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This Implosion Will Be Fast–Hold Onto Your Seats
THIS IMPLOSION WILL BE FAST – HOLD ONTO YOUR SEATS The massive money creation in the 2000s has led to a debt and asset bubble, which is about to burst. Investors will be shocked by the speed of the decline and won’t react before it is too late. The massive money creation by central and […]
The Only Way Out of the Death Trap
The Only Way Out of the Death Trap I’ve said the U.S. is caught in a debt death trap. Monetary policy won’t get us out because the velocity of money, the rate at which money changes hands, is dropping. Printing more money alone will not change that. Fiscal policy won’t work either because of high […]
The “Great Reset” And The Risk Of Greater Interventionism
The “Great Reset” And The Risk Of Greater Interventionism Global debt is expected to soar to a record $277 trillion by the end of the year, according to the Institute of International Finance. Developed markets’ total debt -government, corporate and households- jumped to 432% of GDP in the third quarter. Emerging market debt-to-GDP hit nearly […]
The United States Is Going Broke
The United States Is Going Broke Those who focus on the U.S. national debt (and I’m one of them) keep wondering how long this debt levitation act can go on. The U.S. debt-to-GDP ratio is at the highest level in history (106%), with the exception of the immediate aftermath of the Second World War. At […]
S&P Reveals $5.8 Trillion In “Hidden” Chinese Debt With “Titanic Credit Risks”
S&P Reveals $5.8 Trillion In “Hidden” Chinese Debt With “Titanic Credit Risks” When it comes to estimating China’s total outstanding debt, there has long been confusion about the real number with most putting the debt/GDP at around 250%, while the IIF last year calculated China’s debt load as high as 300% of GDP. Now, China […]
America’s Greatest Crisis Upon Us…Debt to GDP Makes It Clear
America’s Greatest Crisis Upon Us…Debt to GDP Makes It Clear America in the midst of its greatest crisis in its 242 years of existence. I say this based upon the US federal debt to GDP (gross domestic product) ratio. In the history of the US, at the onset of every war or crisis, a period of federal […]
Fed’s Dilemma: Debt-to-GDP Ratios Dramatically Understate the Debt Problem
Fed’s Dilemma: Debt-to-GDP Ratios Dramatically Understate the Debt Problem Reader Lars writes Debt-to-GDP ratios understate the true nature of the problem. He uses Greece as an example. Reader Lars from Oslo, the capital of Norway, and a long-time reader of this blog, questions the widespread use of debt-to-GDP as the true measure of the debt […]
Global Debt Hits Record $237 Trillion, Up $21TN In 2017
Global Debt Hits Record $237 Trillion, Up $21TN In 2017 Last June we reported that according to the Institute of International Finance – perhaps best known for its periodic and concerning reports summarizing global leverage statistics – as of the end of 2016, in a period of so-called “coordinated growth”, global debt hit a new […]
Broken Promises
Broken Promises Demanding More Debt Consumer debt, corporate debt, and government debt are all going up. But that’s not all. Margin debt – debt that investors borrow against their portfolio to buy more stocks – has hit a record of $642.8 billion. What in the world are people thinking? A blow-off in margin debt mirroring the […]
The Liquidity Punch Bowl
THE LIQUIDITY PUNCH BOWL It is appropriate with the inauguration of this weekly column to look at the “Big Picture”. The biggest risk to world stock markets, and asset prices in general, in 2018 is that G7 central banks (led by the Federal Reserve) are finally attempting to normalise monetary policy nine years after the […]
Is the High Level of Debt a Major Economic Risk Factor?
IS THE HIGH LEVEL OF DEBT A MAJOR ECONOMIC RISK FACTOR? Many economic commentators regard high level of debt relative to GDP as a major risk factor as far as economic health is concerned. This way of thinking has its origins in the writings of the famous American economist Irving Fisher. According to Irving Fisher,[1] […]
Debt to GDP: Only 4 Major Countries Worse Off Than the US
Debt to GDP: Only 4 Major Countries Worse Off Than the US Of major nations, only Japan, Greece, Italy, and Portugal have debt-to-GDP ratios higher than the US. With the new tax overhaul, U.S. government debt will rise by one to two trillion dollars over the next decade. I view that assessment as majorly […]
When This Debt Bubble Bursts, Central Banks Will Turn to Money Printing… Again
When This Debt Bubble Bursts, Central Banks Will Turn to Money Printing… Again Let’s face the facts. The only reason the financial system has held together so well since 2008 is because Central Banks have created a bubble in bonds via massive QE programs and seven years of ZIRP/NIRP. As a result of this, the […]
Canada Flagged for Recession by BIS
Canada Flagged for Recession by BIS This can’t be good… As if Canadians needed more proof that the country’s real estate is in a bubble, and that this misallocation has spread to other sectors of the economy, the Bank of International Settlements released its latest quarterly confirming what any critical observer can see: binging on debt is […]
IMF Blames Bad Loans For Mozambique’s Soaring Debt-To-GDP Ratio
IMF Blames Bad Loans For Mozambique’s Soaring Debt-To-GDP Ratio Mozambique has a broad swath of problems within its governing councils. Back in December of 2005, Management Systems International based out of Washington issued a report titled CORRUPTION ASSESSMENT: MOZAMBIQUE which said point blank: “The scale and scope of corruption in Mozambique are cause for alarm”. Mozambique’s head […]
