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Translating Yellen-Speak into Golden-Speak

Translating Yellen-Speak into Golden-Speak Given the increasingly politicized interplay (cancer) of central bank policy and so-called free market price discovery, it’s becoming increasingly more important to track the actions of central bankers rather than just traditional market signals alone. Like it or not, the Fed is the market. Toward this end, we’ve had some substantive fun deciphering […]

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Everything is On Fire

EVERYTHING IS ON FIRE “Everything is on fire” – Heraclitus (535-475 BC) What Heraclitus meant was that the world is in a constant state of flux. But the big problem in the next few years is that the world will experience a fire of a magnitude never seen before in history. I have in many […]

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Keep It Simple: Gold vs. a Mad World

Keep It Simple: Gold vs. a Mad World Psychologists, poets and philosophers have written for centuries that many who have eyes refuse to see, and many who can think, refuse to think clearly–all for the simple reason that some truths, like the sun, are just too hard to look straight into. Or as others have […]

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The $2.3 Quadrilliion Global Timebomb

THE $2.3 QUADRILLION GLOBAL TIMEBOMB Credit Suisse is hours from collapse and the consequences could be a systemic failure of the financial system. Disappointingly, my dream last night stopped there. So unfortunately I didn’t experience what actually happened. As I warned in last week’s article on Archegos and Credit Suisse, investment banks have created a timebomb […]

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Disoreder Will Come–As Confucious Warned

DISORDER WILL COME – AS CONFUCIUS WARNED   When bubbles burst, we will discover how very few superior men there actually are – as defined by Confucius: “The superior man, when resting in safety, does not forget that danger may come. When in a state of security he does not forget the possibility of ruin. […]

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Things That Make Me Go Hmmm: Inflation, Crypto, Command Economies and Gold.

Things That Make Me Go Hmmm: Inflation, Crypto, Command Economies and Gold. Over the years I’ve written almost ad nauseum about the crazy I see (and saw) around me as a fund manager, family office principal and individual investor. The list includes: 1) an entire book on the grotesque central bank distortions of free market price discovery, […]

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The Fed’s Most Convenient Lie: A CPI Charade

The Fed’s Most Convenient Lie: A CPI Charade Despite a penchant for double-speak that would make a politician blush, the Fed tells us that its primary focus is unemployment not inflation. Let me remind readers, however, that an openly nervous Mr. Powell came out in the summer of 2020 with a specific, as well as […]

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Sisphean Printing Will Kill Dollar & Bonds

SISYPHEAN PRINTING WILL KILL DOLLAR & BONDS   Understanding four critical but simple puzzle pieces is all investors will need to take the flood that leads to fortune. Why then will the majority of investors still take the wrong current and lose their ventures? Well because investors feel more comfortable staying with the trend than […]

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Institutional Demand Will Drive Gold Ever Higher

INSTITUTIONAL DEMAND WILL DRIVE GOLD EVER HIGHER Embrace uncertainty has long been one of my personal mottos. Because from this moment on, everything is uncertain whether it is your personal health, the stock market or the economy. Sure, we work with probabilities and the most likely is that the sun will rise tomorrow again and that […]

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Humpty Dumpty System is Irreparable

HUMPTY DUMPTY SYSTEM IS IRREPARABLE What does it take to break the global financial system? Well, we obviously know what it takes since the system is already broken. Broken by debts, broken by deficits, broken by a fractured financial system, and broken by false markets as well as fake money.  So just like Humpty Dumpty, the […]

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Can Too Big For Fed & ECB

CAN TOO BIG FOR FED & ECB There are lies, damned lies, and economists. Whether these economists work for the government or a bank, they spend all their time on the computer extrapolating current trends with minor adjustments.  If you want to understand the future, don’t spend your life preparing and constantly revising an Excel […]

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History Tells Us to Own Gold When Central Banks Run Out of Control

HISTORY TELLS US TO OWN GOLD WHEN CENTRAL BANKS RUN OUT OF CONTROL “Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds” happen with regular intervals as Charles Mackay wrote about. It seems that the world experiences more delusions and madness than truth and sanity.  The pattern is always the same. The economy is never in […]

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Don’t Wait For the Storm to Pass–Learn to Dance in the Rain!

DON’T WAIT FOR THE STORM TO PASS – LEARN TO DANCE IN THE RAIN! Whoever doesn’t learn to dance in the rain will struggle to survive the virtually non-stop storms that the world will experience in the next few years. The abrupt downturn in the global economy, triggered but not caused by coronavirus, came as […]

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The Demise of the Financial System is Imminent

THE DEMISE OF THE FINANCIAL SYSTEM IS IMMINENT “Next five years is not about winning but surviving.” This is the headline of an article I wrote in early August 2019. At that point I was primarily thinking of economic survival. But now the world is facing multiple threats and multiple failures. As I have already stated, […]

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The Dollar–From Bohemia to Bust

THE DOLLAR – FROM BOHEMIA TO BUST Virtually no investor studies history and the few who do always think it is different today. The most important lesson is that people never learn. If they did, they wouldn’t be invested in a stock market that on any criteria is now at a bubble extreme. And they […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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