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Contagion

October 30, 2018

Contagion The word contagion is easy enough to understand. Whether the spread of disease or disaster, sometimes it is difficult if not impossible to contain. In financial terms, contagion is often thought of along the lines of 2011; Greece started it and it spread throughout the rest of Southern Europe. The euro was coming apart, […]

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We Know How This Ends, Part 2

January 20, 2016

We Know How This Ends, Part 2 In March 1969, while Buba was busy in the quicksand of its swaps and forward dollar interventions, Netherlands Bank (the Dutch central bank) had instructed commercial banks in Holland to pull back funds from the eurodollar market in order to bring up their liquidity positions which had dwindled […]

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We Know How This Ends, Part 1

January 20, 2016

We Know How This Ends, Part 1 The finance ministers and representatives of central banks from the world’s ten largest “capitalist” economies gathered in Bonn, West Germany on November 20, 1968. The global financial system was then enthralled by a third major currency crisis of the past year or so and there was great angst […]

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There’s Something Wrong With The World Today and It’s 1995

June 25, 2015

There’s Something Wrong With The World Today and It’s 1995 There weren’t any surprises in the “final” GDP update for Q1. Going back to -0.2%, the same interpretations still apply, especially and including the inventory contribution. Economists and policymakers want to talk particularly about how Q1 is prone to “residual seasonality” but that is missing […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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