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“Panicking” Central Banks to Power Gold Higher

Panicking Central Banks to Power Gold Higher

This week, Your News to Know rounds up the latest top stories involving gold and the overall economy. Stories include: Institutions will be the drivers of gold demand, Ray Dalio issues warning about the greenback, and silver believers could soon be rewarded.

Institutional demand will power gold prices as central banks panic

As Egon von Greyerz notes via ZeroHedge, uncertainty has been the theme across the board this year, and it is unlikely to dissipate any time soon. von Greyerz believes that the uncertainty is tied to the end of a cycle, and while the full timeline of the cycle isn’t entirely clear, its social and economic aspects are directly tied to the abolishment of the gold standard in 1971.

This accelerated the precarious path that the Federal Reserve set for the U.S. when it was created in 1913, one of perpetually expanding debt and an economy based on faith. That there is no solution to the debt issue has been painfully demonstrated by various administrations. The Clinton administration from 1998-2001 and the current Trump administration have been among the most vocal regarding the issue, yet neither has been able to prevent the U.S. national debt from roughly doubling every 8 years.

von Greyerz sees central banks as being on exceptionally shaky grounds, as the aforementioned untethering started the fall of fiat currencies. Most of them have lost around 85% against gold since 2000, and all of them have lost upwards of 97% of their value since 1971. While the U.S. dollar stands out as exceptionally long-lasting, von Greyerz sees economic factors that are beginning to threaten it.

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

The U.S. Dollar Collapse Is Greatly Exaggerated

The U.S. Dollar Collapse Is Greatly Exaggerated

The US Dollar Index has lost 10% from its March highs and many press comments have started to speculate about the likely collapse of the US Dollar as world reserve currency due to this weakness.

These wild speculations need to be debunked.

The US Dollar year-to-date (August 2020) has strengthened relative to 96 out of 146 currencies in the Bloomberg universe. In fact, the U.S. Fed Trade-Weighted Broad Dollar Index has strengthened by 2.3% in the same period, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

The speculation about countries abandoning the U.S. Dollar as reserve currency is easily denied. The Bank Of International Settlements reports in its June 2020 report that global US-dollar denominated debt is at a decade-high. In fact, US-dollar denominated debt issuances year-to-date from emerging markets have reached a new record.

China’s dollar-denominated debt has risen as well in 2020. Since 2015, it has increased 35% while foreign exchange reserves fell 10%.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) shows that the United States currency has only really weakened relative to the yen and the euro, and this is based on optimistic expectations of European and Japanese economic recovery. The Federal Reserve’s dovish announcements may be seen as a cause of the dollar decline, but the evidence shows that the European Central Bank (BOJ) and the Bank Of Japan (BOJ) conduct much more aggressive policies than the U.S. while economic recovery stalls. Recent purchasing manager index (PMI) declines have shown that hopes of a rapid recovery in Europe and Japan are widely exaggerated, and the Daily Activity Index published by Bloomberg confirms it. Furthermore, the balance sheet of the ECB is at the end of August more than 54% of the eurozone GDP and the BOJ´s is 123% versus the Federal Reserve’s 33%.

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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