Home » Posts tagged 'linear systems'

Tag Archives: linear systems

Olduvai
Click on image to purchase

Content

Olduvai III: Catacylsm
Click on image to purchase

Post categories

Post Archives by Category

Crunchtime: When Events Outrun Plan B

Crunchtime: When Events Outrun Plan B Not only will events outrun Plan B, they’ll also outrun Plans C and D.  We all know what Plan B is: our pre-planned response to the emergence of risk. Plan B is for risks that can be anticipated, regular but unpredictable events such tornadoes, earthquakes, hurricanes, etc. In the human sphere, risks that […]

Continue Reading →

Chaos of Weather Record Heat Wave Coming – Fraud of Linear Predictions

Chaos of Weather Record Heat Wave Coming – Fraud of Linear Predictions  This weekend the forecasts are calling for a blistering, dangerous heat wave which is poised to scorch the southeastern U.S. over the Memorial Day weekend. I warned that our computer was showing a sharp increase in volatility in the weather. The winters would […]

Continue Reading →

Keep It Simple And Complex, Stupid

Keep It Simple And Complex, Stupid My last post supporting the use of nonlinear models (“You Do Need A Weatherman”) generated some thoughtful responses, mainly along the lines of this post by Ari Andricopoulos entitled “A View on the Economic Model Debate from a Non-economist (but someone who builds models for a living)”. The basic argument is that […]

Continue Reading →

Olduvai IV: Courage
Click on image to read excerpts

Olduvai II: Exodus
Click on image to purchase

Click on image to purchase @ FriesenPress