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Fed’s Favorite Lowball Inflation Gauge is Red-Hot, Not Seen in Decades, Even Without the “Base Effect”

May 30, 2021

Fed’s Favorite Lowball Inflation Gauge is Red-Hot, Not Seen in Decades, Even Without the “Base Effect” The majestic inflation overshoot has arrived. The Fed’s favorite inflation measure, generally the lowest inflation measure the US government provides — tracking a lot lower than even the Consumer Price Index which already understates actual inflation — and therefore our lowest […]

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The Disturbing Reasons Why The Bank Of Japan Stunned Everyone With Negative Rates

January 29, 2016

The Disturbing Reasons Why The Bank Of Japan Stunned Everyone With Negative Rates As we noted earlier, in a paradoxical U-turn, one which caught everyone by surprise as a result of Kuroda’s own promise just one week ago not to engage in NIRP… … and two months after the ECB’s December 3 disappointing announcement led to a historic surge in the […]

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Italy Youth Unemployment Hits Record High 44.2%, Concerns Rising “Recession Exit May Be Unsustainable”

July 31, 2015

Italy Youth Unemployment Hits Record High 44.2%, Concerns Rising “Recession Exit May Be Unsustainable” Earlier today, Eurostat released the two most important data points for Europe: inflation and unemployment. On the former,  there was no surprise at the headline level which remained at 0.2% for the another month, in line with expectations, but core CPI […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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