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The Great Fall Of China Started At Least 4 Years Ago

The Great Fall Of China Started At Least 4 Years Ago Looking through a bunch of numbers and graphs dealing with China recently, it occurred to us that perhaps we, and most others with us, may need to recalibrate our focus on what to emphasize amongst everything we read and hear, if we’re looking to […]

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About 38% of All the Comex Gold in Hong Kong Left the Warehouses Yesterday

About 38% of All the Comex Gold in Hong Kong Left the Warehouses Yesterday Perhaps it went out for some dim sum.  TTFN, but be right back! Roughly 21 tonnes, or 685,652 troy ounces of gold in .999 fine kilo bars, was withdrawn, net of a small deposit of 27,328 ounces, from the Brinks warehouse […]

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Gold Standard Nonsense Compelling Us To Repeat History

Gold Standard Nonsense Compelling Us To Repeat History COMMENT: “The system is collapsing. It is not because of some derivatives bubble. It is not because of fiat. This is because of the debt gone wild” Sure! And you don’t see the connection with the lack of a gold standard? This would never have happened during […]

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Why Are The IMF, The UN, The BIS And Citibank All Warning That An Economic Crisis Could Be Imminent?

Why Are The IMF, The UN, The BIS And Citibank All Warning That An Economic Crisis Could Be Imminent? The warnings are getting louder.  Is anybody listening?  For months, I have been documenting on my website how the global financial system is absolutely primed for a crisis, and now some of the most important financial institutions in […]

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The Next Financial Crisis Won’t be Like the Last One

The Next Financial Crisis Won’t be Like the Last One It seems increasingly likely the next Global Financial Meltdown will arise in the FX/currency markets. Central banks are like generals: they tend to fight the last war. The Great Financial meltdown of 2008 was centered in too big to fail, too big to jailtransnational banks and other […]

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Manipulation = Fragility

Manipulation = Fragility In markets distorted by permanent manipulation the most powerful incentive is to borrow as much money as you can and leverage it as much as you can to maximize your gains in risk-on asset bubbles. A core dynamic is laying waste to global financial markets: the greater the level of central bank/government manipulation, […]

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Counterintuitive: (Some) volatility is good for you, stability not so much

Counterintuitive: (Some) volatility is good for you, stability not so much With stock markets around the world plunging and commodity prices in free fall, it seems appropriate to return to a theme which I’ve taken up previously: That a certain amount of volatility is good for humans and the systems they build, and that attempts to […]

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Only The Date Is Unknown

Only The Date Is Unknown The US and world economies are frauds that are coming unraveled. The Greek bailout is the most recent example of “kick the can down the road” solutions. The US housing bubble was an attempt to cover up/recover from the dot-com bust. Now the US is in a financial bubble engineered to recover […]

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The Big Picture

The Big Picture The past four years or so have been extremely frustrating for investors like me who have structured their portfolios around the belief that the current experiments in central bank stimulus, the anti-business drift in Washington, and America’s  mediocre economy and unresolved debt issues would push down the value of the dollar, push up […]

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The German Siege Of Greece Begins (No, This Is Not A Repeat From 1941)

The German Siege Of Greece Begins (No, This Is Not A Repeat From 1941) Did you notice that Greece’s creditors are not rushing to offer the Greeks a new deal in the wake of the stunning referendum result on Sunday?  In fact, it is being reported that the initial reaction to the “no” vote from top European […]

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“It’s Time To Hold Physical Cash”, Fidelity Manager Warns Ahead Of “Systemic Event”

“It’s Time To Hold Physical Cash”, Fidelity Manager Warns Ahead Of “Systemic Event” As Jamie Dimon recently noted while discussing the perils of illiquid fixed income markets, the statistics around “tail events” can no longer be trusted. In other words, 6, 7, or 8 standard deviation moves that in theory should only happen once every two or […]

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Wave of Defaults, Bankruptcies Spook Bond Investors

Wave of Defaults, Bankruptcies Spook Bond Investors First things first: Investor desperation for yield, any discernible yield no matter what the risks, and blind confidence that all this will work out somehow are waning. Now questions pop up here and there, and investors are beginning to open their eyes just a tad amid waves of […]

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How the Liquidity “Delusion” Leads to a Crash

How the Liquidity “Delusion” Leads to a Crash They were just about all there at the Las Vegas SkyBridge Alternatives Conference, or SALT: Daniel Loeb, T. Boone Pickens, and of course George Papandreou, who in March 2011 as Greek prime minister had produced one of the funniest official Eurozone lies ever when he reassured those that were […]

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The Moment When The San Francisco Fed Finally Figures Out What “Debt” Is

The Moment When The San Francisco Fed Finally Figures Out What “Debt” Is The San Fran Fed, in addition to being the lair that hatched the current Fed chairmanwoman, is best know for spending millions in taxpayer funds to “contemplate” such profound topics as: “Is It Still Worth Going To College?” “How Important Are Hedge […]

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Household Debt Soars in Canada, “Stability” at Risk

Household Debt Soars in Canada, “Stability” at Risk Debt by Canadian households is a special phenomenon. Statistics Canada reported today that in the fourth quarter, household debt set another breath-taking record. Earlier this month, even Equifax Canada, which is in the business of facilitating and increasing this indebtedness, had warned about it. The total indebtedness […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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