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Never Mind Volatility: Systemic Risk Is Rising
Never Mind Volatility: Systemic Risk Is Rising So who’s holding the hot potato of systemic risk now? Everyone. One of the greatest con jobs of the past 9 years is the status quo’s equivalence of risk and volatility: risk = volatility: so if volatility is low, then risk is low. Wrong: volatility once reflected specific […]
Weekly Commentary: Anbang and China’s Mortgage Bubble
Weekly Commentary: Anbang and China’s Mortgage Bubble The Shanghai Composite traded as high as 3,587 intraday on Monday, January 29th, a more than two-year high. This followed the S&P500’s all-time closing high (2,873) on the previous Friday. On February 9th, the Shanghai Composite traded as low as 3,063, a 14.6% decline from trading highs just […]
Misconduct, Manipulation, Or Malfeasance? – US Regulators Begin Probe Of VIX Funds
Misconduct, Manipulation, Or Malfeasance? – US Regulators Begin Probe Of VIX Funds Ten days after the reality of “rampant manipulation” in VIX was exposed yet again, perhaps because this time the market went down, US regulators are reportedly escalating their investigations into whether any wrongdoing occurred within VIX ETPs. Following previous reports that The Financial […]
Its Different This Time
IT’S DIFFERENT THIS TIME Remember all those bullish studies market pundits were passing around in early January? Do you recall the parroting about “how goes January, the rest of the year follows?” It’s easy to forget, but many market strategists were falling all over themselves bullish just a couple of weeks ago (see Parabolic Moves […]
Whistleblower Exposes “Rampant Manipulation Of VIX”
Whistleblower Exposes “Rampant Manipulation Of VIX” We first exposed the “conspiracy fact” that VIX manipulation runs the entire market back in 2015 as the ubiquitous VIX-crushing algo-runs coincided with a non-stop shorting of VIX futures by a seemingly bottomless-pocketed player in the market… which happened to coincide with the arrival of Simon Potter as the […]
Asia Crashes, Europe Slides, US Rebounds But Yields Resume Ominous Rise
Asia Crashes, Europe Slides, US Rebounds But Yields Resume Ominous Rise “$5 trillion was wiped out from global stocks this week.” After yesterday’s violent last hour plunge in US stocks, which also sent the VIX surging back to the mid-30s, the overnight session was somewhat muted, with European stocks falling further on Friday morning, but […]
ECB “In Touch With Market Participants” Over Market Crash; White House “Concerned”
ECB “In Touch With Market Participants” Over Market Crash; White House “Concerned” In a double whammy of panic about the fate of the artificial “wealth effect” created thanks to $20 trillion in central bank liquidity, officials at both the White House and Europe’s largest hedge fund expressed concerns about the market rout that saw the […]
“Euphoria Turns To Terror”: Dow To Open 750 Points Lower As VIX Eruption Accelerates
“Euphoria Turns To Terror”: Dow To Open 750 Points Lower As VIX Eruption Accelerates Update: VIX SURGES ABOVE 50 FOR FIRST TIME SINCE AUGUST 2015 * * * It’s a bloodbath, with the Dow set to open 750 points lower “thanks” to the +377 fair value… … but it could have been much worse, with […]
2017 Year In Review
Tortoon/Shutterstock 2017 Year In Review Markets fiddle while Rome burns Every year, friend-of-the-site David Collum writes a detailed “Year in Review” synopsis full of keen perspective and plenty of wit. This year’s is no exception. As with past years, he has graciously selected PeakProsperity.com as the site where it will be published in full. It’s quite longer than […]
Weekly Commentary: China Initiating a Global Bear Market?
Weekly Commentary: China Initiating a Global Bear Market? Chair Yellen is widely lauded for her accomplishments at the Federal Reserve. For the most part, her four-year term at the helm of the Fed boils down to four (likely soon to be five) little rate hikes over 24 months. Most lavishing praise upon Janet Yellen believe […]
Eric Peters On Tipping Points: “It All Worked Incredibly Well, Until It Blew Up”
Eric Peters On Tipping Points: “It All Worked Incredibly Well, Until It Blew Up” Two years ago, long after we first suggested that the transformation of VIX from a measure of implied market volatility to a reflexive instrument that can be traded – and thus influence the underlying assets whose volatility it was supposed to […]
Former BIS Chief Economist Warns “More Dangers Now Than In 2007”
Former BIS Chief Economist Warns “More Dangers Now Than In 2007” Having warned in the past that “the system is dangerously unacnhored,” former chief economist of the Bank for International Settlements, William White, told Bloomberg TV overnight that the current situation “looks very similar to 2008,” adding that OECD sees “more dangers” today than in […]
