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How Heavy Is This?
How Heavy Is This? Here is a glass of water. You’re holding it. How heavy is it? The answer is: the actual weight probably doesn’t matter. It’s just a glass of water. What matters is how long you hold it. Hold it for a minute, it’s no problem. An hour and your arm will ache. A day […]
Harry Dent: Stocks Will Fall 70-90% Within 3 Years
Harry Dent: Stocks Will Fall 70-90% Within 3 Years Creating the buying opportunity of a lifetime Economist and cycle trend forecaster Harry Dent sees crushing deflation ahead for nearly every financial asset class. We are at the nexus of a concurrent series of downtrends in the four most important predictive trends he tracks. Laying out […]
If Geography and Demographics Are Destiny, Who Will Be the Winners and Losers in 2025?
If Geography and Demographics Are Destiny, Who Will Be the Winners and Losers in 2025? Owning any asset in poorly positioned nations is an inherently risky bet going forward. The dictum “demographics is destiny” proposes that all the complexities of finance, society and politics are ultimately guided by demographics: the relative size of each generation, birth […]
Which Countries Will Be Tomorrow’s Winners & Losers?
Cienpies Design/Shutterstock Which Countries Will Be Tomorrow’s Winners & Losers? Resources, capital flows & demographics will be key The dictum “demographics is destiny” proposes that all the complexities of finance, society and politics are ultimately guided by demographics: the relative size of each generation, birth rates, death rates, etc. For example, an oversized generation of […]
According To Deutsche Bank, The “Worst Kind Of Recession” May Have Already Started
According To Deutsche Bank, The “Worst Kind Of Recession” May Have Already Started One week ago, Deutsche Bank’s Dominic Konstam unveiled, whether he likes it or not, what the next all too likely step will be as central bankers scramble to preserve order in a world in which monetary policy has all but lost effectiveness: “It […]
Former IMF Chief Economist Admits Japan’s “Endgame” Scenario Is Now In Play
Former IMF Chief Economist Admits Japan’s “Endgame” Scenario Is Now In Play Back in October 2014, just after the BOJ drastically expanded its QE operation, we warned that the biggest risk facing the BOJ (and the ECB, and the Fed, and all other central banks actively soaking up securities from the open market) was a lack […]
How Stupid Do You Have To Be To Let This Happen?
How Stupid Do You Have To Be To Let This Happen? Europe is the birthplace of Western civilization and the source of most of the trends and bodies of knowledge that define modernity. The average European speaks several languages versus sometimes less than one for Americans. They are, in short, a well-schooled people with vast […]
Japan Hits Demographic Tipping Point With First Official Population Decline In History
Japan Hits Demographic Tipping Point With First Official Population Decline In History As troubling as Japan’s deflationary, and now negative interest rate, economic quagmire is, the biggest threat facing Japan has little to do with its balance sheet and everything to do with its demographics, for the simple reason that not only is Japan’s population […]
Population Decline in Industrial Countries Requires Immigration?
Population Decline in Industrial Countries Requires Immigration? The United Nations projects that over the next 50 years, the population in the industrialized world (US-Europe-Japan) will DECLINE, not expand. The population is suffering from growing old and the youth are so burdened with taxes they are not getting married (marriages off by 50%) and are not having children. The decline […]
Four Ticking Global Time-Bombs Few Even Hear
Four Ticking Global Time-Bombs Few Even Hear A few charts help us grasp the magnitude of the four global time-bombs. The geopolitical and financial risks facing the global economy are well-known.Hot wars and currency meltdowns garner headlines around the world. But few even hear, much less discuss, four ticking global time-bombs: 1. The demographic time-bomb. […]
What Keeps Neil Howe Up At Night: An Interview With The Author Of “The Fourth Turning”
What Keeps Neil Howe Up At Night: An Interview With The Author Of “The Fourth Turning” “Underproduction, undercapacity, deflation, currency wars, demographics, falling birth rates” – those are the biggest fears which Fourth Turning author, and head of Saeculum Research Neil Howe, lays out in this interview excerpt courtesy of RealVision TV. While Howe goes […]
Demographics and Major Financial and Economic Trends
Demographics and Major Financial and Economic Trends Demographics Driving Declines in Oil Consumption, Mounting Debt, & Central Bank Mismanagement Sometimes, the simplest answer really is best. I contend the primary and simplest factor that need be watched to gauge present and future economic activity are the changes in core populations (15-64 year old segment of the larger population) for any nation or grouping. […]
Are You Ready for the Coming Debt Revolution?
Are You Ready for the Coming Debt Revolution? Gualfin (“End of the Road”), Argentina Dear Diary, There is a specter haunting America… and all the developed nations of the world. It is the specter of a debt revolution. We left off yesterday talking about how the economy of the last 30 years – and especially that […]
