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The IMF Chief Economist Sees a Threat to World Economies From a Liquidity Trap
THE IMF CHIEF ECONOMIST SEES A THREAT TO WORLD ECONOMIES FROM A LIQUIDITY TRAP In the Financial Times from November 2 2020, the IMF chief economist Gita Gopinath suggested that world economies at present are likely to be in a global liquidity trap. Gopinath has reached this conclusion because the yearly growth rate of the […]
The Consequences of Budget Deficits For International Trade
THE CONSEQUENCES OF BUDGET DEFICITS FOR INTERNATIONAL TRADE In all the economic mayhem ahead, no one is yet thinking of the consequences for trade imbalances. The twin deficit hypothesis informs us that skyrocketing US budget deficits will lead to increasing trade deficits, a situation with serious political consequences. Furthermore, with foreign interests already saturated with […]
The Demon-Haunted World
THE DEMON-HAUNTED WORLD “We’ve arranged a global civilization in which most crucial elements profoundly depend on science and technology. We have also arranged things so that almost no one understands science and technology. This is a prescription for disaster. We might get away with it for a while, but sooner or later this combustible mixture […]
Japan Embraced Debt As a Way Out of Its Budget Crisis. It’s Not Working.
JAPAN EMBRACED DEBT AS A WAY OUT OF ITS BUDGET CRISIS. IT’S NOT WORKING. The sudden resignation of Japans Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has led to evaluations of his so-called Abenomics. Many have praised Abe’s aggressive monetary policy because the long shopping list of the Bank of Japan (government bonds, corporate bonds, ETFs and real […]
Can Constant Money Growth Rule Prevent Boom-Bust Cycles?
CAN CONSTANT MONEY GROWTH RULE PREVENT BOOM-BUST CYCLES? According to the Nobel Laureate in Economics, Milton Friedman, the key cause of the business cycles is the fluctuations in the growth rate of money supply. Friedman held that what is required for the elimination of these cycles is for central bank policy makers to aim at […]
Keynesian Ideas Can Only Make Things Worse
KEYNESIAN IDEAS CAN ONLY MAKE THINGS WORSE In the New York Times on September 8, 2020, Paul Krugman suggested that “The CARES Act, enacted in March, gave the unemployed an extra $600 a week in benefits. This supplement played a crucial role in limiting extreme hardship; poverty may even have gone down”. For Krugman and […]
America’s Fiscal Follies Are Dangerously in the Red
AMERICA’S FISCAL FOLLIES ARE DANGEROUSLY IN THE RED The Congressional Budget Office has recently issued a federal “Budget Outlook Update” for the next ten years in the context of the government’s fiscal condition in the face of the coronavirus and Washington’s spending spree. The message: the deficit for fiscal year 2020 is huge, and the national debt […]
UNIDOS HACIA EL FUTURO
UNIDOS HACIA EL FUTURO “The markets are the product of 1999 & 2007 hooking up for a one night stand.” Tweet by Danielle DiMartino Booth (@DiMartinoBooth), 25th August 2020. “In the middle of the journey of our life, I came to / Myself in a dark wood, for the straight way was lost.” Dante, Inferno. “Zoom is […]
Book Review: The Deficit Myth: Modern Monetary Theory and the Birth of the People’s Economy
BOOK REVIEW: THE DEFICIT MYTH: MODERN MONETARY THEORY AND THE BIRTH OF THE PEOPLE’S ECONOMY In January, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) released its Budget and Economic outlook for 2020 to 2030. It is horrific reading. Federal budget deficits are projected to rise from $1.0 trillion this year to $1.3 trillion over the next 10 […]
Gold and Free Banking Versus Central Banks
GOLD AND FREE BANKING VERSUS CENTRAL BANKING In spite of the officially declared “independence” of the Federal Reserve from the immediate political control of either Congress or the White House, America’s central bank is, nonetheless, a branch of the U.S. government that is responsible for setting monetary policy, overseeing a variety of banking regulations, and […]
Explaining the Credit Cycle
EXPLAINING THE CREDIT CYCLE This article summarises why the credit cycle leads to alternate booms and slumps. It is only with this in mind that they can be properly understood as current economic conditions evolve. The reader is taken through three monetary models: a fixed money economy, one governed by changes in bank credit, and […]
Money Supply Growth in May Again Surges to an All-Time High
MONEY SUPPLY GROWTH IN MAY AGAIN SURGES TO AN ALL-TIME HIGH Money supply growth surged to another all-time high in May, following April’s all-time high that came in the wake of unprecedented quantitative easing, central bank asset purchases, and various stimulus packages. The growth rate has never been higher, with the 1970s the only period […]
Can An Increase In the Demand For Money Neutralize the Effect of a Corresponding Increase in Money Supply?
CAN AN INCREASE IN THE DEMAND FOR MONEY NEUTRALIZE THE EFFECT OF A CORRESPONDING INCREASE IN MONEY SUPPLY? According to popular thinking, not every increase in the supply of money will have an effect on the production of goods. For instance, if an increase in the supply is matched by a corresponding increase in the […]
The Chain Reaction is Now in Process
THE CHAIN REACTION IS NOW IN PROCESS Much has been written about the economic consequences of Covid-19, yet, just as in many of the analyses of the Great Depression and the 2008 crisis, the years of accumulating debt preceding the event do not attract the attention they deserve. Covid-19—or to be more precise, the lockdown—has initiated […]
The Deadliest Virus
THE DEADLIEST VIRUS The deadliest virus is the institutionalized coercion which lies in the very DNA of the state and may even initially permit a government to deny the outbreak of a pandemic. Evidence has been suppressed, and heroic scientists and doctors have been harassed and silenced simply because they were the first to realize […]
