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1937

February 12, 2020

1937 We’ve talked about the year 2000 comparison (Party like it’s 1999). In 2020 markets went onto a similar structural tear just having rammed relentlessly higher. In 2000 markets famously topped in March following the Fed’s Y2K inspired liquidity injections in 1999 as markets had vastly disconnected from fundamental reality. Now that the truth is out we […]

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The FOMC Decision: The Boxed in Fed

January 29, 2016

The FOMC Decision: The Boxed in Fed  An Imaginary Bogeyman What’s a Keynesian monetary quack to do when the economy and markets fail to remain “on message” within a few weeks of grandiose declarations that this time, printing truckloads of money has somehow “worked”, in defiance of centuries of experience, and in blatant violation of sound theory? […]

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Why This Feels Like a Depression for Most People

October 9, 2015

Why This Feels Like a Depression for Most People “And the little screaming fact that sounds through all history: repression works only to strengthen and knit the repressed.” – John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath Everyone has seen the pictures of the unemployed waiting in soup lines during the Great Depression. When you try to tell a […]

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The Ghost of ’37

April 5, 2015

The Ghost of ’37 With the Fed supposedly steeling itself at last to remove a little of its emergency ‘accommodation’, it has suddenly become fashionable to warn of the awful parallels with 1937, as the highly-respected Ray Dalio of Bridgewater has notably done. That year, the story goes, the nation’s ascent from the depths of […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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