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David Stockman on Washington’s Fiscal Doomsday Machine
David Stockman on Washington’s Fiscal Doomsday Machine Here’s one that will make your hair stand on end: The US Treasury closed the books on FY 2023, bringing the four-year cumulative deficit to $9.0 trillion! That’s right. During the last 1,461 days (FY 2020 thru FY 2023), Uncle Sam has generated $6.2 billion of red ink each and every […]
Inflation Is Winning, and Here’s Why the Fed Seems Content To Let It Happen
Inflation Is Winning, and Here’s Why the Fed Seems Content To Let It Happen Photo by cottonbro The U.S. Treasury publishes its balance sheet annually. The most recent, for fiscal year 2020, is so egregiously out of whack it might be hard to wrap your head around: Total Assets: $5.95 trillion Total Liabilities: $32.74 trillion Net Position (total […]
Yellen Urges Development Banks To Stop Fossil Fuel Funding
Yellen Urges Development Banks To Stop Fossil Fuel Funding U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen is prepared to gather together the heads of development banks to persuade them to stop fossil fuel project funding, according to Bloomberg. The Treasury Secretary intends to “articulate our expectations that the MDBs align their portfolios with the Paris Agreement and net-zero […]
Translating Yellen-Speak into Golden-Speak
Translating Yellen-Speak into Golden-Speak Given the increasingly politicized interplay (cancer) of central bank policy and so-called free market price discovery, it’s becoming increasingly more important to track the actions of central bankers rather than just traditional market signals alone. Like it or not, the Fed is the market. Toward this end, we’ve had some substantive fun deciphering […]
Yellen Challenges Powell’s Unlimited Control of the Markets
Yellen Challenges Powell’s Unlimited Control of the Markets Source: Federal Reserve The Fed attempts to maintain control of various rates (including inflation, unemployment and long-term interest rates) through its monetary policy decisions. In the past, poor choices arguably led to both the dot-com bubble and the Great Recession. But that’s old news. Today, Fed Chairman […]
Who Bought the $4.5 Trillion Added in One Year to the Incredibly Spiking US National Debt, Now at $27.9 Trillion?
Who Bought the $4.5 Trillion Added in One Year to the Incredibly Spiking US National Debt, Now at $27.9 Trillion? Someone had to buy every dollar of this monstrous debt. Here’s Who. The Fed isn’t the only one. But China continues to unwind its holdings. Driven by stimulus and bailouts, and fired up by the […]
U.S. Treasury “Major Security Incident” (Whoops!) Reveals Near-Universal Risk
U.S. Treasury “Major Security Incident” (Whoops!) Reveals Near-Universal Risk CQ Roll Call file photo One thing is certain, 2020 isn’t over yet. In what could be called one of the major gaffes of the year, The U.S. Department of the Treasury was hacked, and the hack could have been carried out by foreign entities. One person even told the Washington […]
Weekly Commentary: Summer of 2020
Weekly Commentary: Summer of 2020 QE fundamentally changed finance. What commenced at the Federal Reserve with a post-mortgage finance Bubble, $1 TN Treasury buying operation morphed into open-ended purchases of Treasuries, MBS, corporate bonds and even corporate ETFs holding high-yield “junk” bonds. Markets assume it’s only a matter of time before the Federal Reserve adds […]
The Dollar Is Dying
The Dollar Is Dying Insulting the Captive Audience This week, while perusing the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet figures, we came across a rather curious note. We don’t know how long the Fed’s had this note posted to its website. But we can’t recall ever seeing it. The note reads as follows: “The Federal Reserve’s balance sheet […]
OPINION: Foxes in the henhouse – Who decides where bailout money goes?
OPINION: Foxes in the henhouse – Who decides where bailout money goes? In the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, trillions of bailout dollars in the U.S. and Canada are about to be fire hosed into particular areas of the economy. Given that this is public money held by governments, who decides where and to whom […]
The Federal Reserve Is Directly Monetizing US Debt
The Federal Reserve Is Directly Monetizing US Debt In a very real way, MMT is already here Sure, it’s not admitting to this. And it’s using several technical jinks and jives to offer a pretense that things are otherwise. But it’s not terribly difficult to predict what’s going to happen next: the Federal Reserve will […]
Powell Rate Cut Unleashes Volatility Tsunami
Powell Rate Cut Unleashes Volatility Tsunami It wasn’t supposed to work this way. In the rate cut playbook envisioned by Trump, Powell’s July 31st rate cut was supposed to send stocks higher while crushing the dollar. However, when the FOMC announce a “mid-cycle”, 25bps cut, the outcome was not only a surge in the dollar […]
The only gold the US shows – A working vault at West Point
The only gold the US shows – A working vault at West Point Every so often, US media coverage provides glimpses into the US Treasury’s gold reserves stored with the US Mint. While this coverage never documents any of the claimed “deep storage” gold of the US Treasury, it contains just enough suggestion for the populace […]
Changes in Government Deposits and Money Supply
CHANGES IN GOVERNMENT DEPOSITS AND MONEY SUPPLY The US debt ceiling suspension, signed in February 2018, expires at the beginning of March this year. Some commentators are of the view that the US Treasury must carry out special measures if it expects a delay in raising the debt ceiling in March. The Treasury would have […]
Venezuela’s gold in limbo amid tug-of-war at the Bank of England
Venezuela’s gold in limbo amid tug-of-war at the Bank of England In early November news was placed into the British media (Reuters and The Times) revealing that the Bank of England in London, one of the world’s largest custodians of gold bars on behalf of other central banks, was refusing to allow the withdrawal and […]
