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The Greenspan Moon Cult
The Greenspan Moon Cult Taking another look at what I wrote about repo and the latest developments yesterday, it may be worthwhile to spend some additional time on the “why” as it pertains to so much determined official blindness, an unshakeable devotion to otherwise easily explained lunar events. The short version: monetary authorities as well as the “experts” describe […]
Rate of Change
Rate of Change We’ve got to change our ornithological nomenclature. Hawks become doves because they are chickens underneath. Doves became hawks for reasons they don’t really understand. A fingers-crossed policy isn’t a robust one, so there really was no reason to expect the economy to be that way. In January 2019, especially the past few […]
Uh Oh; In A Month Of Big Warnings, The Biggest Yet
Uh Oh; In A Month Of Big Warnings, The Biggest Yet All better now. It’s a Christmas miracle, the plunge erased by market closure as if FDR had just been re-elected and taken the oath. The Dow is on everyone’s mind, so trading on December 26 has understandably stuck. Stocks posted their best day in […]
Chart of the Week: Playing With Dominoes
Chart of the Week: Playing With Dominoes The Great “Recession” was never a recession. It was a monetary event first and foremost, and it continues to be eleven years later. That means by and large it has been a failure of imagination. Central bankers say they’ve done this and that, but what they’ve never done, […]
Still None, and Even More Reasons to Expect None
STILL NONE, AND EVEN MORE REASONS TO EXPECT NONE The parallels between the last few years and those at the end of the 1990’s are striking. There was a few years ago the monetary intrusion of the “rising dollar” which at its worst seriously depressed the global economy. Oil prices crashed, as did several key […]
It’s More Than Just the Absences of Acceleration, It’s the Synchronization Where There Should Be None
IT’S MORE THAN JUST THE ABSENCE OF ACCELERATION, IT’S THE SYNCHRONIZATION WHERE THERE SHOULD BE NONE BY JEFFREY P. SNIDER According to the latest ECB figures, as of yesterday total “liquidity” added to the European banking system for that central bank’s ongoing monetary “stimulus” was just shy of €2 trillion. The outstanding balance in the […]
Political Economics
Political Economics Who President Trump ultimately picks as the next Federal Reserve Chairman doesn’t really matter. Unless he goes really far afield to someone totally unexpected, whoever that person will be will be largely more of the same. It won’t be a categorical change, a different philosophical direction that is badly needed. Still, politically, it […]
Forget Draghi, Crude Matters
Forget Draghi, Crude Matters Despite Mario Draghi’s supposedly misinterpreted comments earlier this week, there are global indications that the best of this round has already been reached. Policymakers are always going to claim things are improving, that much is given. But there is tremendous difference between that and what has occurred, especially if it is […]
The Coming Of Depression Economics
The Coming Of Depression Economics Like it or not, this is where we have been all along and a great many people are just now catching up. No matter what Janet Yellen says about the economy, she is talking out the side of her mouth. Internally, the recovery is gone, and it is never coming […]
Like Everything Else, History Repeats (Almost Exactly) Because Power Truly Corrupts
Like Everything Else, History Repeats (Almost Exactly) Because Power Truly Corrupts With both the Bank of Japan and Federal Reserve today undertaking policy considerations at the same time, it is useful to highlight the similarities of conditions if not exactly in time. As I wrote this morning, what the Fed is attempting now is very nearly […]
What Have ‘We’ Been Doing All This Time?
What Have ‘We’ Been Doing All This Time? Amidst all the pearls of wisdom unleashed in mainstream economics over the past unbelievable eight years or so, it was one paragraph of common sense that had it been written and appreciated at the start of this period might have saved us all the inordinate and totally […]
