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Tag Archives: oil supply
Oil Fundamentals Could Cause Oil Prices To Fall, Fast.
Oil Fundamentals Could Cause Oil Prices To Fall, Fast. Oil prices should fall, possibly hard, in coming weeks. That is because fundamentals do not support the present price. Prices should fall to around $30 once the empty nature of an OPEC-plus-Russia production freeze is understood. A return to the grim reality of over-supply and the […]
A Secret About Oil You Won’t Find Anywhere Else
A Secret About Oil You Won’t Find Anywhere Else This is going to be a far larger problem than Wall Street realizes. In early 1983 – the first week of February, to be precise – the inventory of crude oil in the U.S. reached an all-time economic high. I say “economic high” because nominal supply […]
Peak Oil: Just A Distraction Pt 2
Peak Oil: Just A Distraction Pt 2 In the end, does the choice of words really matter? The “Yes, we’ve reached Peak Oil” versus the “No, we have not” is a distraction—and I’ve done my part to contribute. But without recognizing and accepting the simple truth that we’re drawing down a finite and depleting resource […]
OPEC Will Not Blink First
OPEC Will Not Blink First An OPEC production cut is unlikely until U.S. production declines by about another million barrels per day (mmbpd). OPEC won’t cut because it would accomplish nothing beyond a short-term increase in price. Carefully placed comments by OPEC and Russian oil ministers about the possibility of production cuts achieve almost the […]
The Most Ominous Warning That Oil Storage Is About To Overflow Has Arrived
The Most Ominous Warning That Oil Storage Is About To Overflow Has Arrived It was just last week when we said that Cushing may be about to overflow in the face of an acute crude oil supply glut. “Even the highly adaptive US storage system appears to be reaching its limits,” we wrote, before plotting Cushing capacity […]
Oil Markets Are Balancing Faster Than IEA Would Have Us Believe
Oil Markets Are Balancing Faster Than IEA Would Have Us Believe Fundamentals point toward market balance but pessimism is dragging oil prices down. IEA has apparently succumbed to this negativity but their data suggests that things are getting better, not worse. In a business-as-usual world in which nothing unusual happens, the world will be close […]
Why oil under $30 per barrel is a major problem
Why oil under $30 per barrel is a major problem A person often reads that low oil prices–for example, $30 per barrel oil prices–will stimulate the economy, and the economy will soon bounce back. What is wrong with this story? A lot of things, as I see it: Oil producers can’t really produce oil for $30 […]
(Re-)Covering Oil and War
(Re-)Covering Oil and War The first thing that popped into our minds on Tuesday when WTI oil briefly broached $30 for its first $20 handle in many years, was that this should be triggering a Gawdawful amount of bets, $30 being such an obvious number. Which in turn would of necessity lead to a -brief- […]
Doom and Gloom for North American Oil Producers
Doom and Gloom for North American Oil Producers Oil Prices To the dismay of U.S. shale producers, oil prices continue their long slow slide into the abyss. Perhaps the current price of $35 per barrel – an 11 year low – is the final destination. More than likely, however, it’s a brief reprieve before the […]
Doom and Gloom for North American Oil Producers
Doom and Gloom for North American Oil Producers Lower Oil Prices To the dismay of U.S. shale producers, oil prices continue their long slow slide into the abyss. Perhaps the current price of $35 per barrel – an 11 year low – is the final destination. More than likely, however, it’s a brief reprieve before […]
Lower Oil Prices Are Shaking the World
Lower Oil Prices Are Shaking the World The long-term effects will echo for a decade or more. Oil prices fell by over half from June 2014 to January 2015 (Brent: $110 to $50), then another one-third since (to $35). Natural gas and coal prices have also plunged, partially due to the same forces but also from […]
Peak Oil: Right Again [Pt 2]
Peak Oil: Right Again [Pt 2] We continue with an examination of the statements offered in a recent example of cherry-picked nonsense, an article entitled: “Earth Is An Oil-Producing Machine — We’re Not Running Out.” The fine art of misleading the uninformed…. Delighted with the discovery that “Earth is actually an oil-producing […]
