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I Have a Very Bad Feeling About This

August 21, 2023

I Have a Very Bad Feeling About This Unexpected things tend to happen when the real source of problems are papered over and then suddenly reality intrudes. What an interesting juncture we’ve reached. We’re constantly assured all is well with what matters–the economy–as the all-powerful Federal Reserve has managed not just the hoped-for “soft landing” but […]

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Central Banks Are Out Of Ammo – UN Head Demands Immediate Fiscal Stimulus To Save World From Crisis

October 20, 2019

Central Banks Are Out Of Ammo – UN Head Demands Immediate Fiscal Stimulus To Save World From Crisis More and more global leaders sound the alarm that the world economy is headed for a difficult period in 2020.  Unlike several years ago, leaders across the world are now calling for immediate deployment of fiscal stimulus, […]

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Fiscal Stimulus and Economic Growth–Are They Related?

September 3, 2018

FISCAL STIMULUS AND ECONOMIC GROWTH – ARE THEY RELATED? For most experts a key factor that policy makers should be watching is the gap between the actual real output and the potential real output. The potential output is the maximum output that the economy could attain if all the resources are used efficiently. The gap […]

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Low Interest Rates Subsidize Wealthy Households

October 30, 2017

LOW INTEREST RATES SUBSIDIZE WEALTHY HOUSEHOLDS  When the economy begins to sink into recession, politicians, mainstream economists, policy wonks, and the Federal Reserve begin beating the economic stimulus drum. Politicians, however, disagree over the type of stimulus to implement. The center-left party proposes greater expenditures on public assistance programs. The center-right party supports permanent tax […]

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Doomed to Failure

October 8, 2016

Doomed to Failure  Larded Up and Larded Over We’ve been waiting for the U.S. economy to reach escape velocity for the last six years.  What we mean is we’ve been waiting for the economy to finally become self-stimulating and no longer require monetary or fiscal stimulus to keep it from stalling out.  Unfortunately, this may […]

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China’s Rolling Boom-Bust Cycle

May 18, 2016

China’s Rolling Boom-Bust Cycle  Sweet Authoritative Nothings There is a mysterious figure making regular appearances in China’s government mouthpiece “People’s Daily”, which simply goes by the name “authoritative person” (AP). This unnamed entity always tends to show up with bad news for assorted speculators, by suggesting that various scenarios associated with monetary and/ or fiscal […]

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Deficit Spending is Not the Answer

March 28, 2016

Deficit Spending is Not the Answer  The Growing Chorus for Fiscal Stimulus Central bankers and monetary adherents the world over are united in the common grouse that fiscal policy is lacking.  Grander programs of direct stimulation are needed, they grumble.  Monetary policy alone won’t cut the mustard, they gripe. Global debt-to-GDP ratios (excl. financial debt). […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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