Essential Oil Production Statistics – February 2015
This is the second in a monthly series of posts chronicling the action in the global oil market in 12 key charts. The January 2015 post is here. EIA oil price and Baker Hughes rig count charts are updated to end January 2015, the remaining oil production charts are updated to December 2014 using the IEA OMR data. The main oil production changes from November to December are:
- World total liquids up 150,000 bpd
- OPEC up 80,000 bpd
- N America up 80,000 bpd
- Russia and FSU up 180,000 bpd
- Europe down 70,000 bpd (compared with December 2013)
- Asia down 60,000 bpd
1. The continued growth in production into December shows that global production growth had significant momentum that has not yet been curtailed by the price rout.
2. The fall in the oil price continued throughout January, WTI hitting a low of $44.80 on January 26th and Brent hitting a low of $45.13 on January 13th.
3. The main dynamic statistic has been the plunge in US oil rig count down to 1223 rigs on January 30th from a recent high of 1609 rigs on October 10th 2014.
4. The rig count news led to a strong rally in oil price on 30th January.
5. I anticipate that the price rout is not yet over and it will require significant falls in production to take root before a real price recovery gets underway.
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