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The Fed’s Empire of Speculation and the Echoes of 1929
The Fed’s Empire of Speculation and the Echoes of 1929 Speculation has its own expiration dynamics, and they don’t depend on us recognizing speculative excess for what it is. They will unravel the excesses regardless of what we think, hope or deny. The Federal Reserve has so completely normalized speculative excess that these extremes are […]
«The Fed Reminds Me of a Speculator Who Is on the Wrong Side of the Market»
«The Fed Reminds Me of a Speculator Who Is on the Wrong Side of the Market» Jim Grant, editor of Grant’s Interest Rate Observer, warns of the rampant speculation in the stock market. He worries that the central banks are underestimating the threat of persistently high inflation and explains why gold has a bright future. […]
Ponzis Go Boom!!!
Ponzis Go Boom!!! For the past few years, I have been critical of the Ponzi Sector. To me, these are businesses that sell a dollar for 80 cents and hope to make it up in volume. Just because Amazon (AMZN – USA) ran at a loss early on, doesn’t mean that all businesses will inflect […]
The Central Bank War – Nobody Notices
The Central Bank War – Nobody Notices QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong: I have watched in amazement how you connect all these elements. Everyone I spoke to agreed this was your best WEC ever. You have said the Fed needed to raise rates because of the pension crisis and it would have nothing to do with inflation but […]
We’re All Speculators Now
We’re All Speculators Now When the herd thunders off the cliff, most participants are trapped in the stampede.. One of the most perverse consequences of the central banks “saving the world” (i.e. saving banks and the super-wealthy) is the destruction of low-risk investments: we’re all speculators now, whether we know it or acknowledge it. The […]
Sucker Traps and the Arithmetic of Risk
Sucker Traps and the Arithmetic of Risk John Hussman has another excellent article out this week but it will be ignored. Mathematically, it must be ignored. In the Arithmetic of Risk, Hussman posted the above chart. I added the anecdotes regarding where we are. Here are some pertinent snips. At present, I view the market […]
Flying Blind, Part 2: The Destruction Of Honest Price Discovery And Its Consequences
Flying Blind, Part 2: The Destruction Of Honest Price Discovery And Its Consequences In Part 1 we noted that the real evil of Bubble Finance is not merely that it leads to bubble crashes, of which there is surely a doozy just around the bend; or that speculators get the painful deserts they fully deserve, which is coming big time, too; or even […]
“Canada: Irrational Exuberance?” Wild Housing Speculation Drives Entire Economy
“Canada: Irrational Exuberance?” Wild Housing Speculation Drives Entire Economy Everyone is afraid of breaking the addiction. Here’s another data point on the Canadian housing bubble, how immense it really is, and how utterly crucial wild housing speculation has become to the Canadian economy. Housing starts surged to 253,720 units in March seasonally adjusted, the highest […]
Please Don’t Pop My Bubble!
Please Don’t Pop My Bubble! So ride your bubble of choice up–stocks, bonds, housing, bat guano, take your pick–but it’s best to keep your thumb on the sell button. One person’s bubble is another person’s “fair market value.” What is clearly an outrageously overvalued asset perched at nosebleed levels of central-bank fueled speculative euphoria is to […]
Noam Chomsky and The War on Straight Answers
Noam Chomsky and The War on Straight Answers In the wake of Donald Trump’s shocking pledge: “You will find out who really knocked down the World Trade Center,” many Americans may find themselves staring into the abyss. The implication has reached the mainstream, that we do not exactly know who was behind the September 11th attacks, which are trotted […]
Do Any of the Current Rallies Pass “The Sniff Test”? No.
Do Any of the Current Rallies Pass “The Sniff Test”? No. But you can’t tame the monster of speculative, legalized looting and financialization. Everything from iron ore to copper to the Baltic Dry Index to stocks to bat guano is rallying. The problem is not a single rally passes “the sniff test:” is the rally the […]
Something’s Gone Horribly Awry
Something’s Gone Horribly Awry The S&P 500 has fallen 7.37 percent so far this year. What to make of it… Naturally, some people find falling stock prices to be unpleasant. Others find them distressing. Another way to look at falling stock prices, however, is like a high-fiber diet. The effect is necessary to a healthy […]
My Financial Road Map For 2016
My Financial Road Map For 2016 Happy New Year to All! May 2016 bring peace to you and your loved ones. Over the holidays, I had the opportunity to stay away from airports and hike Runyon Canyon with my dogs. For those of you that have never traversed Runyon’s peaks and dips, they are nature’s respite […]
Our “Star Wars” Economy: The Fed-Farce Awakens
Our “Star Wars” Economy: The Fed-Farce Awakens The Fed’s hubris has led it to the Dark Side. It’s not just a movie, it’s real life: the Fed-Farce awakens. Now that the Federal Reserve has finally voted to “restore order to the galaxy” with a tiny .25% rate increase, the true measure of our travesty of a mockery […]
