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The Greenspan Moon Cult
The Greenspan Moon Cult Taking another look at what I wrote about repo and the latest developments yesterday, it may be worthwhile to spend some additional time on the “why” as it pertains to so much determined official blindness, an unshakeable devotion to otherwise easily explained lunar events. The short version: monetary authorities as well as the “experts” describe […]
Globally Synchronized…
Globally Synchronized… The economic sickness is predictably spreading. While unexpected in most of the world which still, somehow, depends on central banking forecasts, it really has been almost inevitable. From the very start, just the utterance of the word “decoupling” was the kiss of death. What that meant in the context of globally synchronized growth, […]
Rate of Change
Rate of Change We’ve got to change our ornithological nomenclature. Hawks become doves because they are chickens underneath. Doves became hawks for reasons they don’t really understand. A fingers-crossed policy isn’t a robust one, so there really was no reason to expect the economy to be that way. In January 2019, especially the past few […]
Nothing To See Here, It’s Just Everything
Nothing To See Here, It’s Just Everything The politics of oil are complicated, to say the least. There’s any number of important players, from OPEC to North American shale to sanctions. Relating to that last one, the US government has sought to impose serious restrictions upon the Iranian regime. Choking off a major piece of […]
Uh Oh; In A Month Of Big Warnings, The Biggest Yet
Uh Oh; In A Month Of Big Warnings, The Biggest Yet All better now. It’s a Christmas miracle, the plunge erased by market closure as if FDR had just been re-elected and taken the oath. The Dow is on everyone’s mind, so trading on December 26 has understandably stuck. Stocks posted their best day in […]
Europe’s Economic Demise Is A Global Warning: “Tightening Conditions Are Already Causing Disruptions”
Europe’s Economic Demise Is A Global Warning: “Tightening Conditions Are Already Causing Disruptions” Harmful Modern Myths & Legends Loreley Rock near Sankt Goarshausen sits at a narrow curve on the Rhine River in Germany. The shape of the bluff produces a faint echo in the wind, supposedly the last whispers of a beautiful maiden who […]
Europe More Than Europe: From ‘Boom’ To The Precipice of Recession
Europe More Than Europe: From ‘Boom’ To The Precipice of Recession Data dependent, they claim. They aren’t. Mario Draghi at his last press conference admitted, “incoming information, [is] somewhat weaker than expected.” There is so much riding on the word “somewhat.” Because of the weasel, the head of the ECB told the assembled media policy […]
Contagion
Contagion The word contagion is easy enough to understand. Whether the spread of disease or disaster, sometimes it is difficult if not impossible to contain. In financial terms, contagion is often thought of along the lines of 2011; Greece started it and it spread throughout the rest of Southern Europe. The euro was coming apart, […]
Chart of the Week: Playing With Dominoes
Chart of the Week: Playing With Dominoes The Great “Recession” was never a recession. It was a monetary event first and foremost, and it continues to be eleven years later. That means by and large it has been a failure of imagination. Central bankers say they’ve done this and that, but what they’ve never done, […]
The First Global Domino Tips
The First Global Domino Tips It’s hard to believe it was only about three months ago. Time flies when disaster unfolds all around you. In early June, Brazil’s central bank arranged a press conference where its President Ilan Goldfajn would set everyone straight. The currency was falling, he admitted, but it would be easily handled […]
It’s Not A “Conspiracy Theory”: Here’s How Central Banks Actively Suppress The Price Of Gold
It’s Not A “Conspiracy Theory”: Here’s How Central Banks Actively Suppress The Price Of Gold Alhambra Investment Partners CIO Jeffrey Snider returned to Erik Townsend’s MacroVoices podcast this week to discuss one of his favorite topics: How central banks’ use gold lending to manipulate their balance sheets, and also to manipulate the broader market for […]
F(r)actions Of Gold
F(r)actions Of Gold The simple fact of the matter is that gold is no longer money and hasn’t been treated that way in decades. It is a frustrating and often woeful outcome, but deference isn’t a reason to color judgement. As an investment, which is more like what gold has become, it isn’t all that […]
We Know How This Ends, Part 2
We Know How This Ends, Part 2 In March 1969, while Buba was busy in the quicksand of its swaps and forward dollar interventions, Netherlands Bank (the Dutch central bank) had instructed commercial banks in Holland to pull back funds from the eurodollar market in order to bring up their liquidity positions which had dwindled […]
We Know How This Ends, Part 1
We Know How This Ends, Part 1 The finance ministers and representatives of central banks from the world’s ten largest “capitalist” economies gathered in Bonn, West Germany on November 20, 1968. The global financial system was then enthralled by a third major currency crisis of the past year or so and there was great angst […]
The Confidence Game Is Ending
The Confidence Game Is Ending Immediately after the Fed hiked interest rates last Wednesday – after sitting at 0% for 7 years – markets acted pretty much as one might expect. The Fed tightens monetary policy when the economy is strong so rising stock prices, rising interest rates and a strong dollar are all things […]
