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Olduvai III: Catacylsm
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Playing for All the Marbles

April 6, 2018

Playing for All the Marbles Global Plunge Protection Teams must be ordering take-out food; every night is a long one now. The current stocks/bonds game is for all the marbles, by which I mean the status quo now depends on valuations and interest rates remaining near their current levels for the system to function. If […]

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Here Is The IMF’s Global Financial Crash Scenario

October 22, 2017

Here Is The IMF’s Global Financial Crash Scenario  Hidden almost all the way in the end of the first chapter of the IMF’s latest Financial Stability Report, is a surprisingly candid discussion on the topic of whether “Rising Medium-Term Vulnerabilities Could Derail the Global Recovery”, which is a politically correct way of saying is the […]

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oftwominds-Charles Hugh Smith: In Uncharted Waters

October 21, 2014

ftwominds-Charles Hugh Smith: In Uncharted Waters. What I see as extremes that must necessarily end badly, others see as mere extensions of recently successful policies and trends. A long-time reader recently chastised me for using too many maybe’s in my forecasts. The criticism is valid, as “on the other hand” slips all too easily from qualifying a position […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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