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The Thermodynamics of Degrowth | Tim Garrett
The Thermodynamics of Degrowth | Tim Garrett Collapse and Recovery What’s the relationship between our energy consumption, our material footprint and our economies? Tim Garrett and I come to refer to these as “the holy trinity”. Tim is a Professor of Atmospheric Sciences at the University of Utah, and over two years ago, he joined me […]
What Happens If Most Businesses & Consumers Tighten Their Belts at the Same Time?
What Happens If Most Businesses & Consumers Tighten Their Belts at the Same Time? Europe may be about to find out. 128 days with my Mother-in-Law. As market players cling to the hope that a V-shaped economic recovery is still possible in Europe, to match the central-bank engineered rebounds of benchmark indexes such as Germany’s DAX […]
Recovery or Renewal? Time for an economic rethink
Recovery or Renewal? Time for an economic rethink A recent study of long-term fluctuations in economic growth published in Nature Scientific Reports suggests both danger and opportunity in the emerging debate about post Covid-19 economic recovery. In this blog, Craig D. Rye and Tim Jackson outline their findings. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) expects the global economy to […]
“V-Shaped” Recovery Not Now: It Gets Worse, 30.55 Million on Unemployment. Week 14 of U.S. Labor Market Collapse
“V-Shaped” Recovery Not Now: It Gets Worse, 30.55 Million on Unemployment. Week 14 of U.S. Labor Market Collapse Had a setback. Over 11 million gig workers on unemployment insurance. But four states, including Florida, still can’t process federal PUA claims. This unemployment crisis is shape-shifting, and some states are still trying to catch up with […]
Eurozone Collapse: V-Shaped Recovery Mirage Is Gone
Eurozone Collapse: V-Shaped Recovery Mirage Is Gone Eurozone Economy Collapses 3.8% in the first quarter, the worst on record. Spain (-5.2%) and France (-5.6%) GDP were much worse than Italy (-4.7%). Economist Daniel Lacalle offers his thoughts on the European economy in a YouTube video. Daniel Lacalle✔@dlacalle_IA EUROZONE COLLAPSE The V-Shaped Recovery Mirage Is Gone. […]
Here’s Why the Economy Won’t Recover–and No, It’s Not Covid-19 or the Lockdown
Here’s Why the Economy Won’t Recover–and No, It’s Not Covid-19 or the Lockdown When reality and truth become the sworn enemies of society’s political and economic elites, the society is well and truly doomed. The risks of Covid-19 and the lockdown have been explored across a wide spectrum of opinion. To hit just a few of […]
After 10 Years of “Recovery,” What Are Central Banks So Afraid Of?
After 10 Years of “Recovery,” What Are Central Banks So Afraid Of? If the world’s economies still need central bank life support to survive, they aren’t healthy–they’re barely clinging to life. The “recovery”/Bull Market is in its 10th year, and yet central banks are still tiptoeing around as if the tiniest misstep will cause the […]
Here’s What We’ve Lost in the Past Decade
Here’s What We’ve Lost in the Past Decade The confidence and hubris of those directing the rest of us to race off the cliff while they watch from a safe distance is off the charts. The past decade of “recovery” and “growth” has actually been a decade of catastrophic losses for our society and nation. […]
Swan Song Of The Central Bankers, Part 5: The Flat Line Does Not Spell Recovery
Swan Song Of The Central Bankers, Part 5: The Flat Line Does Not Spell Recovery The punk January industrial production (IP) report brought another reminder that the Fed has stimulated nothing at all on the output/employment prong of its dual mandate. Indeed, as they celebrate a purported “mission accomplished” full employment recovery and confidently prepare to plow forward with an epochal pivot […]
Is the 9-Year Long Dead Cat Bounce Finally Ending?
Is the 9-Year Long Dead Cat Bounce Finally Ending? Ignoring or downplaying these fundamental forces has greatly increased the fragility of the status quo. The term dead cat bounce is market lingo for a “recovery” after markets decline due to fundamental reversals. Markets tend to bounce back after sharp declines as participants (human and digital) […]
The Curious Case of Missing the Market Boom
The Curious Case of Missing the Market Boom Rembrandt Old man with a beard 1630“The Cost of Missing the Market Boom is Skyrocketing”, says a Bloomberg headline today. That must be the scariest headline I’ve seen in quite a while. For starters, it’s misleading, because people who ‘missed’ the boom haven’t lost anything other than […]
Maybe The Recovery Wasn’t Real After All
Maybe The Recovery Wasn’t Real After All For a while there it looked like the US and its main trading partners had finally achieved escape velocity. Growth was up, inflation was poking through the Fed’s 2% target, and most measures of consumer sentiment were bordering on euphoric. Then it all started to evaporate. Lackluster manufacturing […]
Bernanke Blew It Big-Time: He Should Have Raised Rates Three Years Ago
Bernanke Blew It Big-Time: He Should Have Raised Rates Three Years Ago Bernanke blew it big-time, letting the “recovery” run seven years without any significant increase in rates. It is now painfully obvious that Ben Bernanke blew it big-time by not raising rates three years ago when the economy and markets enjoyed tailwinds. The former Federal […]
According To Deutsche Bank, The “Worst Kind Of Recession” May Have Already Started
According To Deutsche Bank, The “Worst Kind Of Recession” May Have Already Started One week ago, Deutsche Bank’s Dominic Konstam unveiled, whether he likes it or not, what the next all too likely step will be as central bankers scramble to preserve order in a world in which monetary policy has all but lost effectiveness: “It […]
The Cure is Worse than the Disease
The Cure is Worse than the Disease A Week to Remember Today we look back to the recent past with singleness of purpose. Context and edification for the present economy is what we’re after. We have questions… How come the recovery has been so weak? Why is it that, nearly seven years after the official […]
