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Here’s Why the Housing Market Has Gone from Overheated to Raging Inferno

Here’s Why the Housing Market Has Gone from Overheated to Raging Inferno Image credit: Creative Commons (CC0) The housing market is on the verge of spinning out of control. Just about everything that could be going wrong is going wrong. The only holdout for the moment is home prices, which are up an astonishing 22.5% just this year. For many […]

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“The Fed’s Monetary Punchbowl Is Fueling Rampant Home Price Appreciation”: AEI

“The Fed’s Monetary Punchbowl Is Fueling Rampant Home Price Appreciation”: AEI “There is no justification” for continuing the purchases of mortgage-backed securities. The Fed is “misdiagnosing its impact on the housing market.” Pressure rises on the Fed to back off, in face of market craziness. During the press conference following the FOMC meeting last week, […]

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Fed Goes Nuts with Repos & T-Bills but Sheds Mortgage Backed Securities

Fed Goes Nuts with Repos & T-Bills but Sheds Mortgage Backed Securities The fastest increase in assets for any two-month period since the post-Lehman freak show in late 2008 and early 2009. Total assets on the Fed’s balance sheet, released today, jumped by $94 billion over the past month through November 6, to $4.04 trillion, after […]

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Is This Downturn A Repeat of 2008?

Getty images Is This Downturn A Repeat of 2008? Crashes differ, so be cautious about your assumptions Even people who don’t follow the stock market closely are aware that the global economy is weakening and appears to be heading into recession. For those who track the stock market, the signs are ominous: the U.S. was […]

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Mortgage Rates May Hit 6% Sooner, as Fed Sheds Mortgage-Backed Securities, But What Will that Do to Housing Bubble 2?

Mortgage Rates May Hit 6% Sooner, as Fed Sheds Mortgage-Backed Securities, But What Will that Do to Housing Bubble 2? Mortgage rates are climbing faster than the 10-year Treasury yield. The average interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances ($453,100 or less) and a 20% down-payment rose to 5.17% for the latest […]

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The Fed’s QE Unwind Hits $321 Billion

The Fed’s QE Unwind Hits $321 Billion The “up to” exacts its pound of flesh. Over the four-week period from October 3 through October 31, the Federal Reserve shed $35 billion in assets, according to the Fed’s weekly balance sheet released Thursday afternoon. This brought the balance sheet to $4,140 billion, the lowest since February […]

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Weekly Commentary: Approaching the 10-year Anniversary

Weekly Commentary: Approaching the 10-year Anniversary We’re rapidly Approaching the 10-year Anniversary of the 2008 financial crisis. Exactly one decade ago to the day (September 7, 2008), Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were placed into government receivership. And for at least a decade, there has been nothing more than talk of reforming the government-sponsored-enterprises. It’s […]

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Weekly Commentary: Approaching the 10-year Anniversary

Weekly Commentary: Approaching the 10-year Anniversary We’re rapidly Approaching the 10-year Anniversary of the 2008 financial crisis. Exactly one decade ago to the day (September 7, 2008), Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were placed into government receivership. And for at least a decade, there has been nothing more than talk of reforming the government-sponsored-enterprises. It’s […]

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Too Clever By Half

Too Clever By Half The smartest animals on my farm aren’t my bees (although they possess the genius of the algorithm). It’s not the horses or the goats or even the dogs. The barn cat is pretty smart, but only in fairly limited circumstances, and the house cats are useless. Obviously it’s not the sheep or […]

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QE…The Gift That Just Kept Giving…Is Now Taking 

QE…The Gift That Just Kept Giving…Is Now Taking  I know the Federal Reserve doesn’t effectively create money or directly monetize.  I know this because then Fed chief, Ben Bernanke, told us so (HERE).  But still, something has me wondering about that exchange, now almost a decade ago.  The simplest of math. The plan to utilize quantitative […]

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Deutsche Bank Collapse: The Most Important Bank In Europe Is Facing A Major ‘Liquidity Event’

Deutsche Bank Collapse: The Most Important Bank In Europe Is Facing A Major ‘Liquidity Event’ The largest and most important bank in the largest and most important economy in Europe is imploding right in front of our eyes.  Deutsche Bank is the 11th biggest bank on the entire planet, and due to the enormous exposure […]

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Here’s Why Housing Must be Propped Up

Here’s Why Housing Must be Propped Up If housing tanks, the last prop under the veneer of middle class wealth collapses. The Powers That Be have gone to extraordinary lengths to prop up housing by whatever means are necessary since the collapse of the housing bubble in 2008: the Federal Reserve has pushed mortgages rates down […]

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Two Outs in the Bottom of the Ninth

Two Outs in the Bottom of the Ninth The housing market peaked in 2005 and proceeded to crash over the next five years, with existing home sales falling 50%, new home sales falling 75%, and national home prices falling 30%. A funny thing happened after the peak. Wall Street banks accelerated the issuance of subprime […]

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Who Runs the Fed?

Who Runs the Fed? Ben Bernanke, 2011. (Shirley Li/Medill DC via Flickr) The 2008 financial crisis challenged many orthodox assumptions in finance and economics, including the proper role and accountability of central banks. The U.S. Federal Reserve, commonly known as the Fed, is the world’s most powerful central bank. One major source of Federal Reserve […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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