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Albert Edwards: “Equity Investors Are Facing The Four Horsemen Of The Apocalypse”
Albert Edwards: “Equity Investors Are Facing The Four Horsemen Of The Apocalypse” Even SocGen’s Albert Edwards was surprised at how quickly his latest predication was validated. Recall that 3 weeks ago with the 10Y yield at 3.10%, with Edwards looking at the surge higher in 10Y Yields the SocGen strategist pointed out that the break […]
“This Is The Tipping Point”: One Bank Is Calling For A 30% Market Correction
“This Is The Tipping Point”: One Bank Is Calling For A 30% Market Correction While some believe that it is the level (or stock) of the 10Y yield during a rate rout that determines the resulting revulsion toward equities, while others claim that it it speed of the sell off (the “flow” angle) that matters, […]
The Commons, Short and Sweet
The Commons, Short and Sweet I am always trying to figure out how to explain the idea of the commons to newcomers who find it hard to grasp. Here is a fairly short overview, which I think gets to the nub of things. The commons is…. A social system for the long-term stewardship of resources […]
What Lies Beyond Capitalism and Socialism?
What Lies Beyond Capitalism and Socialism? The status quo, in all its various forms, is dominated by incentives that strengthen the centralization of wealth and power. As longtime readers know, my work aims to 1) explain why the status quo — the socio-economic-political system we inhabit — is unsustainable, divisive, and doomed to collapse under […]
“Bloodbath” – Dow Crashes Over 1000 Points, Enters Correction
“Bloodbath” – Dow Crashes Over 1000 Points, Enters Correction Dow crashed over 1000 points today…. All 2018 gains are gone… Time for “Markets In Turmoil” special… Markets “turmoiled” again today as Treasury yields spiked on a weak auction and the implications of a budget deal that means more supply is coming. This spooked stocks once […]
Cowen: Shutdown Brings “More Default Risk Than The Market Realizes”
Cowen: Shutdown Brings “More Default Risk Than The Market Realizes” Echoing almost verbatim the bleak outlook on the US government shutdown laid out by Goldman on Friday in which the bank said the government closure could last “up to a few weeks” and become dangerous once it approaches the timing of the debt ceiling, Cowen’s […]
“What Happens When The Market Can No Longer Pretend”: Charting Today’s Minsky Moments Dynamics
“What Happens When The Market Can No Longer Pretend”: Charting Today’s Minsky Moments Dynamics Back in July, Deutsche Bank’s derivative strategist Aleksandar Kocic believed he had found the moment the market broke, which he defined as a terminal dislocation between market and economic policy uncertainty: as he wrote 4 months ago, it was some time […]
Cash Bans and the Next Crisis
Cash Bans and the Next Crisis Criminalizing Cash Money sometimes goes “full politics”. Take poor Kenneth Rogoff at Harvard. He wants a dollar with a voter registration card, a U.S. flag on its windshield, and a handgun in its belt – the kind of money that supports the Establishment and votes for Hillary. Etatiste tool […]
Who Will Raise Rates? The Market or the Fed?
Who Will Raise Rates? The Market or the Fed? Some people are confused by what I mean when I say that rates will rise as we move into the sovereign debt crisis, which will pick up steam in 2017 moving into 2020. We are NOT talking about central banks raising rates; we are looking at […]
Stocks, the Economy and the Money Supply – What to Watch
Stocks, the Economy and the Money Supply – What to Watch The Stock Market and Economic Data In previous articles we have occasionally discussed the interaction between economic indicators and the stock market. Among the topics we have touched upon: for one thing, the capitalization-weighted indexes can hardly be called “leading indicators” of the economy […]
It’s Official: China Confirms It Has Begun Liquidating Treasuries, Warns Washington
It’s Official: China Confirms It Has Begun Liquidating Treasuries, Warns Washington On Tuesday evening, we asked what would happen if emerging markets joined China in dumping US Treasurys. For months we’ve documented the PBoC’s liquidation of its vast stack of US paper. Back in July for instance, we noted that China had dumped a record $143 billion in US […]
The Swiss National Bank Bought Another 500,000 AAPL Shares Just Before 10% Correction
The Swiss National Bank Bought Another 500,000 AAPL Shares Just Before 10% Correction Three months ago we were stunned to learn, and report, that the Swiss National Bank – a central bank – had been one of the biggest buyers of AAPL stock in the first quarter, when it added 3.3 million shares to its existing […]
The Irony Of Market Manipulation
The Irony Of Market Manipulation Having gazed ominously at the extreme monetary policy smoke-and-mirrors intervention in bond markets, and previously explained that “the stock market is to important to leave to the vagaries of an actual market.“ While the rest of the world’s central banks’ direct (BoJ) and indirect (Fed, ECB) manipulation of equity markets, nobody bats an eyelid; but […]
