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Tight Oil Reality Check

Tight Oil Reality Check Much of the cost-benefit debate over fracking has come down to the perception of just how much domestic oil and gas it can produce and at what cost. To answer this question, policymakers, the media, and the general public have typically turned to the U.S. Department of Energy’s Energy Information Administration (EIA), which […]

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Oil Companies Running Out Of Options

Oil Companies Running Out Of Options The financial pressure on indebted oil and gas companies continues to mount, putting them in a bind as they try to mend their deteriorating balance sheets. As their debt rises, drillers have had to divert more of their operating cash flow to servicing that debt. Or, put another way, […]

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The Shale Delusion: Why The Party’s Over For U.S. Tight Oil

The Shale Delusion: Why The Party’s Over For U.S. Tight Oil The party is over for tight oil. Despite brash statements by U.S. producers and misleading analysis by Raymond James, low oil prices are killing tight oil companies. Reports this week from IEA and EIA paint a bleak picture for oil prices as the world production surplus continues. EIA […]

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Decline In U.S. Oil Production Accelerates

Decline In U.S. Oil Production Accelerates New EIA data once again points to a deeper contraction than previously expected. The revelation was initially revealed in late August, when the EIA reported that the United States produced much less oil than expected in the first half of 2015. On the whole, the country produced 40,000 to 100,000 […]

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Oil Production Boom Is Not What It Seems As Future Investments Are Uncertain

Oil Production Boom Is Not What It Seems As Future Investments Are Uncertain Amid a holiday-dappled week, we barrel in to Wednesday without the presence of the weekly oil inventory report; we will have to wait until tomorrow at 11am (EDT) for that. We do, however, get the API report after market close, although the […]

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The EIA Changes Data Collection Methods

The EIA Changes Data Collection Methods EIA begins monthly survey-based reporting of U.S. crude oil production With the release of today’s  Petroleum Supply Monthly, EIA is incorporating the first survey-based reporting of monthly U.S. crude oil production statistics. Today’s Petroleum Supply Monthly includes estimates for June 2015 crude oil production using new survey data for 13 states and […]

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This Is Why The Saudis Are Unlikely To Accept Any Production Cutback

This Is Why The Saudis Are Unlikely To Accept Any Production Cutback ‘Clack! cla-cla clack-clack clack-clack CLACK!!’ (today’s fanfare for Nonfarm Friday was played on football helmets to celebrate the start of college football season). It is the first Friday in September, which means we see official US employment data, aka nonfarm payrolls. Today’s report […]

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EIA On Board With Lifting U.S. Crude Export Ban

EIA On Board With Lifting U.S. Crude Export Ban A new report from the Energy Information Administration adds more weight to the notion that crude oil exports from the U.S. would not damage the economy. The EIA studied the prospect of oil exports in response to questions from Congress, and it builds on several prior reports completed […]

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US Oil Production Nears Previous Peak

US Oil Production Nears Previous Peak The EIA’s Monthly Energy Review came out a couple of days ago. The data is in thousand barrels per day and the last data point is July 2015. US consumption of total liquids, or as the EIA calls it, petroleum products supplied, reached 20,000,000 barrels per day for the first time […]

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Did The Fed Intentionally Spark A Commodity Sell-off?

Did The Fed Intentionally Spark A Commodity Sell-off? The intention here is the bring facts to light so the public can decide. I’m not quite sure what to believe on how and why oil prices remain more than 50 percent below free cash flow break even for most independent E&P companies. I know for sure […]

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Jean Laherrere’s Bakken Update

Jean Laherrere’s Bakken Update Jean Laherrere sent me the below charts the other day. I had planned on posting them with more Bakken data. But my schedule has been busy so I am posting them alone. Jean’s interpretation for ND is as follows Bakken ultimate = 3 Gb Non Bakken ultimate = 2.2 Gb ND […]

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Oil storage tanks filled to levels not seen in 80 years

Oil storage tanks filled to levels not seen in 80 years U.S. oil inventories at levels not seen in at least 80 years North American oil prices could take a hit this fall as there are renewed concerns about a lack of storage capacity. A recent report by the U.S. Energy Information Agency suggests crude […]

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US Shale Declining and OPEC Still Climbing

US Shale Declining and OPEC Still Climbing There is new data out today. The EIA published their International Petroleum Statisticsyesterday. The EIA also published their Drilling Productivity Report which gave their expected shale oil and gas production through September. Then this morning OPEC published their Monthly Oil Marketing Report with OPEC crude only production numbers through July. First the Drilling […]

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Lifting Ban On U.S. Crude Oil Export Would Enable Massive Fracking Expansion

Lifting Ban On U.S. Crude Oil Export Would Enable Massive Fracking Expansion In a recent Washington Post editorial supporting oil industry efforts to lift the existing ban on exporting crude oil produced in America, the editors stated: “The most serious objection to lifting the ban comes from environmentalists who worry that it would lower fossil fuel prices and […]

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Shale Gas Reality Check

Shale Gas Reality Check In October 2014, Post Carbon Institute published the results of what likely remains the most thorough independent analysis of U.S. shale gas and tight oil production ever conducted. The process of drilling for shale gas and tight oil is known colloquially as “fracking” and has drawn a great deal of controversy—considered […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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