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Olduvai III: Catacylsm
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Prelude to Crisis

February 5, 2020

Prelude to Crisis “The Federal Reserve is running the risk of fomenting an eventual financial crisis by easing banking regulations at the same time that it’s cut interest rates…say some former Fed officials, including ex-Vice Chairman Alan Blinder and financial stability experts Daniel Tarullo and Nellie Liang.”– Bloomberg article on December 17th, 2019 ______________________________________________________________________________________________________ INTRODUCTION […]

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Taking the Hard Way Out

December 29, 2019

TAKING THE HARD WAY OUT “You don’t make mistakes when you don’t have money. When you have too much money, you will make a lot of mistakes.”– Jack Ma, founder of Alibaba, the Amazon of China “My view is simple and starts with the observation that gold is a lot like religion. No one can […]

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Bubble 3.0: A Blast From a Bubble Past

June 15, 2019

BUBBLE 3.0: A BLAST FROM A BUBBLE PAST “Although macroeconomic forecasting is fraught with hazards, I would not interpret the currently very flat yield curve as indicating a significant economic slowdown to come.”–BEN BERNANKE, Former Fed Chairman in a March 20, 2006 speech “It was popular to play down the significance of the inverted yield […]

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Not Modern, Not About Money, and Not Really Much of a Theory

April 28, 2019

NOT MODERN, NOT ABOUT MONEY, AND NOT REALLY MUCH OF A THEORY “Ignoring MMT’s rising popularity would be about as smart (and effective) as a dog barking at the waves in the ocean.”–KEVIN MUIR, author of the avant garde financial newsletter, The Macro Tourist “I believe that all good things taken to an extreme become self-destructive […]

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Bubble 3.0: No Way Out

February 26, 2019

BUBBLE 3.0: NO WAY OUT “We’re paddling against the current in trying to sustain public faith in the Fed.”–Federal Reserve Chairman JEROME (JAY) POWELL “The FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee, the Fed’s key rate-setting entity) is in panic mode now, facing the Frankenstein monster balance sheet it has created. The FOMC has come to the […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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