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Spirits in the Material World

SPIRITS IN THE MATERIAL WORLD There is no political solutionTo our troubled evolutionHave no faith in constitutionThere is no bloody revolution  The Police – Spirits in the Material World As I was driving home from work last week, an almost forty-year-old song began emanating from my radio. I’ve always appreciated the music of The Police, […]

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No One Gets Out Of Here Alive

NO ONE GETS OUT OF HERE ALIVE “The seasons of time offer no guarantees. For modern societies, no less than for all forms of life, transformative change is discontinuous. For what seems an eternity, history goes nowhere – and then it suddenly flings us forward across some vast chaos that defies any mortal effort to […]

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Surf’s Up!

Surf’s Up! The wave of change is finally here. Are you prepared to ride it? Nothing seems right anymore. In whichever direction we choose to look, things are unraveling at a quickening pace. Welcome to the Fourth Turning; and with it, a profound loss of trust in institutions and government. Such lack of social cohesion is […]

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Personal Politics, Public Impeachment, Persuasion and Post-Apocalyptic Planning

Personal Politics, Public Impeachment, Persuasion and Post-Apocalyptic Planning One of my primary concerns regarding the forthcoming economic chaos and societal breakdown is that there will be nowhere to run and nowhere to hide. As normalcy bias evaporates like tears on dehydrated sunken cheeks, hungry neighbors and pre-collapse friends and acquaintances will soon assimilate into zombie […]

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In Memoriam: Reality

In Memoriam: Reality The Golden Golem of Greatness shifted into mad bull overdrive for last night’s Minneapolis fan rally, cussing and bellowing at the picadors of the Left who have been sticking lances in his neck for three years. Decorum is not Mr. Trump’s strong suit, but then the bull is not sent into the […]

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Fourth Turning Economics

Fourth Turning Economics “In retrospect, the spark might seem as ominous as a financial crash, as ordinary as a national election, or as trivial as a Tea Party. The catalyst will unfold according to a basic Crisis dynamic that underlies all of these scenarios: An initial spark will trigger a chain reaction of unyielding responses […]

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2019 From a Fourth Turning Perspective

2019 FROM A FOURTH TURNING PERSPECTIVE “An impasse over the federal budget reaches a stalemate. The president and Congress both refuse to back down, triggering a near-total government shutdown. The president declares emergency powers. Congress rescinds his authority. Dollar and bond prices plummet. The president threatens to stop Social Security checks. Congress refuses to raise […]

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The Fourth Turning & War of the Worlds

THE FOURTH TURNING & WAR OF THE WORLDS “In retrospect, the spark might seem as ominous as a financial crash, as ordinary as a national election, or as trivial as a Tea Party. The catalyst will unfold according to a basic Crisis dynamic that underlies all of these scenarios: An initial spark will trigger a […]

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Winter is Coming (Part Three)

WINTER IS COMING (PART THREE) “The very survival of the nation will feel at stake. Sometime before the year 2025, America will pass through a great gate in history, commensurate with the American Revolution, Civil War, and twin emergencies of the Great Depression and World War II.” – Strauss & Howe – The Fourth Turning  […]

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Winter is Coming

WINTER IS COMING “Summer will end soon enough, and childhood as well.” – George R.R. Martin, Game of Thrones “Reflect on what happens when a terrible winter blizzard strikes. You hear the weather warning but probably fail to act on it. The sky darkens. Then the storm hits with full fury, and the air is […]

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Keep Going. This Too Shall Pass.

Keep Going. This Too Shall Pass. Like the weather when a storm approaches, or as the seasons turn, or waves pounding on a shoreline, any deviations are measured and compared by speed and intensity.  The same can be said for headlines:  Omnibus, discouraged Deplorables, rumors of war, prospects of peace, economic bubbles, fluctuating markets, and […]

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Fourth Turning’s Neil Howe: “Today’s Demographics Defy Conventional Wisdom”

Fourth Turning’s Neil Howe: “Today’s Demographics Defy Conventional Wisdom” John Mauldin interviewed Fourth Turning best-selling author and demographics expert, Neil Howe about generational changes and their effect on the markets, during a session at the Strategic Investment Conference 2018.  Howe said that demographics and generational factors have a huge impact on equity prices in the […]

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Muck’s Minute #48 Future of Mankind Part III

Muck’s Minute #48 Future of Mankind Part III Authors’ note: The response to the first few parts of this series show that the vast majority of readers are myopic in their view point. This series is about l-o-n-g t-e-r-m consequences of currently occurring happenings. It is not intended to be thought of as a One […]

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The Unbearable Slowness of Fourth Turnings

THE UNBEARABLE SLOWNESS OF FOURTH TURNINGS “The next Fourth Turning is due to begin shortly after the new millennium, midway through the Oh-Oh decade. Around the year 2005, a sudden spark will catalyze a Crisis mood. Remnants of the old social order will disintegrate. Political and economic trust will implode. Real hardship will beset the […]

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Fourth Turning’s Neil Howe Fears “Strong Parallels” Between 1930s And Today: “It’s Going To Be A Rollercoaster Ride”

Fourth Turning’s Neil Howe Fears “Strong Parallels” Between 1930s And Today: “It’s Going To Be A Rollercoaster Ride” This week on the MacroVoices podcast, host Erik Townsend interviewed Neil Howe, co-author of The Fourth Turning, an investing tract that’s found renewed relevance thanks to White House Chief Strategist Steve Bannon, who’s cited it as an […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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