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Growth in Spending Exceeds Growth in Income for Most of the Last 10 Months
Growth in Spending Exceeds Growth in Income for Most of the Last 10 Months A deeper dive into personal income and outlays for March shows significant signs of consumer stress to maintain standards of living. Real Income and spending data from the BEA, chart by Mish This is a follow-up with a couple new charts […]
Want to Know Where the Economy Is Going? Watch The Top 10%
Want to Know Where the Economy Is Going? Watch The Top 10% Should the wealth effect reverse as assets fall, capital gains evaporate and investment income declines, the top 10% will no longer have the means or appetite to spend so freely. Soaring wealth-income inequality has all sorts of consequences. As many (including me) have noted, […]
The Importance Of A Resilient Life
The Importance Of A Resilient Life In the end, it will mean all the difference My business partner Adam and I recently met with a successful business owner whose career began on Wall Street. The kind of guy who should be rooting for the system, because it has treated him well. Instead, he was quite […]
238 academics call on the EU to plan for a post-growth future
238 academics call on the EU to plan for a post-growth future Preface. We know there’s going to be no growth soon due to peak oil and limits to growth, and ought to be planning for it so that the financial system doesn’t “freak out” and crash like Humpty Dumpty, beyond repair. We will eventually […]
Why Everything That Needs to Be Fixed Remains Permanently Broken
Why Everything That Needs to Be Fixed Remains Permanently Broken Just in case you missed what’s going on in France: the status quo in Europe is doomed. The status quo has a simple fix for every crisis and systemic problem: 1. create currency out of thin air 2. give it to super-wealthy banks, financiers and […]
The Primacy Of Income
The Primacy Of Income The Era Of Gains is over Ever since the central banks became serial bubble blowers twenty years ago, household wealth has mostly been driven by asset price inflation: But this has been a quixotic pursuit. Created by pulling tomorrow’s prosperity into today, these asset price bubbles are unsustainable, and invariably suffer […]
Global Economy On Precipice of Secular Decline…Detailed via Shifting Population, Demographics, Income, and Consumption
Global Economy On Precipice of Secular Decline…Detailed via Shifting Population, Demographics, Income, and Consumption Many look at global population growth as a given to greater consumption…and looking at the chart below of total global population set to hit 7.8 billion by 2020, one might be forgiven for this viewpoint. However, the reality, when one looks […]
What’s Wrong with the Economy: 9 Toxic Dynamics
What’s Wrong with the Economy: 9 Toxic Dynamics These nine dynamics are mutually reinforcing. Beneath the surface signals of an eternally rising stock market and expanding GDP, we all sense something is deeply, systemically wrong with the U.S. economy. These nine structural dynamics generate secondary dynamics, all of which are toxic to social mobility, sustainable […]
The U.S. Economy In Two Words: Asymmetric Gains
The U.S. Economy In Two Words: Asymmetric Gains The Status Quo is in trouble if the bottom 95% wake up to the asymmetric gains that are the only possible output of our hyper-financialized economy. The core dynamic of the U.S. economy in this era is asymmetric gains: the gains in income, wealth and power are […]
“Canada Is In Serious Trouble” Again, And This Time It’s For Real
“Canada Is In Serious Trouble” Again, And This Time It’s For Real Some time ago, Deutsche Bank’s chief international economist, Torsten Slok, presented several charts which showed that “Canada is in serious trouble” mostly as a result of its overreliance on its frothy, bubbly housing sector, but also due to the fact that unlike the […]
Trade Wars Just Beginning…The War Is a Fight Over an Indefinitely Shrinking Pie
Trade Wars Just Beginning…The War Is a Fight Over an Indefinitely Shrinking Pie From a growth perspective, it doesn’t matter if the world is 7.5 million or 7.5 billion persons…it only matters how many more there are from one year to the next. Economic growth (or the ability to consume more…not produce more) is about the […]
The Future Ain’t What It Used To Be
© Rangizzz | Dreamstime.com The Future Ain’t What It Used To Be Looks like we’re in for a much rockier ride than many expect This marks our our 10th year of doing this. And by “this”, we mean using data, logic and reason to support the very basic conclusion that infinite growth on a finite […]
What Does it Mean, Saving Rate drops to 12-Year Low when 50% of Americans Don’t Have Savings?
What Does it Mean, Saving Rate drops to 12-Year Low when 50% of Americans Don’t Have Savings? Or what the averages are hiding. We will start with income and see what’s left over, and for whom. Personal income increased by 4.1% in December from a year earlier, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported today. This […]
How Central Banks Widen Wealth and Income Gaps
How Central Banks Widen Wealth and Income Gaps The Federal Reserve’s latest Survey of Consumer Finances, according to Federal Reserve Governor Brainard, shows that the share of income held by the top 1 percent of households has risen from 17 percent in 1988 to 24 percent in 2015, and that the wealth held by that […]