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Europe’s hurricane-fueled wildfires might become a recurring nightmare
REUTERS/Rafael Marchante WE DID START THE FIRE Europe’s hurricane-fueled wildfires might become a recurring nightmare This week, a hurricane broadsided Europe — a rare event considering most of the continent is closer to the North Pole than it is to the tropics. That would have been enough to make worldwide news, but the continent was […]
Global Retirement Reality
Global Retirement Reality Global Shortfall UK Time Bomb Swiss Cheese Retirement Pay-As-You-Go Woes Lisbon, Denver, Lugano, and Hong Kong Today we’ll continue to size up the bull market in governmental promises. As we do so, keep an old trader’s slogan in mind: “That which cannot go on forever, won’t.” Or we could say it differently: […]
EU Bailout of Portugal Has Failed
EU Bailout of Portugal Has Failed This year, 2017, is the beginning of the Sovereign Debt Crisis. While Greece is popping up on the financial radar, the Euro rescue in Portugal has also completely failed to reverse the trend of the country. There has been no effective relief from the debt crisis in Southern Europe. The […]
Chart Of The Day: This Is What Happens When There Is Even A Hint That The ECB Will Stop Buying Bonds
Chart Of The Day: This Is What Happens When There Is Even A Hint That The ECB Will Stop Buying Bonds Portugal’s bond yields continue to rise as the rating agency DBRS prepares to deliver its rating verdict. It’s the last rating agency that still has Portugal’s debt at an investment-grade level. If the downgrade […]
Is Europe In Trouble Again: Hints Of Portuguese, Italian Bank Bailouts Suggest Not All Is Well
Is Europe In Trouble Again: Hints Of Portuguese, Italian Bank Bailouts Suggest Not All Is Well In the aftermath of Germany refusal to allow Italy to breach Eurozone regulations, and provide its banks with up to €40 billion in new capital, Italy has unveiled a new track to handle its insolvent banks and as Reuters reports, the […]
Jim Grant Asks When The World Will Realize “That Central Bankers Have Lost Their Marbles”
Jim Grant Asks When The World Will Realize “That Central Bankers Have Lost Their Marbles” April 15 comes and goes but the federal debt stays and grows. The secrets of its life force are the topics at hand— that and some guesswork about how the upsurge in financial leverage, private and public alike, may bear on […]
Austria Just Announced A 54% Haircut Of Senior Creditors In First “Bail In” Under New European Rules
Austria Just Announced A 54% Haircut Of Senior Creditors In First “Bail In” Under New European Rules Just over a year ago, a black swan landed in the middle of Europe, when in what was then dubbed a “Spectacular Development” In Austria, the “bad bank” of failed Hypo Alpe Adria – the Heta Asset Resolution AG […]
How Italy will fail and drag down the European Project
How Italy will fail and drag down the European Project Italy is big enough to matter (it is the eight largest economy on the planet), but so uneventful that most does not pay any attention to what is going on there. We contend that Italy will, during the next year or two, be on everyone’s […]
A Contagious Crisis Of Confidence In Corporate Credit
A Contagious Crisis Of Confidence In Corporate Credit Credit is not innately good or bad. Simplistically, productive Credit is constructive, while non-productive Credit is inevitably problematic. This crucial distinction tends to be masked throughout the boom period. Worse yet, a prolonged boom in “productive” Credit – surely fueled by some type of underlying monetary disorder – can […]
Italian Banks Sink As “Bad Bank” Plan Underwhelms
Italian Banks Sink As “Bad Bank” Plan Underwhelms Last week, we noted that Italy is rushing to defuse a €200 billion time bomb in the country’s banking sector as investors fret over banks’ exposure to souring loans. “Italian banks’ share prices have been volatile YTD, given the market’s renewed fears over asset quality and potential developments on […]
Italy Races To Defuse €200 Billion Bad Loan Time Bomb With “Bad Bank”
Italy Races To Defuse €200 Billion Bad Loan Time Bomb With “Bad Bank” When Portugal “surprised” senior Novo Banco bondholders with a €2 billion bail-in late last month, the market got an unwelcome reminder that euro periphery banks are far from “solid.” Novo was supposed to house the “good” assets salvaged from the wreckage of […]
Let The Bail-Ins Begin
Let The Bail-Ins Begin Portugal is starting to bail-in banks. The fascinating aspect that nobody seems to see is that this is a total failure of socialism. The U.S. Federal Reserve was formed in 1913, with the shareholders being the banks, to provide the cash needed to prevent bank failures. To stimulate the economy when […]
Creditors Accuse Portugal Of “Unfair, Populist Short-Cut” In €2 Billion Bank Bail-In
Creditors Accuse Portugal Of “Unfair, Populist Short-Cut” In €2 Billion Bank Bail-In Two weeks ago, The Bank of Portugal shocked markets by bailing in senior Novo Banco bondholders. Novo Banco was the “good” bank forged from the ashes of Banco Espirito Santo which had to be bailed out by the state in August of 2014. The idea […]
The EU Bail-In Directive: Dark Clouds are Gathering
The EU Bail-In Directive: Dark Clouds are Gathering Portugal’s Rickety Banking System After the unseemly bankruptcy of the Espirito Santo Group and the associated bank, then Portugal’s second biggest (likely a result of not praying enough, see: “Big Portuguese Bank Gets Into Trouble” and “Fears Over Banco Espirito Santo Escalate” for the gory details), Portugal’s […]
