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The 2014 Oil Price Crash Explained | Energy Matters

The 2014 Oil Price Crash Explained | Energy Matters. In February 2009 Phil Hart published on The Oil Drum a simple supply demand model that explained then the action in the oil price. In this post I update Phil’s model to July 2014 using monthly oil supply (crude+condensate) and price data from the Energy Information Agency (EIA). This model explains how a drop […]

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Challenging (Crude) Convention | Daniel Davis

Challenging (Crude) Convention | Daniel Davis. Media reports regarding the American crude oil industry have been uniformly positive in the past few months. Oil prices have dropped to their lowest level since 2010 and along with it prices at the pump. According to some reports, the US now produces as much or more oil than either Saudi Arabia or Russia. As […]

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Brent Plunge To $60 If OPEC Fails To Cut, Junk Bond Rout, Default Cycle, “Profit Recession” To Follow | Zero Hedge

Brent Plunge To $60 If OPEC Fails To Cut, Junk Bond Rout, Default Cycle, “Profit Recession” To Follow | Zero Hedge. While OPEC has been mostly irrelevant in the past 5 years as a result of Saudi Arabia’s recurring cartel-busting moves, which have seen the oil exporter frequently align with the US instead of with […]

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OPEC’s Easy Days Setting Oil Production Are Over, Veteran Says; You Need Russia, Norway, Mexico – Bloomberg

OPEC’s Easy Days Setting Oil Production Are Over, Veteran Says; You Need Russia, Norway, Mexico – Bloomberg. The days when OPEC members could all but guarantee consensus when deciding production levels for oil are long gone, according to a veteran of almost two decades of the group’s meetings. The global glut of crude, which has […]

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The Uncertain Future of Oil Demand | Jeff Rubin

The Uncertain Future of Oil Demand | Jeff Rubin. At a recent investment conference sponsored by Royal Bank and Suncor I spoke about the likelihood that billions of dollars of carbon assets will never see the light of day. Contemplating the idea of stranded assets isn’t in either company’s interests, so both deserve credit for […]

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Why The Current “Oil Glut” Could Lead To A Price Spike

Why The Current “Oil Glut” Could Lead To A Price Spike. Back in March 1999 “The Economist” magazine carried a cover photo of two men drenched in oil as they attempted to close a faulty valve that was spraying a huge stream of crude skyward. Over the photo was the headline: “Drowning in oil.” At the time […]

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Resource Insights: Is there really an oil glut?

Resource Insights: Is there really an oil glut?. Back in March 1999 “The Economist” magazine carried a cover photo of two men drenched in oil as they attempted to close a faulty valve that was spraying a huge stream of crude skyward. Over the photo was the headline: “Drowning in oil.” At the time it really did […]

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World Crude Oil Production and the Oil Price | FRACTIONAL FLOW

World Crude Oil Production and the Oil Price | FRACTIONAL FLOW. In April 2012 I published this post about World Crude Oil Production and the Oil Price (in Norwegian)which was an attempt to describe the developments in the sources of crude oils (including condensates), tranches of total life cycle costs (that is [CAPEX {inclusive returns} + OPEX] […]

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Why Oil Prices Are About To Settle

Why Oil Prices Are About To Settle. If you are paying attention, you will be aware that oil prices have been falling dramatically since the end of June, losing over 20 percent from the highs at that time. This is bad news for investors in the energy sector and for the companies that produce the […]

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WTI Crude Tumbles Under $80 Following Goldman Downgrade | Zero Hedge

WTI Crude Tumbles Under $80 Following Goldman Downgrade | Zero Hedge. While large shifts in positioning precipitated a sell-off in oil prices that far exceeded the actual weakening in fundamentals, Goldman Sachs’ confidence in a 2015 oversupplied global oil market has increased. As a result, they have brought forward their medium-term bearish oil outlook (WTI crude […]

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Saudi Arabia: Producing More Crude, Selling Less?

Saudi Arabia: Producing More Crude, Selling Less?. Media reports are quoting an anonymous source as saying Saudi Arabia, the world’s leading oil exporter, supplied foreign and domestic customers with less crude during September even though its oil production was up slightly. The source, identified only as being familiar with the Saudi oil industry, said it extracted, on […]

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Our Finite World | Exploring how oil limits affect the economy

Our Finite World | Exploring how oil limits affect the economy. A person might think that oil prices would be fairly stable. Prices would set themselves at a level that would be high enough for the majority of producers, so that in total producers would provide enough–but not too much–oil for the world economy. The […]

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Resource Insights: Oil decline: Price makes the story

Resource Insights: Oil decline: Price makes the story. When the world’s business editors sent their reporters canvassing to find out what is behind the recent plunge in the world oil price, they were doing what they do almost every day for every type of market: stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities and real estate. In financial journalism […]

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Peak Oil Notes – Oct 16

Peak Oil Notes – Oct 16. The price plunge which began in mid-June when New York oil futures trading around $105 a barrel continued this week with oil touching $80 on Wednesday before recovering to close at $81.78. London’s Brent crude underwent a similar collapse to close yesterday at $83.46. Weak demand: increasing US shale […]

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