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Tag Archives: recession
The hidden recession of 2020
The hidden recession of 2020 After 20 months of economy-wrecking lockdowns and restrictions, 2019 is fondly remembered as a period of prosperous calm. Memories though, are deceptive. And in the days before we learned what gain-of-function meant, things were not as rosy as they now seem. Although the decade 2009-2019 was officially one of the […]
The next recession: Here’s when the ‘everything bubble’ will burst
The next recession: Here’s when the ‘everything bubble’ will burst In October 20XX. That’s not a typo. To reach the best guesstimate of when the next recession will begin, we need to understand how the Federal Reserve creates unsustainable booms and why the next bust may be just around the corner. A caveat is in […]
A red light on the dashboard
A red light on the dashboard On New Year’s Eve 2006-7, something unexpected happened. For most of the previous two decades, most of the pubs where I live had operated a system where they gave tickets to regular drinkers in order to limit the number of people seeking entry. This was a problem because one […]
Energy Demand Destruction Will Lead To Global Recession, Tellurian Chairman Warns
Energy Demand Destruction Will Lead To Global Recession, Tellurian Chairman Warns One month ago, Goldman said that the one thing that could accelerate the resolution of Europe’s energy crisis was plain, simple “demand destruction” – i.e., a plunge in demand due to prices that were too high until the reduced demand leads to less supply and a […]
Japan’s Economy Is Again Struggling
Japan’s Economy Is Again Struggling Japan. the world’s third-largest economy is highly dependent on exports and the reality it is still struggling even after a great deal of America’s stimulus money leaked into buying imported goods speaks volumes. While it feels a bit like ancient history, Japan’s GDP contracted at an annualized rate of 28.8 […]
The Coming Financial Crisis of 2021
The Coming Financial Crisis of 2021 Economist Steve Keen issues new warning Economist Steve Keen predicts that even if the covid-19 health crisis subsides next year, a brewing financial crisis on par with the 2008 Great Recession is in the making. He sees the pandemic as having delivered an “unprecedented shock” to the global economy, […]
Keynesian Ideas Can Only Make Things Worse
KEYNESIAN IDEAS CAN ONLY MAKE THINGS WORSE In the New York Times on September 8, 2020, Paul Krugman suggested that “The CARES Act, enacted in March, gave the unemployed an extra $600 a week in benefits. This supplement played a crucial role in limiting extreme hardship; poverty may even have gone down”. For Krugman and […]
France Again Being Forced To Stimulate Is Bad News
France Again Being Forced To Stimulate Is Bad News France Holds Title Of World’s Most Visited Nation On Thursday the French government rolled out a new stimulus plan The fact France is again forced to stimulate its economy should be viewed as bad news. The move reflects the reality that all is not well and […]
Blain’s Morning Porridge – Aug 11 2020 – Who Pulled the Plug?
Blain’s Morning Porridge – Aug 11 2020 – Who Pulled the Plug? “Unnervingly coherent and laughably mindless” This morning’s opening quote isn’t an independent assessment of the Morning Porridge – but is lifted from a newspaper article on Artificial Intelligence. It ends on a very scary tag: the AI is asked if it is conscious […]
The Numbers Tell Us That The ‘Economic Recovery’ Is Dead And Businesses Are Failing At A Staggering Pace
The Numbers Tell Us That The ‘Economic Recovery’ Is Dead And Businesses Are Failing At A Staggering Pace Even though economic conditions were absolutely awful, during the month of June the mainstream media kept insisting that the U.S. economy was “recovering” and the stock market kept surging on every hint of good news. But now […]
Never Before Has So Much Stimulus Been Injected In The Economy In A Single Quarter
Never Before Has So Much Stimulus Been Injected In The Economy In A Single Quarter Pandemic-Driven Recession Is Not Over Back-to-back strong monthly gains in retail sales in May and June and a powerful rebound in the equity markets in Q2 create the impression the recession is over. But the recessionary environment is only delayed, […]
Chinese Debt Could Cause Emerging Markets to Implode
CHINESE DEBT COULD CAUSE EMERGING MARKETS TO IMPLODE The novel coronavirus has brought the world economy to a grinding halt. Global growth is set to fall from 2.9 percent last year into deep negative territory in 2020—the only year besides 2009 that this has happened since World War II. Recovery will likely be slow and […]
Recession Begins: Q1 GDP Plunges 4.8%, Biggest Drop Since The Financial Crisis
Recession Begins: Q1 GDP Plunges 4.8%, Biggest Drop Since The Financial Crisis With news that the Gilead Remdesivir trial had reportedly met its primary endpoint hitting “coincidentally” just seconds before the Q1 GDP print, and with newswires initially reporting the GDP erroneously as a positive 4.8% print, it was clear that the real number would be a disaster, and […]
Insuring against catastrophe: The coronavirus predicament
Insuring against catastrophe: The coronavirus predicament People insure themselves against many types of potential catastrophes: a house fire, a car accident, the untimely death of a spouse, a serious health problem. For other unexpected expenses, prudent people, as we say, save money “for a rainy day.” For some reason people and governments have chosen not […]
Worst Recession in 150 Years
Worst Recession in 150 Years The stock market had another big day today, spurred by the Fed’s massive recent liquidity injections. But you really shouldn’t be terribly surprised by the rally. Even the worst bear markets see substantial bouncebacks. And you can expect the market to give back all of its recent gains in the […]
