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Note to EIA: Major shale operator sending cash elsewhere

Note to EIA: Major shale operator sending cash elsewhere John Hess, CEO of Hess Corporation, a large U.S.-based independent oil producer, recently told a Houston audience where he’s putting the company’s money these days: Offshore drilling. That should strike those who know of Hess Corporation’s heavy involvement in the Bakken shale play (in North Dakota) as […]

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From Boom To Bust: Permian Shale Towns Face Exodus

From Boom To Bust: Permian Shale Towns Face Exodus Perhaps it’s not evident to anyone who is not an oil-worker living in America’s biggest shale towns, but signs of the shale slowdown predicted by many analysts, and the EIA itself, are already surfacing in the form of vacant hotels, a dip in home prices, a […]

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The EIA Is Grossly Overestimating U.S. Shale

The EIA Is Grossly Overestimating U.S. Shale The prevailing wisdom that sees explosive and long-term potential for U.S. shale may rest on some faulty and overly-optimistic assumptions, according to a new report. Forecasts from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), along with those from its Paris-based counterpart, the International Energy Agency (IEA), are often cited […]

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EIA’s Electric Power Monthly – September 2019 Edition with data for July

EIA’s Electric Power Monthly – September 2019 Edition with data for July The EIA released the latest edition of their Electric Power Monthly on September 24th, with data for July 2019. The table above shows the percentage contribution of the main fuel sources to two decimal places for the last two months and the year 2019 to […]

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USA and World Oil Production

USA and World Oil Production The USA data below was taken primarily from the EIA’s Petroleum Supply Monthly while some were taken from the EIA’s Monthly Energy Review. I have some bad news to report. The EIA no longer published World production data or Non-OPEC production data. This data had previously been published in the Monthly Energy Review. […]

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Is US Shale Cannibalizing Itself?

Is US Shale Cannibalizing Itself? U.S. oil production continues to grow, but the shale industry is in the midst of a deceleration as low oil prices and a financial squeeze slow the pace of drilling. The U.S. added 246,000 bpd of fresh supply in April, the latest month for which data solid is available. That put to […]

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THE UNITED STATES A NET OIL EXPORTER?? The Dirty Little Secret

THE UNITED STATES A NET OIL EXPORTER?? The Dirty Little Secret The United States became a net oil exporter for the first time in 75 years, or so they say.  While the U.S. may indeed be exporting more petroleum than it imports from time to time, there’s a dirty little secret behind the data.  And […]

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EIA tight oil estimates

EIA tight oil estimates The US Energy Information Administration publishes Tight Oil Production Estimates by Play each month (can be found at link above.)  I noticed this month that the estimates seemed different than I remembered so I checked earlier estimates I had saved on my computer.  The chart below compares estimates from Dec 2018 to April […]

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EIA’s Electric Power Monthly – March 2019 Edition with data for January 2019

EIA’s Electric Power Monthly – March 2019 Edition with data for January 2019 The EIA released the latest edition of their Electric Power Monthly on March 26th, with data for January 2019. The table above shows the percentage contribution of the main fuel sources to two decimal places for the last two months and the year 2019 […]

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Oil Prices Spike On Shale Slowdown

Oil Prices Spike On Shale Slowdown The collapse of oil prices late last year, along with pressure from shareholders, has led to a slowdown in the U.S. shale industry. The EIA released new monthly data on March 29, which revealed a decline in output of about 90,000 bpd between December and January, evidence that shale drillers slammed […]

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NEXT OIL DOMINO TO FALL? Mexico Becomes A Net Oil Importer

NEXT OIL DOMINO TO FALL? Mexico Becomes A Net Oil Importer While Mexico suffered the bloodiest year of violent deaths in 2018, even bigger trouble may be ahead for the embattled country.  For the first time in more than 50 years, Mexico has become a net importer of oil.  This is undoubtedly bad news for […]

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The EIA’s Optimistic Outlook

The EIA’s Optimistic Outlook Most of the data below is taken from from the EIA’s Short-Term Energy Outlook. The data through February, 2019 is the EIA’s best estimate of past production and all data from March 2019 through December 2020 is the EIA’s best estimate of future production. However in most cases February production is highly […]

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U.S. ‘’Oil Weapon’’ Could Change Geopolitics Forever

U.S. ‘’Oil Weapon’’ Could Change Geopolitics Forever In a dynamic that shows just how far U.S. oil production has come in recent years, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Monday that in the last two months of 2018, the U.S. Gulf Coast exported more crude oil than it imported. Monthly net trade of crude oil […]

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Census Bureau, Treasury, EIA Detail American Insolvency

Census Bureau, Treasury, EIA Detail American Insolvency Since 2007, US births and net immigration have consistently and unexpectedly fallen sharply.  Over the same span, US federal debt and unfunded liabilities have soared while federal tax receipts, as a percentage of the federal debt and unfunded liabilities, continue declining.  Total US energy consumption also peaked in ’07 and continues […]

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EIA’s Electric Power Monthly – January 2019 Edition with data for November 2018

EIA’s Electric Power Monthly – January 2019 Edition with data for November 2018 The EIA released the latest edition of their Electric Power Monthly on January 25th, with data for November 2018. The table above shows the percentage contribution of the main fuel sources to two decimal places for the last two months and the year 2018 […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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