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The Great Depression II
The Great Depression II Whenever a movie has been a huge hit, the film industry tries to follow it up by doing a sequel. The sequel is almost invariably far more costly, as there’s the anticipation by those who create it that it will be an even bigger blockbuster than the original. The Great Depression […]
Weekly Commentary: Rude Awakening Coming
Weekly Commentary: Rude Awakening Coming Please join Doug Noland and David McAlvany this Thursday, October 18th, at 4:00PM EST/ 2:00pm MST for the Tactical Short Q3 recap conference call, “Market Contagion is Back.” Click here to register. There’s little satisfaction writing the CBB after a big down week in the markets. Motivation seems easier to […]
Inverted Global Yield Curve Creates “The Perfect Cocktail For A Liquidity Crunch” As The IMF Warns Of “A Second Great Depression”
Inverted Global Yield Curve Creates “The Perfect Cocktail For A Liquidity Crunch” As The IMF Warns Of “A Second Great Depression” Why would the IMF use the phrase “a second Great Depression” in a report that they know the entire world will read? To be more precise, the IMF stated that “large challenges loom for […]
Three New Deals: Why the Nazis and Fascists Loved FDR
Three New Deals: Why the Nazis and Fascists Loved FDR [Three New Deals: Reflections on Roosevelt’s America, Mussolini’s Italy, and Hitler’s Germany, 1933-1939. By Wolfgang Schivelbusch. Metropolitan Books, 2006. 242 pgs.] Critics of Roosevelt’s New Deal often liken it to fascism. Roosevelt’s numerous defenders dismiss this charge as reactionary propaganda; but as Wolfgang Schivelbusch makes […]
Seth Klarman: These Are The 20 Forgotten Lessons From The 2008 Crisis
Seth Klarman: These Are The 20 Forgotten Lessons From The 2008 Crisis On the 10 year anniversary of the Lehman bankruptcy, a cottage industry of crisis experts, historical apologists, and generally freelance reminiscers (sic) had emerged, opining on what happened, what should have happened, what changed in the interim ten years, and what will happen […]
Oil Prices Have Been Rising And $4 A Gallon Gasoline Would Put Enormous Stress On The U.S. Economy
Oil Prices Have Been Rising And $4 A Gallon Gasoline Would Put Enormous Stress On The U.S. Economy Thanks to increasing demand and upcoming U.S. sanctions against Iran, oil prices have been rising and some analysts are forecasting that they will surge even higher in the months ahead. Unfortunately, that would be very bad news […]
President Franklin D. Roosevelt: Architect of Monetary Madness and a U.S. Debt Default
President Franklin D. Roosevelt: Architect of Monetary Madness and a U.S. Debt Default Every schoolchild is dutifully taught that President Franklin D. Roosevelt (FDR) was America’s savior. They are repeatedly told that FDR and his New Deal policies pulled the U.S. out of the Great Depression. What nonsense. In fact, FDR was the architect of […]
Where It All Began: The Dawn of “Fake News”
Where It All Began: The Dawn of “Fake News” It has long been suggested that the first full-blown example of “fake news”—where patently false information is intentionally presented in a phony but utterly believable “news media” format in order to sway public opinion—occurred during the watershed 1934 California gubernatorial election. The two principals were Republican […]
The crash of 1929
The crash of 1929 In the 4th of February, we published a blog entry detailing the similarities of the current stock market environment with that before the stock market crash in 1987. On February 5th, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) experienced the worst daily point decline of its history. Since then, the stock market […]
Winter is Coming
WINTER IS COMING “Summer will end soon enough, and childhood as well.” – George R.R. Martin, Game of Thrones “Reflect on what happens when a terrible winter blizzard strikes. You hear the weather warning but probably fail to act on it. The sky darkens. Then the storm hits with full fury, and the air is […]
Surviving The Next Great Depression
Surviving The Next Great Depression Numerous economists and investors are warning of another great financial crisis to come but few people want to listen to them. No crisis is ever exactly like the last one and the next great depression will be different from the last one. In the last depression those who had money were […]
Stocks Post WORST April Start Since The Great Depression
Stocks Post WORST April Start Since The Great Depression The S&P 500 closed down more than 2.4% Monday and the broad market index posted its worst April start since 1929. This slide in the markets caused the worst start since the Great Depression, sparking fears we are on the same path. The Dow Jones industrial average fell […]
Uneven Economy & The Hidden Depression
Uneven Economy & The Hidden Depression Are we in a depression? The question seems absurd. There has been GDP growth since 2009 and some mild inflation to go with it. In fact, this is the second longest economic expansion on record. As Robert Shiller said over the weekend (though in the context of warning against […]
Why Mainstream Economics Consistently Fails to Explain the Occurrence of Recessions?
WHY MAINSTREAM ECONOMICS CONSISTENTLY FAILS TO EXPLAIN THE OCCURRENCE OF RECESSIONS? In his article released on March 21 2018 – Economics failed us before the global crisis – Martin Wolf the economics editor of The Financial Times expressed some misgivings about macroeconomics. Economics is, like medicine (and unlike, say, cosmology), a practical discipline. Its goal […]
High Debt Levels Rant
HIGH DEBT LEVELS RANT I am going to break from regular market commentary to step back and think about the big picture as it relates to debt and inflation. Let’s call it philosophical Friday. But don’t worry, there will be no bearded left-wing rants. This will definitely be a market-based exploration of the bigger forces […]
