Considers “Dumping U.S. Treasuries”
Stocks Crater – 3.5 Trillion Dollars In Global Market Cap Wiped Out – China Considers “Dumping U.S. Treasuries” Wall Street responded to our escalating trade war with China by throwing a bit of a temper tantrum. On Monday the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 617 points, and that was the worst day for the […]
Seeds Sown for Major Transatlantic Trade War Starting in May
Seeds Sown for Major Transatlantic Trade War Starting in May Trump wants a trade treaty with the EU to include agriculture. France says no. It only takes one. Trump has made a considerable number of trade threats only to eventually back down. Will it play out that way again? For a number of reasons, I […]
The U.S. Faces A Catastrophic Food Supply Crisis In America As Farmers Struggle
The U.S. Faces A Catastrophic Food Supply Crisis In America As Farmers Struggle American farmers are battling several issues when it comes to producing our food. Regulated low prices, tariffs, and the inability to export have all cut into the salaries of farmers. They are officially in crisis mode, just like the United States’ food supply. “The […]
U.S.-China War May Be “Just A Shot Away”
U.S.-China War May Be “Just A Shot Away” – “World’s most dangerous hotspot” is in the South China Sea– Currency and trade wars can lead to shooting wars warns Rickards– Chinese buildup in South China Sea like ‘preparing for World War III’ says US senator (see news)– U.S.-China shooting war could be, as Mick Jagger put it, […]
Risks to the Global Economy in 2019
Adam Gault/Getty Image Risks to the Global Economy in 2019 Over the course of this year and next, the biggest economic risks will emerge in those areas where investors think recent patterns are unlikely to change. They will include a growth recession in China, a rise in global long-term real interest rates, and a crescendo […]
Some Confucian Calm, Please!
SOME CONFUCIAN CALM, PLEASE! The United States and China look like two punch-drunk prizefighters squaring off for a major championship fight. They have no good reason to fight and every reason to cooperate now that both their stock markets have been in turmoil. Six hundred point market swings down and then up look like symptoms […]
