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Tag Archives: oil demand
The Rig Count “Meme” (And Why The Bounce In WTI Is Likely Over)
The Rig Count “Meme” (And Why The Bounce In WTI Is Likely Over) Recently, the Baker Hughes Rig Count has become all the rage. I did a search on Bloomberg, using only Bloomberg generated articles, with “Rig” and “Count” as matches in the headline only. Back in October, there were barely any articles at all. The […]
Is Oil Returning to $100 Or Dropping To $10?
Is Oil Returning to $100 Or Dropping To $10? If you have been following the price of oil over the last few months, the chances are you’re a little confused. On the one hand you have the likes of A. Gary Shilling who, in this Bloomberg article, loudly trumpets the prospect of oil at $10/Barrel, […]
If Oil Prices Are Surprising, Then That Can Only Mean Demand
If Oil Prices Are Surprising, Then That Can Only Mean Demand Crude oil futures have been quite volatile of late, particularly in the front months where even the slightest changes in expectations of whatever factor (rig counts, CEO comments, etc.) send WTI surging or tumbling by turn. Despite that, however, the outer years on the […]
Bearishness Continues Among Oil Industry Experts
Bearishness Continues Among Oil Industry Experts The business world is full of sometimes conflicting theories about what caused the plunge in oil prices during the past seven months, and how low that price will go. But Goldman Sachs seems to have come up with a unified theory. It began late in the afternoon of Jan. […]
Increasing Demand For Refined Products Will Increase Oil Prices
Increasing Demand For Refined Products Will Increase Oil Prices In last week’s article I posted a chart from the International Energy Agency’srecent Oil Market Report that shows global demand for refined products catching up to supply by the 3rd quarter of this year. My opinion is that all of the analysts who are now blaming the sharp drop […]
Oil prices fall on market relief over Saudi policy
Oil prices fall on market relief over Saudi policy (Reuters) – Oil prices fell on Monday, with U.S. crude falling close to a nearly six-year low, as Saudi Arabia’s new King Salman moved to assuage fears of an unstable transition and any policy change in the world’s largest oil exporter. Salman was quick to retain veteran Saudi oil […]
The most important thing to understand about the coming oil production cutbacks
The most important thing to understand about the coming oil production cutbacks What the current oil price slump means for world oil supply is starting to emerge. “Layoffs,” “cutbacks,” “delays,” and “cancellations” are words one sees in headlines concerning the oil industry every day. That can only mean one thing in the long run: less […]
Why the Hysteria Over Oil Prices Is Overblown
Why the Hysteria Over Oil Prices Is Overblown Wild stormy weather stops us in our tracks. Factories close. Offices are abandoned. School is cancelled. After the rush to stock up, stores are shuttered. And when the storm hits, it’s all we can think about — especially if the power goes out. It can seem like […]
Iraq Shrugs Off Low Prices, Boosts Output To Record Levels
Iraq Shrugs Off Low Prices, Boosts Output To Record Levels Despite oil prices at their lowest levels in five years, Iraq is producing at record levels. For the month of December, Iraq produced nearly 4 million barrels per day, according to Oil Minister Adel Abdul Mahdi, an all-time high for the war-torn country. That is critical for […]
One of These Things Is Not Like The Others: IEA’s January Report
One of These Things Is Not Like The Others: IEA’s January Report Remember the Sesame Street song? One of these things is not like the others, One of these things just doesn’t belong, Can you tell which thing is not like the others By the time I finish my song? OK. Which curve on […]
Be Prepared For An Oil Price Spike
Be Prepared For An Oil Price Spike The recent collapse in oil prices has taken pundits and oil producers by surprise. It was only six months ago that prices were over $100/bbl and at that time they had been above $100/bbl for three and a half years. In fact the stability had become uncanny, so […]
The Age Of Cheap Oil Is Over
The Age Of Cheap Oil Is Over The longer I look at what is going on today with oil prices the less it makes sense to me. I know there are a lot of experts who blame this all on the “glut” of oil created by overly aggressive U.S. upstream companies that took all the […]
Either Crude or Copper
Either Crude or Copper The primacy of the monetary pyramid in 2015 is not really about money as it is all ideology. If you believe that monetary policy provides “stimulus” then you immediately remove all thoughts of any economic decline during times when monetarism is most active. Since “it works” then all else must fall […]
Could The Oil Bust Last?
Could The Oil Bust Last? The oil industry has experienced boom and busts before, but the depths to which oil prices have plunged have surprised everyone. Could the bust now persist much longer than many think? It is not just oil that has seen a bust. Over the last decade and a half, the global […]
Oil Drops Below $45; U.S. Stockpiles May Speed Collapse
Oil Drops Below $45; U.S. Stockpiles May Speed Collapse Oil extended losses to trade below $45 a barrel amid speculation that U.S. crude stockpiles will increase, exacerbating a global supply glut that’s driven prices to the lowest in more than 5 1/2 years. Futures fell as much as 4.1 percent in New York, declining for a […]
