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Here’s What I’m Worried About. And It’s Not a Recession
Here’s What I’m Worried About. And It’s Not a Recession A rout in the hyper-inflated bond market can blow up everything at this point. The locker room at my swim club has become the litmus test. When a complex topic, after years of being absent or ignored, suddenly crops up in conversation, and not just […]
The Yield Curve Flattens And Bank Stocks Plunge. Here’s The Connection – And The Prediction
The Yield Curve Flattens And Bank Stocks Plunge. Here’s The Connection – And The Prediction Despite all the ominous press being devoted to the soon-to-be-inverted yield curve, it’s not always clear why such a thing matters. In other words, how, exactly does a line on a graph slipping below zero translate into a recession and […]
Rates on Their Way to 10-Year High After Hawkish Fed’s Recent Meeting
Rates on Their Way to 10-Year High After Hawkish Fed’s Recent Meeting Round and round we go, where the hawkish Fed stops, nobody knows… There was a bit of tension in the markets last week. This tension stemmed from a prediction that the federal funds rate would be well on its way to a decade […]
Inverted Global Yield Curve Creates “The Perfect Cocktail For A Liquidity Crunch” As The IMF Warns Of “A Second Great Depression”
Inverted Global Yield Curve Creates “The Perfect Cocktail For A Liquidity Crunch” As The IMF Warns Of “A Second Great Depression” Why would the IMF use the phrase “a second Great Depression” in a report that they know the entire world will read? To be more precise, the IMF stated that “large challenges loom for […]
Mortgage Rates Head to 6%, 10-Year Yield to 4%, Yield Curve Fails to “Invert,” and Fed Keeps Hiking
Mortgage Rates Head to 6%, 10-Year Yield to 4%, Yield Curve Fails to “Invert,” and Fed Keeps Hiking Nightmare scenario for the markets? They just shrugged. But homebuyers haven’t done the math yet. There’s an interesting thing that just happened, which shows that the US Treasury 10-year yield is ready for the next leg up, […]
A Review of “The Production of Money” and Reflection on the Climate Movement
A Review of “The Production of Money” and Reflection on the Climate Movement “…over the past few months the IMF has been sending warning signals about the state of the global economy. There are a bunch of different macroeconomic developments that signal we could be entering into another crisis or recession in the near future. One […]
The “Next” Financial Crisis
The “Next” Financial Crisis Photo source Financial Crisis | CC BY 2.0 In this episode of The Hudson Report, we speak with Michael Hudson about the implications of the flattening yield curve, the possibility of another global financial crisis, and public banking as an alternative to the current system. ‘The Hudson Report’ is a Left […]
Kass: Tops Are Processes & We May Be In That Process
Kass: Tops Are Processes & We May Be In That Process The Yield Curve Will Likely Invert by November, 2018 Economic growth is less synchronized than the consensus believes On a trending and rate of change basis the economic data is slowing down The Fed’s continued pivot to tighter money will likely lead to curve […]
Fed Sweeps Yield Curve Under the Rug – What Are They Trying to Hide?
Fed Sweeps Yield Curve Under the Rug – What Are They Trying to Hide? A few weeks ago we reported the Fed was getting hawkish despite what they were calling “low inflation.” In that article, we showed rates possibly being raised more than 4 times in 2019. But more importantly, we warned that anyone investing […]
Michael Pento: When The Yield Curve Inverts Soon, The Next Recession Will Start
Michael Pento: When The Yield Curve Inverts Soon, The Next Recession Will Start Expected timing: this Fall Collectively, the world’s major central banks have pumped $1.1 trillion into the markets over the past year. The result of all this money printing is now well known: massively inflated real estate, stock and bond asset price bubbles, […]
Not Even Goldman Has Any Clue How The BOJ Will “Control” The Yield Curve
Not Even Goldman Has Any Clue How The BOJ Will “Control” The Yield Curve The biggest news overnight, and certainly far bigger than this afternoon’s non-event from Janet Yellen, was the significant change in monetary policy announced by the BOJ which (belatedly) unveiled its re-revised “QQE”… this time “with Yield Curve Control” (or “QQEWYCC“), a […]
The “Terrifying Prospect” Of A Triumph Of Politics Over Economics
The “Terrifying Prospect” Of A Triumph Of Politics Over Economics The Triumph of Politics All of life’s odds aren’t 3:2, but that’s how you’re supposed to bet, or so they say. They are not saying that so much anymore, or saying that history rhymes, or that nothing’s new under the sun. More and more theys seem […]
Never Go Full-Kuroda: NIRP Plus QE Will Be Contractionary Disaster In Japan, CS Warns
Never Go Full-Kuroda: NIRP Plus QE Will Be Contractionary Disaster In Japan, CS Warns In late January, when Haruhiko Kuroda took Japan into NIRP, he made it official. He was full-everything. Full-Krugman. Full-Keynes. Full-post-crisis-central-banker-retard. In fact, with the BoJ monetizing the entirety of JGB gross issuance as well as buying up more than half of all […]
