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Tag Archives: peak oil
An Updated Version of the “Peak Oil” Story
An Updated Version of the “Peak Oil” Story The Peak Oil story got some things right. Back in 1998, Colin Campbell and Jean Laherrère wrote an article published in Scientific American called, “The End of Cheap Oil.” In it they said: Our analysis of the discovery and production of oil fields around the world suggests that within the […]
M. King Hubbert and the future of peak oil
M. King Hubbert and the future of peak oil Almost synonymous with the term “peak oil” is M. King Hubbert, perhaps the foremost geophysicist of the 20th century, who first theorized about the eventual decline of oil production in the 1930s. His life has now been chronicled by science writer Mason Inman in a new […]
Peak Oil; Climate Change; & System Justification Pt 1
Peak Oil; Climate Change; & System Justification Pt 1 Research has powerfully illustrated that a lack of knowledge in domains such as energy and the environment can lead to bad decisions and erroneous beliefs that hinder a society’s ability to create change in domains that require it KNOWLEDGE & UNDERSTANDING Rather self-evident, isn’t it? Certainly that […]
Peak Oil in Asia and oil import trends (part 2)
Peak Oil in Asia and oil import trends (part 2) We pick up the question from part 1: Fig 11: Homework for governments Let’s have a look where all the net imports into Asia have come from in the past: Fig 12: Asia net imports – overview BP’s data on inter area oil movements start […]
Peak Oil in Asia (part 1)
Peak Oil in Asia (part 1) According to data recently published in BP’s 2016 Statistical Review Asian oil production remained at around 8.3 mb/d for 4 years now. Fig 1: Asian oil production We see the dominance of China (52% of total). The peak for all other Asian countries together was already in 2000, 15 years ago, […]
Global Energy Advisory June 17th 2016
Peak Oil: Are We Not Better Than This? Pt 11 Entrenched as each side is in what seems an endless and ever-disheartening conflict between conservatives and progressives, finding seams to broaden discussions is no easy task. Cocooned as each partisan is in the selective comfort of peer perspectives and beliefs, suspicion and ridicule are the […]
Peak Oil: The Next Steps Pt 1
Peak Oil: The Next Steps Pt 1 I ended last week’s post by explaining the significance of getting all of the facts about our energy supply future as a first step. Before deciding whether or not to accept the realities of a depleting finite resource and the impact this will have on our society—or ignoring […]
EIA’s Annual Energy Outlook and the Seneca Cliff
EIA’s Annual Energy Outlook and the Seneca Cliff The scenario above shows an Oil Shock Model with a URR of 3600 Gb and EIA data from 1970 to 2015 and the Annual Energy Outlook (AEO) 2016 early release reference projection from 2016 to 2040. The oil shock model was originally developed by Webhubbletelescope and presented […]
Peak Oil: Where To Begin?
Peak Oil: Where To Begin? The unpleasant truth now and soon is that the ready supply of oil and gas which we almost always take for granted [the occasional price spike notwithstanding] is on its way to becoming not-so-ready. A host of factors now in place are steadily converting possibility into likelihood. Thinking that we’ll […]
Peak Oil: Are We Not Better Than This? Pt 7
Peak Oil: Are We Not Better Than This? Pt 7 I began last week’s post with a variation of these questions: How do optimistic projections from ExxonMobil’s “The Outlook for Energy: A View to 2040” report—which I highlighted in that post—square themselves in the face of the oil production challenges suggested by the news excerpts which were also […]
Peak Oil: Are We Not Better Than This? Pt 6
Peak Oil: Are We Not Better Than This? Pt 6 I suggested at the outset of this series that I did not want it to turn into yet another exercise in mocking those who do not accept the implications of peak oil. A legitimate argument could be made that I’ve failed in that objective. I […]
Peak Oil: Time To Get Serious Pt 4
Peak Oil: Time To Get Serious Pt 4 A fossil fuel-driven-and-made-possible life is all any of us have ever known. There are virtually no aspects of commerce, leisure, transportation, or consumption which do not depend in some part on inexpensive, readily-available and easily-produced fossil fuels. That is most certainly not going to change dramatically overnight, […]
Tomgram: Michael Klare, The Coming World of “Peak Oil Demand,” Not “Peak Oil”
Tomgram: Michael Klare, The Coming World of “Peak Oil Demand,” Not “Peak Oil” In a Greater Middle East in which one country after another has been plunged into chaos and possible failed statehood, two rival nations, Iran and Saudi Arabia, have been bedrock exceptions to the rule. Iran, at the moment, remains so, but the […]
Where did all the oil go? The peak is back
Where did all the oil go? The peak is back Solar power has grown exponentially and the target of 50 percent renewables by 2028 to avoid a 2C world is achievable An extensive new scientific analysis published in Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Energy & Environment says that proved conventional oil reserves as detailed in industry sources are likely […]
