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Olduvai III: Catacylsm
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Gold Standard and Boom Bust Cycles

GOLD STANDARD AND BOOM BUST CYCLES According to the Austrian Business Cycle Theory (ABCT), the boom-bust cycle emerges in response to a deviation in the market interest rate from the natural interest rate, or the equilibrium interest rate. It is held that the major cause for this deviation is increases in the money supply. Based […]

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The Era of Boom and Bust Isn’t Over

The Era of Boom and Bust Isn’t Over At the 2020 World Economic Forum in Davos, Bob Prince, co-chief investment officer at Bridgewater Associates, attracted attention when he suggested in a news interview that the boom and bust cycle as we have come to know it in the last decades may have ended. This viewpoint […]

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Expectations and the Austrian Business Cycle Theory

EXPECTATIONS AND THE AUSTRIAN BUSINESS CYCLE THEORY  According to the Austrian Business Cycle Theory (ABCT) the artificial lowering of interest rates by the central bank leads to a misallocation of resources because businesses undertake various capital projects that prior to the lowering of interest rates weren’t considered as viable. This misallocation of resources is commonly […]

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Austrians Get (Some) Mainstream Credibility

AUSTRIANS GET (SOME) MAINSTREAM CREDIBILITY Well, well: who would have believed it. First the Bank for International Settlements comes out with a paper that links credit booms to the boom-bust business cycle, then Britain’s Adam Smith Institute publishes a paper by Anthony Evans [Editor’s note: Anthony is a Founding Fellow of The Cobden Centre] that […]

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Expectations and Business Cycles

Expectations and Business Cycles According to the Austrian Business Cycle Theory (ABCT) the artificial lowering of interest rates by the central bank leads to a misallocation of resources because businesses undertake various capital projects that prior to the lowering of interest rates weren’t considered as viable. This misallocation of resources is commonly described as an […]

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The problem isn’t overproduction; it’s malinvestment

The problem isn’t overproduction; it’s malinvestment Mr. Max Ehrendfreund, writing in the Washington Post’s Wonkblog, believes that he has discovered something new: that the world is producing too much and doesn’t know what to do with it. His solution, of course, is to confiscate the overproduced products, such as oil and cotton, from its rightful owners and […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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