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Is the U.S. Banking System Safe?–15 Years Later

IS THE U.S. BANKING SYSTEM SAFE? – 15 YEARS LATER “We’ve got strong financial institutions…Our markets are the envy of the world. They’re resilient, they’re…innovative, they’re flexible. I think we move very quickly to address situations in this country, and, as I said, our financial institutions are strong.” – Henry Paulson – 3/16/08   “I have full confidence […]

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Fourth Turning Accelerating Towards Climax

FOURTH TURNING ACCELERATING TOWARDS CLIMAX “At some point, America’s short-term Crisis psychology will catch up to the long-term post-Unraveling fundamentals. This might result in a Great Devaluation, a severe drop in the market price of most financial and real assets. This devaluation could be a short but horrific panic, a free-falling price in a market […]

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Weekly Commentary: Portending an Interesting Q4

Weekly Commentary: Portending an Interesting Q4 “Those who do not learn history are doomed to repeat it.” I’ll add that those that learn the wrong lessons from Bubbles are doomed to face greater future peril. The ten-year anniversary of the financial crisis has generated interesting discussion, interviews and scores of articles. I can’t help but […]

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Weekly Commentary: Portending an Interesting Q4

Weekly Commentary: Portending an Interesting Q4 “Those who do not learn history are doomed to repeat it.” I’ll add that those that learn the wrong lessons from Bubbles are doomed to face greater future peril. The ten-year anniversary of the financial crisis has generated interesting discussion, interviews and scores of articles. I can’t help but […]

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Heroes & Whores

HEROES & WHORES “Certainly one of the most important things I learned is that numbers can be deceiving. There is a logic to mathematics, but there is also the underlying human element that must be considered. Numbers can’t lie, but the people who create those numbers can and do. As so many people have learned, […]

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The Bailouts for the Rich Are Why America Is So Screwed Right Now

The Bailouts for the Rich Are Why America Is So Screwed Right Now Did they prevent a full-scale collapse? Yes. Was it necessary to do it the way we did? Not at all. These guys got off pretty easy. (Photo by Scott J. Ferrell/Congressional Quarterly/Getty Images) In 1948, the architect of the post-war American suburb, […]

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Albert Edwards: Why We Are Destined To Repeat The Mistakes Of The Past

Albert Edwards: Why We Are Destined To Repeat The Mistakes Of The Past With everyone and their grandmother opining on the 10 year anniversary of the start of the global financial crisis, it was inevitable that the strategist who predicted the great crash (and according to some has been doing the same for the past […]

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Bernanke, Geithner and Paulson Still Don’t Have a Clue About the Financial Crisis

Bernanke, Geithner and Paulson Still Don’t Have a Clue About the Financial Crisis NYT readers were no doubt disturbed to see a column in  which former Fed Reserve Board chair Ben Bernanke, Obama Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, and Bush Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson patted themselves on the back for their performance in the financial crisis. […]

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The Cure is Worse than the Disease

The Cure is Worse than the Disease  A Week to Remember Today we look back to the recent past with singleness of purpose.  Context and edification for the present economy is what we’re after.  We have questions… How come the recovery has been so weak?  Why is it that, nearly seven years after the official […]

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According To Morgan Stanley This Is The Biggest Threat To Deutsche Bank’s Survival

According To Morgan Stanley This Is The Biggest Threat To Deutsche Bank’s Survival Two weeks ago, on one of the slides in a Morgan Stanley presentation, we found something which we thought was quite disturbing. According to the bank’s head of EMEA research Huw van Steenis, while in Davos, he sat “next to someone in policy […]

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Fourth Turning–Social & Cultural Distress Dividing the Nation

FOURTH TURNING – SOCIAL & CULTURAL DISTRESS DIVIDING THE NATION I wrote the first three parts of this article back in September and planned to finish it in early October, but life intervened and truthfully I don’t think I was ready to confront how bad things will likely get as this Fourth Turning moves into […]

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EU Commissioner’s Dire Warning: “The Only Alternative To Europe Is War”

EU Commissioner’s Dire Warning: “The Only Alternative To Europe Is War” While the saying goes “good fences make good neighbors,” it appears the leadership of The EU is starting to get frustrated with the lack of acquiescence among some of the ‘union’s’ newer or more marginal members. In a somewhat stunning statement, following ongoing and […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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